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Premier League

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League 24.05.2026 · 15:00 Etihad Stadium Referee: Andy Madley, England
Manchester City emblem
Manchester City
L
D
W
W
W
vs
– : –
24 May · 15:00
Aston Villa emblem
Aston Villa
W
W
W
D
W
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
4.94

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Manchester City
45%
Draw
10%
Aston Villa

Form Comparison

■ Manchester City ■ Aston Villa
Manchester City
Aston Villa
61%
Form
39%
50%
Att
50%
71%
Def
29%
78%
Poisson distribution
22%
40%
H2h
60%
54%
Goals
46%
59%
Total
41%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
26.10.2025
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
1 — 0
22.04.2025
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
2 — 1
21.12.2024
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
2 — 1
03.04.2024
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
4 — 1
06.12.2023
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
1 — 0
12.02.2023
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
3 — 1
03.09.2022
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
1 — 1
22.05.2022
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
3 — 2
01.12.2021
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
1 — 2

Last Matches

Manchester City
Aston Villa
24.05.2026
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
1 — 2
19.05.2026
Bournemouth vs Manchester City
1 — 1
16.05.2026
Chelsea vs Manchester City
1 — 0
13.05.2026
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace
3 — 0
09.05.2026
Manchester City vs Brentford
3 — 0
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Aston Villa
Alysson, B. Kamara, E. Martinez

As the Premier League season approaches its climax, Manchester City hosts Aston Villa at the Etihad Stadium in what promises to be an enthralling encounter. With City looking to secure their position at the top end of the table and Villa pushing for a top-four finish, this match could have significant implications for both teams. With both sides boasting impressive attacking records, fans can expect a thrilling contest.

Manchester City’s Dominance at Home

Manchester City comes into this fixture in stellar form, particularly at home, where they have maintained a perfect record in their last five matches. Scoring an average of 2.80 goals per game while conceding just 0.40, they have been formidable at the Etihad Stadium. In their recent outings, City have secured convincing wins against teams like Crystal Palace and Brentford, showcasing their offensive prowess and defensive solidity. With no injuries or suspensions to disrupt their rhythm, City is poised to put on another strong performance in front of their home crowd.

Aston Villa's Mixed Away Fortunes

Aston Villa, currently sitting fifth in the league, have had a mixed run of form on the road. Although they have demonstrated their ability to score, averaging 1.20 goals per away match, their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by the 1.20 goals they concede on average. Villa’s recent victory over Liverpool showcased their attacking capabilities, but losses to teams like Nottingham Forest demonstrate their inconsistency. With the squad fully fit and no suspensions, Villa will aim to leverage their recent positive results to challenge City.

Prediction: A High-Scoring Encounter Likely

With both teams in the top five and aiming to finish the season strongly, the prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair. Manchester City’s formidable home form, combined with Villa’s ability to find the back of the net, suggests that goals are likely on the agenda. City’s solid defense might give them an edge, but Villa’s recent history against City, where they have managed to triumph in three of the last five encounters, adds an unpredictable element to the mix. Expect both teams to contribute to the scoreline, with City’s home advantage potentially tipping the balance in their favor. Given the attacking strengths and form of both teams, the most probable outcome is a match featuring multiple goals.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Both Manchester City and Aston Villa have a strong attacking record, with City averaging 2.80 goals at home and Villa capable of scoring against top teams.

4.94
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%
Handicap 1: 1
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Manchester City vs Aston Villa
Pin-UP
W11.31
X5.50
W28.00
William Hill
W11.29
X5.50
W28.50
Bet365
W11.33
X5.25
W29.00
Marathonbet
W11.39
X5.55
W27.60
Unibet
W11.33
X5.75
W28.50
Betfair
W11.29
X6.00
W29.50
BetVictor
W11.30
X6.00
W28.50
Pinnacle
W11.33
X5.76
W29.04
SBO
W11.22
X5.90
W27.62
1xBet
W11.38
X5.84
W28.30
Betano
W11.35
X5.70
W29.00
Superbet
W11.29
X6.30
W28.70
888Sport
W11.29
X5.50
W28.50
Dafabet
W11.32
X6.40
W28.20

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Arsenal logoArsenal
38 26 7 5 85
2
Manchester City logoManchester City ★
38 23 9 6 78
3
Manchester United logoManchester United
38 20 11 7 71
4
Aston Villa logoAston Villa ★
38 19 8 11 65
5
Liverpool logoLiverpool
38 17 9 12 60
6
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
38 13 18 7 57
7
Sunderland logoSunderland
38 14 12 12 54
8
Brighton logoBrighton
38 14 11 13 53
9
Brentford logoBrentford
38 14 11 13 53
10
Chelsea logoChelsea
38 14 10 14 52
11
Fulham logoFulham
38 15 7 16 52
12
Newcastle logoNewcastle
38 14 7 17 49
13
Everton logoEverton
38 13 10 15 49
14
Leeds logoLeeds
38 11 14 13 47
15
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
38 11 12 15 45
16
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
38 11 11 16 44
17
Tottenham logoTottenham
38 10 11 17 41
18
West Ham logoWest Ham
38 10 9 19 39
19
Burnley logoBurnley
38 4 10 24 22
20
Wolves logoWolves
38 3 11 24 20
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