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Ligue 1

Monaco vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 30.08.2026 · 14:45 Stade Louis II Referee: C. Turpin
Monaco emblem
Monaco
W
W
L
W
W
vs
– : –
30 Aug · 14:45
Marseille emblem
Marseille
W
L
W
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
37%
Monaco
25%
Draw
38%
Marseille

Form Comparison

■ Monaco ■ Marseille
Monaco
Marseille
50%
Form
50%
20%
Att
80%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
50%
H2h
50%
57%
Goals
43%
44%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.04.2026
Monaco vs Marseille
2 — 1
14.12.2025
Marseille vs Monaco
1 — 0
12.04.2025
Monaco vs Marseille
3 — 0
01.12.2024
Marseille vs Monaco
2 — 1
27.01.2024
Marseille vs Monaco
2 — 2
30.09.2023
Monaco vs Marseille
3 — 2
28.01.2023
Marseille vs Monaco
1 — 1
13.11.2022
Monaco vs Marseille
2 — 3
06.03.2022
Marseille vs Monaco
0 — 1
11.09.2021
Monaco vs Marseille
0 — 2

Last Matches

Monaco
Marseille
23.08.2026
Le Havre vs Monaco
1 — 0
20.08.2026
Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco
3 — 2
14.08.2026
Coventry vs Monaco
0 — 2
09.08.2026
Liverpool vs Monaco
3 — 2
06.08.2026
Monaco vs Getafe
1 — 0
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

Monaco enters this matchup boasting an impressive home attacking record, having averaged 2.67 goals per game at Stade Louis II. This attacking prowess will be crucial against a Marseille side that has struggled away from home, failing to register a win or any goals in their recent outings. Monaco's ability to capitalize on home advantage has been a key feature of their season so far.

Form and Context

Monaco and Marseille both sit in the top half of the Ligue 1 standings, with Marseille narrowly ahead in fifth place compared to Monaco's seventh. Monaco's recent form includes two wins, two losses, and a draw from their last five matches. Their ability to score goals has been consistent, averaging 1.80 goals per game over this period. However, their defense has shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.60 goals. Marseille, on the other hand, has been slightly more prolific in front of goal, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game while conceding 1.40. This balance has helped them secure three wins in their last five outings. The upcoming clash will test Monaco's home strength against Marseille's inconsistency on the road.

Key Numbers

Monaco's attacking statistics are bolstered by their home form, where they remain unbeaten with two wins and one draw. Their defensive frailties are less pronounced at home, with just 1.33 goals conceded on average. In contrast, Marseille's away record lacks substance, with no wins or goals scored in their recent travels. Head-to-head, the teams have shared victories with two wins each and a draw in their last five encounters, suggesting a competitive matchup. Both sides will look to leverage their strengths – Monaco's home scoring and Marseille's overall attacking form – in this intriguing contest.

Prediction

A draw appears to be a strong possibility, given the current dynamics and historical results. Monaco's solid home form contrasts with Marseille's inability to perform on the road, which could lead to a stalemate. Therefore, the prediction leans towards a "X" market. Confidence in this outcome is bolstered by Monaco's unbeaten home record against Marseille's travel struggles. As additional betting options, expect Monaco to score at least once, given their attacking record at home, and Marseille might break their away goal drought. Both teams scoring and the match potentially ending in a draw are probable secondary outcomes.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%
1X
70%
Total:Over: 3.0
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Monaco vs Marseille
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
Pinnacle
1xBet
Betano
Dafabet

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Marseille logoMarseille ★
1 1 0 0 3
2
Lens logoLens
1 1 0 0 3
3
Lille logoLille
1 1 0 0 3
4
Lyon logoLyon
1 1 0 0 3
5
Monaco logoMonaco ★
1 1 0 0 3
6
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
1 0 1 0 1
7
Le Mans logoLe Mans
1 0 1 0 1
8
Rennes logoRennes
1 0 1 0 1
9
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
1 0 1 0 1
10
Lorient logoLorient
1 0 1 0 1
11
Paris FC logoParis FC
1 0 1 0 1
12
Nice logoNice
1 0 1 0 1
13
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
1 0 1 0 1
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
1 0 0 1 0
15
Toulouse logoToulouse
1 0 0 1 0
16
Angers logoAngers
1 0 0 1 0
17
Auxerre logoAuxerre
1 0 0 1 0
18
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
1 0 0 1 0
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