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Premier League

Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League 12.09.2026 · 15:00 Stadium of Light Referee: S. Barrott
Sunderland emblem
Sunderland
W
D
W
L
W
vs
– : –
12 Sep · 15:00
Arsenal emblem
Arsenal
W
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
13%
Sunderland
23%
Draw
64%
Arsenal

Form Comparison

■ Sunderland ■ Arsenal
Sunderland
Arsenal
31%
Form
69%
33%
Att
67%
25%
Def
75%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
7%
H2h
93%
20%
Goals
80%
23%
Total
77%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.02.2026
Arsenal vs Sunderland
3 — 0
08.11.2025
Sunderland vs Arsenal
2 — 2
21.12.2021
Arsenal vs Sunderland
5 — 1
16.05.2017
Arsenal vs Sunderland
2 — 0
29.10.2016
Sunderland vs Arsenal
1 — 4
24.04.2016
Sunderland vs Arsenal
0 — 0
09.01.2016
Arsenal vs Sunderland
3 — 1
05.12.2015
Arsenal vs Sunderland
3 — 1
20.05.2015
Arsenal vs Sunderland
0 — 0
25.10.2014
Sunderland vs Arsenal
0 — 2

Last Matches

Sunderland
Arsenal
08.09.2026
Sunderland vs Hull City
1 — 0
05.09.2026
Brentford vs Sunderland
1 — 1
30.08.2026
Sunderland vs Fulham
1 — 0
22.08.2026
Ipswich vs Sunderland
1 — 2
15.08.2026
Sunderland vs Rennes
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Sunderland
H. Diarra, R. Mundle
Arsenal
C. Mosquera, J. Timber, W. Saliba

Arsenal comes into this fixture boasting a formidable record in their last five encounters against Sunderland, winning four and drawing one. Sunderland, currently 11th in the Premier League, face a tough challenge against second-placed Arsenal, who are in fine form despite a recent hiccup against Borussia Dortmund.

**Form and Context**

Sunderland's recent form has been encouraging, particularly their robust away performances, where they have averaged 2.67 goals per match. Their home form is also solid, with two wins from their last two matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals and conceding just 0.50 per game. In contrast, Arsenal have been equally impressive, especially in their away fixtures, collecting two wins and scoring an average of 2.50 goals while conceding just 0.50. The Gunners have shown resilience, notably in their dominant 3-0 victory against Manchester City and a close 1-0 win over Aston Villa. Both teams enter this match without any injury or suspension concerns, which sets up a potentially thrilling encounter at the Stadium of Light.

**Key Numbers**

Sunderland's attacking prowess is evident with an average of 2.20 goals scored across their last five matches. Defensively, they have been sound, conceding only 0.80 goals per game. Arsenal matches these numbers closely, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.80 on average. The historical head-to-head statistics heavily favor Arsenal, with their 4-1 and 5-1 victories standing out as reminders of their offensive capabilities. Sunderland will need to tighten their defense to avoid a repeat of such outcomes. Both teams have been efficient in front of goal, but Arsenal's experience and historical dominance in this fixture provide them with a psychological edge.

**Prediction**

Given the statistical trends and recent form, the prediction leans towards an Arsenal win, but with Sunderland's improved form, a draw is a conceivable outcome. The most probable betting event is "Arsenal to win with a -1 handicap," owing to their recent head-to-head success and strong away performances. A confidence score of 7 reflects Arsenal's consistency and ability to score multiple goals against Sunderland historically. Additionally, betting on "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is reasonable, as Sunderland has scored in their last five matches. "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" is another probable outcome, considering Arsenal's scoring record against Sunderland. Given the defensive records, "Total:Under: 3.0" could be a safe bet, while "X2" accounts for the possibility of a draw, considering Sunderland's determined performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
85%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
70%
Total:Under: 3.0
60%
X2
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sunderland vs Arsenal
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Manchester City logoManchester City
3 3 0 0 9
2
Arsenal logoArsenal ★
3 3 0 0 9
3
Hull City logoHull City
3 2 1 0 7
4
Chelsea logoChelsea
3 2 0 1 6
5
Brentford logoBrentford
3 1 2 0 5
6
Liverpool logoLiverpool
3 1 2 0 5
7
Newcastle logoNewcastle
3 1 2 0 5
8
Everton logoEverton
3 1 2 0 5
9
Leeds logoLeeds
3 1 2 0 5
10
Brighton logoBrighton
3 1 1 1 4
11
Manchester United logoManchester United
3 1 1 1 4
12
Sunderland logoSunderland ★
3 1 1 1 4
13
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
3 1 0 2 3
14
Ipswich logoIpswich
3 1 0 2 3
15
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
3 0 2 1 2
16
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
3 0 2 1 2
17
Aston Villa logoAston Villa
3 0 1 2 1
18
Tottenham logoTottenham
3 0 1 2 1
19
Fulham logoFulham
3 0 0 3 0
20
Coventry logoCoventry
3 0 0 3 0
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