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Sunderland vs Manchester United Prediction

Premier League 09.05.2026 · 14:00 Stadium of Light Referee: Stuart Attwell, England
Sunderland emblem
Sunderland
D
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
09 May · 14:00
Manchester United emblem
Manchester United
W
W
W
L
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.13

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Sunderland
45%
Draw
45%
Manchester United

Form Comparison

■ Sunderland ■ Manchester United
Sunderland
Manchester United
41%
Form
59%
44%
Att
56%
39%
Def
61%
48%
Poisson distribution
52%
20%
H2h
80%
20%
Goals
80%
35%
Total
65%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.10.2025
Manchester United vs Sunderland
2 — 0
09.04.2017
Sunderland vs Manchester United
0 — 3
26.12.2016
Manchester United vs Sunderland
3 — 1
13.02.2016
Sunderland vs Manchester United
2 — 1
26.09.2015
Manchester United vs Sunderland
3 — 0
28.02.2015
Manchester United vs Sunderland
2 — 0
24.08.2014
Sunderland vs Manchester United
1 — 1
03.05.2014
Manchester United vs Sunderland
0 — 1
22.01.2014
Manchester United vs Sunderland
3 — 1
07.01.2014
Sunderland vs Manchester United
2 — 1

Last Matches

Sunderland
Manchester United
02.05.2026
Wolves vs Sunderland
1 — 1
24.04.2026
Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest
0 — 5
19.04.2026
Aston Villa vs Sunderland
3 — 4
12.04.2026
Sunderland vs Tottenham
1 — 0
22.03.2026
Newcastle vs Sunderland
2 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

As the Premier League season enters its final stages, Sunderland will host Manchester United at the Stadium of Light in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams have their own motivations, with Sunderland aiming to solidify their mid-table standing and Manchester United seeking to secure a top-four finish. This clash on May 9th will be crucial for both teams as they look to end their campaigns on a high note.

Sunderland's Battle for Consistency

Sunderland has experienced a mixed bag of results in recent weeks, reflecting their current 12th place position in the league. Their home form has been particularly concerning, with four losses in their last five games at the Stadium of Light. They have struggled to find the back of the net, scoring an average of just 0.40 goals per game at home while conceding an average of 2.00. However, their recent victory against Tottenham at home and the win over Newcastle away have been bright spots, showing their potential to upset even the strongest opponents. Sunderland enters this match without any injuries or suspensions, which could help them put up a stronger fight against their formidable visitors.

Manchester United's Quest for European Glory

Manchester United is riding high in third place, bolstered by a series of solid performances. Their recent form includes notable victories against Chelsea and Aston Villa, as well as a hard-fought draw against Bournemouth. The Red Devils have been particularly efficient on the road, managing to score an average of 1.20 goals while conceding 1.00 in their recent away fixtures. With no injuries or suspensions affecting their squad, United will be aiming to maintain their momentum and continue their pursuit of a Champions League spot. Their strong head-to-head record against Sunderland, with four wins in the last five meetings, further boosts their confidence heading into this match.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Considering both teams' recent performances and statistical trends, this matchup is likely to produce goals. Sunderland's defensive vulnerabilities at home contrast sharply with Manchester United's potent attacking prowess. The prediction for this encounter leans towards a game with multiple goals, driven by United's scoring ability and Sunderland’s recent struggles at the back. A betting market to watch could be "Total:Over: 2.5" goals, reflecting the likelihood of an open and attacking game. Manchester United’s recent attacking form, coupled with Sunderland’s propensity to concede, suggests this outcome is probable. With a Confidence Score of 7, this prediction is supported by the data, making it a compelling choice for bettors.

In addition to the main prediction, several other outcomes appear likely. The market for "Win 2" is supported by Manchester United’s superior form and head-to-head record against Sunderland. Another potential event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," given Sunderland's ability to occasionally find the net against stronger opponents, as evidenced in their recent upset against Newcastle. Additionally, "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" aligns with United's consistent goal-scoring form. Lastly, "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5" is another market to consider, given Sunderland’s struggles in front of goal at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Sunderland's defensive vulnerabilities and Manchester United's attacking form suggest a high-scoring game.

3.13
Odds
Win 2
70%
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sunderland vs Manchester United
Pin-UP
W13.85
X3.70
W21.85
William Hill
W13.80
X3.60
W21.85
Bet365
W14.00
X3.60
W21.83
Marathonbet
W14.05
X3.88
W21.90
Unibet
W14.10
X3.80
W21.83
Betfair
W14.00
X3.75
W21.85
BetVictor
W13.90
X3.70
W21.83
Pinnacle
W14.04
X3.87
W21.89
SBO
W13.47
X3.29
W21.86
1xBet
W14.11
X3.94
W21.93
Betano
W13.95
X3.75
W21.88
Dafabet
W13.95
X3.70
W21.86

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Arsenal logoArsenal
35 23 7 5 76
2
Manchester City logoManchester City
33 21 7 5 70
3
Manchester United logoManchester United ★
35 18 10 7 64
4
Liverpool logoLiverpool
35 17 7 11 58
5
Aston Villa logoAston Villa
35 17 7 11 58
6
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
35 12 16 7 52
7
Brentford logoBrentford
35 14 9 12 51
8
Brighton logoBrighton
35 13 11 11 50
9
Chelsea logoChelsea
34 13 9 12 48
10
Fulham logoFulham
35 14 6 15 48
11
Everton logoEverton
34 13 8 13 47
12
Sunderland logoSunderland ★
35 12 11 12 47
13
Newcastle logoNewcastle
35 13 6 16 45
14
Leeds logoLeeds
35 10 13 12 43
15
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
34 11 10 13 43
16
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
34 10 9 15 39
17
Tottenham logoTottenham
35 9 10 16 37
18
West Ham logoWest Ham
35 9 9 17 36
19
Burnley logoBurnley
35 4 8 23 20
20
Wolves logoWolves
35 3 9 23 18
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