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Liga MX

Necaxa VS Puebla: Final Score & Prediction

Liga MX 11.09.2026 · 21:00 Estadio Victoria Referee: I. Rosario
Necaxa emblem
Necaxa
D
L
D
L
W
Full Time
0 – 1
HT 0:0
11 Sep · 21:00
Puebla emblem
Puebla
L
W
W
L
L

Match Stats

Necaxa 0:1 Puebla
56%
Ball Possession
44%
9
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
5
2
Blocked Shots
3
7
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Shots Outside Box
5
8
Corners
5
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
429
Total Passes
339
372
Accurate Passes
281

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Owen GonzálezSubstitution · Kevin Ante
45'
Mauro ZaletaSubstitution · Miguel Rodriguez
45'
45'
Omar MorenoSubstitution · Ignacio Maestro
45'
Fernando MonarrezSubstitution · Oscar Villa
45+1'
Juan Pablo VargasYellow Card
Raúl MartínezYellow Card
45+1'
45+1'
Fernando MonarrezYellow Card
49'
Carlos BaltazarYellow Card
62'
Kevin VelascoSubstitution · Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges
Matias EspindolaSubstitution · Juan Torres
68'
Lorenzo FaravelliSubstitution · Danny Leyva
75'
81'
Brayan GarnicaSubstitution · Lucas Camilo Azevedo da Silva
Pedro PedrazaSubstitution · Juan Valencia
86'
89'
Carlos BaltazarSubstitution · José Pachuca
90+3'
Mathías Adrián Tomás BorgesGoal · Alejandro Organista

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
46%
Necaxa
27%
Draw
27%
Puebla

Form Comparison

■ Necaxa ■ Puebla
Necaxa
Puebla
22%
Form
78%
38%
Att
62%
47%
Def
53%
49%
Poisson distribution
51%
93%
H2h
7%
80%
Goals
20%
55%
Total
45%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
13.03.2026
Puebla vs Necaxa
0 — 0
19.09.2025
Necaxa vs Puebla
1 — 0
18.04.2025
Puebla vs Necaxa
0 — 1
13.07.2024
Necaxa vs Puebla
4 — 1
19.01.2024
Puebla vs Necaxa
1 — 2
08.10.2023
Necaxa vs Puebla
1 — 2
14.04.2023
Necaxa vs Puebla
1 — 1
16.08.2022
Puebla vs Necaxa
2 — 2
22.04.2022
Puebla vs Necaxa
0 — 1
15.10.2021
Necaxa vs Puebla
0 — 1

Last Matches

Necaxa
Puebla
05.09.2026
Tigres UANL vs Necaxa
1 — 1
28.08.2026
Necaxa vs Cruz Azul
1 — 3
23.08.2026
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa
1 — 1
17.08.2026
Necaxa vs Leon
1 — 2
13.08.2026
New York City FC vs Necaxa
2 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Necaxa's recent struggles are evident, as they have conceded an average of 2.00 goals per match over their last five outings. This defensive vulnerability could play a significant role as they host Puebla at Estadio Victoria. Despite these challenges, Necaxa's home form offers some hope, with three wins in their last five home matches. Meanwhile, Puebla sits higher in the league at eighth but has not been consistent away from home, suffering four losses in their last five away fixtures, conceding an average of 3.00 goals per game.

Necaxa enters this match in the 12th position, having collected mixed results recently. Their last match ended in a 3-1 defeat to Cruz Azul. However, their ability to score at least once in four out of their last five matches indicates offensive reliability. On the other hand, Puebla has shown more firepower, averaging 1.60 goals scored per game in their last five matches, including a thrilling 3-2 win over Santos Laguna. Yet, their defensive frailties have been glaring, as they also conceded 2.40 goals per match.

Both teams come into this encounter with their respective strengths and weaknesses. Necaxa's home scoring average of 1.40 goals suggests they will pose a threat, especially considering Puebla's poor defensive record on the road. Conversely, Puebla's capability to score multiple goals in matches, even when playing away, will test Necaxa's fragile defense. Head-to-head, Necaxa has been dominant, winning four of the last five encounters between these two sides, including a comprehensive 4-1 victory in one of their recent meetings.

In terms of prediction, the likelihood of both teams finding the net appears high given their recent scoring patterns and defensive lapses. Necaxa will look to capitalize on Puebla's away-day blues, while Puebla will aim to exploit Necaxa's porous defense. Given the context, a prediction for both teams to score seems justified. With Necaxa's strong head-to-head record, they might fancy their chances, but Puebla's superior league position and scoring prowess cannot be overlooked. Therefore, a balanced approach suggests a high probability of goals from both sides.

The main betting event focuses on both teams to score in this matchup. This prediction is supported by the teams' respective defensive struggles, with Necaxa and Puebla conceding 2.00 and 2.40 goals per match on average, respectively. The confidence score for this event is set at 8. Additional betting events to consider include a win for Necaxa, given their head-to-head dominance, and a high-scoring game with over 2.0 total goals. The probability of these events occurring is bolstered by statistical trends in recent matches and the teams' current forms.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
1X
65%
Total:Over: 2.0
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Necaxa vs Puebla
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Toluca logoToluca
8 6 1 1 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 18
3
Club America logoClub America
8 5 2 1 17
4
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
9 5 0 4 15
5
Puebla logoPuebla ★
9 4 2 3 14
6
Atlas logoAtlas
9 4 2 3 14
7
Monterrey logoMonterrey
8 4 1 3 13
8
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
7 4 1 2 13
9
Club Leon
8 4 1 3 13
10
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
7 4 1 2 13
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 12
12
CF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca
8 3 2 3 11
13
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 9
14
Atlante FC logoAtlante FC
9 1 5 3 8
15
Necaxa logoNecaxa ★
9 2 2 5 8
16
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL
9 1 4 4 7
17
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna
8 1 1 6 4
18
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez
9 1 0 8 3
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