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Premier League

Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League 10.05.2026 · 13:00 Turf Moor Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England
Burnley emblem
Burnley
L
L
L
L
L
vs
– : –
10 May · 13:00
Aston Villa emblem
Aston Villa
L
L
L
W
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.63

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
0%
Burnley
50%
Draw
50%
Aston Villa

Form Comparison

■ Burnley ■ Aston Villa
Burnley
Aston Villa
0%
Form
100%
27%
Att
73%
35%
Def
65%
36%
Poisson distribution
64%
7%
H2h
93%
33%
Goals
67%
28%
Total
72%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.10.2025
Aston Villa vs Burnley
2 — 1
30.12.2023
Aston Villa vs Burnley
3 — 2
27.08.2023
Burnley vs Aston Villa
1 — 3
19.05.2022
Aston Villa vs Burnley
1 — 1
07.05.2022
Burnley vs Aston Villa
1 — 3
27.01.2021
Burnley vs Aston Villa
3 — 2
17.12.2020
Aston Villa vs Burnley
0 — 0
01.01.2020
Burnley vs Aston Villa
1 — 2
28.09.2019
Aston Villa vs Burnley
2 — 2
24.05.2015
Aston Villa vs Burnley
0 — 1

Last Matches

Burnley
Aston Villa
01.05.2026
Leeds vs Burnley
1 — 3
22.04.2026
Burnley vs Manchester City
0 — 1
19.04.2026
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley
1 — 4
11.04.2026
Burnley vs Brighton
0 — 2
21.03.2026
Fulham vs Burnley
1 — 3
W: 0 · D: 0 · L: 5

As the Premier League season draws to a close, Burnley hosts Aston Villa at Turf Moor in what promises to be a crucial encounter for both teams. With Burnley struggling at the bottom of the table and Aston Villa pushing for a spot in Europe, the stakes are high for this clash.

Burnley Faces Uphill Battle at Turf Moor Burnley's recent form has been a cause for concern, as the team sits 19th in the league standings, fighting to avoid relegation. Their last five matches have been particularly challenging, with four losses and just one draw, highlighting their struggles on both ends of the pitch. At home, Turf Moor has not been the fortress Burnley might have hoped for, with their recent home form showing no wins, one draw, and four losses. The team has averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match at home. Despite having no injuries or suspensions affecting their squad, Burnley must find a way to turn their fortunes around against a formidable opponent.

Aston Villa's European Ambitions Aston Villa arrives at Turf Moor positioned 5th in the league, firmly in the hunt for European competition next season. Their recent performances have been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Villa's away form, however, has been less convincing, with one win, one draw, and three losses, coupled with an average of 1.00 goal scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Nonetheless, they boast a strong head-to-head record against Burnley, having won four of their last five encounters. With no injuries or suspensions to contend with, Aston Villa will be looking to capitalize on Burnley's vulnerabilities.

Prediction: Goals Expected at Turf Moor Considering the teams' recent performances and head-to-head history, the prediction for this match leans towards a high-scoring affair. Burnley's defensive frailties, combined with Aston Villa's attacking prowess, suggest that both teams are likely to find the back of the net. The most probable betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," with Aston Villa's ability to score and Burnley's need to push for points. This prediction carries a confidence score of 8, given the statistical trends and historical data.

Additional betting opportunities also present themselves in the form of goal markets. With Aston Villa's recent scoring form, "Total: Over: 2.5" and "Total: Over: 3.0" are attractive options, reflecting the potential for a high-scoring game. Meanwhile, given Burnley's home struggles, "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5" and "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" offer potential value, as Villa has shown they can capitalize on defensive lapses. The encounter is poised to be a thrilling contest with both teams' ambitions on the line.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have displayed vulnerabilities in defense, and their recent encounters have been high-scoring.

3.63
Odds
Total: Over: 2.5
70%
Total: Over: 3.0
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Burnley vs Aston Villa
Pin-UP
W15.20
X4.10
W21.58
William Hill
W15.00
X4.00
W21.60
Bet365
W15.50
X3.90
W21.60
Marathonbet
W15.35
X4.45
W21.62
Unibet
W15.40
X4.10
W21.61
Betfair
W15.00
X4.00
W21.60
BetVictor
W15.25
X4.00
W21.57
Pinnacle
W15.37
X4.47
W21.58
SBO
W14.82
X3.76
W21.53
1xBet
W15.43
X4.51
W21.64
Betano
W15.30
X4.20
W21.60
Dafabet
W15.20
X4.10
W21.60

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Arsenal logoArsenal
35 23 7 5 76
2
Manchester City logoManchester City
33 21 7 5 70
3
Manchester United logoManchester United
35 18 10 7 64
4
Liverpool logoLiverpool
35 17 7 11 58
5
Aston Villa logoAston Villa ★
35 17 7 11 58
6
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
35 12 16 7 52
7
Brentford logoBrentford
35 14 9 12 51
8
Brighton logoBrighton
35 13 11 11 50
9
Chelsea logoChelsea
34 13 9 12 48
10
Fulham logoFulham
35 14 6 15 48
11
Everton logoEverton
34 13 8 13 47
12
Sunderland logoSunderland
35 12 11 12 47
13
Newcastle logoNewcastle
35 13 6 16 45
14
Leeds logoLeeds
35 10 13 12 43
15
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
34 11 10 13 43
16
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
34 10 9 15 39
17
Tottenham logoTottenham
35 9 10 16 37
18
West Ham logoWest Ham
35 9 9 17 36
19
Burnley logoBurnley ★
35 4 8 23 20
20
Wolves logoWolves
35 3 9 23 18
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