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Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

Major League Soccer 26.09.2026 · 19:30 Saputo Stadium Referee: F. Dujic
CF Montreal emblem
CF Montreal
W
L
L
L
D
vs
– : –
26 Sep · 19:30
FC Cincinnati emblem
FC Cincinnati
D
L
L
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
36%
CF Montreal
24%
Draw
40%
FC Cincinnati

Form Comparison

■ CF Montreal ■ FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
17%
Form
83%
40%
Att
60%
50%
Def
50%
61%
Poisson distribution
39%
0%
H2h
100%
25%
Goals
75%
39%
Total
61%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
22.03.2026
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
4 — 3
18.10.2025
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
3 — 0
25.06.2025
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati
1 — 3
24.01.2025
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
1 — 0
31.08.2024
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
4 — 1
13.04.2024
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati
2 — 1
20.09.2023
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati
1 — 1
17.05.2023
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
3 — 0
28.05.2022
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati
4 — 3
02.04.2022
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
3 — 4

Last Matches

CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
16.09.2026
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2 — 1
12.09.2026
Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal
0 — 1
09.09.2026
CF Montreal vs Charlotte
1 — 2
05.09.2026
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
0 — 2
02.09.2026
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati are set to clash at Saputo Stadium, with both teams coming off a series of inconsistent performances. FC Cincinnati has been particularly porous at the back, conceding an average of 2.80 goals per game in their last five outings, a vulnerability that CF Montreal will be eager to exploit. Meanwhile, Montreal has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.80 goals per game over the same period. This dynamic promises a fascinating encounter as both teams seek to find form and momentum.

CF Montreal's recent form has been a mixed bag. They secured a narrow victory against Vancouver Whitecaps but suffered defeats at the hands of Charlotte and Philadelphia Union. Their home form offers some solace with one win and three draws in their last five home fixtures, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match. Comparatively, FC Cincinnati has managed one win in their last five, a 2-1 victory over New York City FC. They have also failed to win away from home in their last five attempts, a record they will be keen to amend. Their away games have seen them concede an average of 3.00 goals per match, which could offer CF Montreal opportunities to capitalize, despite Montreal's own defensive shortcomings.

Key numbers further highlight the contrasting styles of these two teams. Montreal's home games have seen them concede an average of 1.60 goals, while Cincinnati's away matches have been high-scoring affairs, with a total average of 4.00 goals per game. Historical data favors FC Cincinnati heavily; they have won all five of their last encounters against Montreal, scoring 15 goals in the process. Yet, Montreal's slightly better defensive record at home compared to Cincinnati's away defense could level the playing field. Both teams will need to address their vulnerabilities at the back to gain an edge.

The prediction for this clash leans towards a draw, given the defensive frailties both teams have exhibited. FC Cincinnati's historical dominance over Montreal is undeniable, but their poor away form and Montreal's relative home steadiness suggest a close contest. A bet on a draw (market: X) appears to offer value, supported by both teams' current form and defensive records. With a confidence score of 6, this prediction reflects the competitive nature of the fixture, as neither side has shown consistent form to suggest a clear advantage.

Additional betting insights include a high probability of both teams scoring, given their defensive records, with a likelihood of 70%. The likelihood of CF Montreal scoring at least once is also high, given Cincinnati's defensive issues, estimated at 65%. Similarly, FC Cincinnati's ability to find the net is backed by their average of 1.20 goals per game, with a probability of 60%. Lastly, a bet on more than 1.5 total goals in the match is supported by both teams' recent high-scoring games, with a probability of 75%.

Prediction and Betting Tips

6/10 Confidence
1X
60%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
Betano
Pinnacle

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
24 14 4 6 46
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
25 13 4 8 43
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
25 12 7 6 43
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
25 12 5 8 41
5
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
25 11 8 6 41
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
26 11 7 8 40
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
25 11 2 12 35
8
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
25 9 5 11 32
9
San Diego logoSan Diego
25 8 6 11 30
10
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
26 7 9 10 30
11
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
24 8 5 11 29
12
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
25 7 8 10 29
13
Austin logoAustin
25 7 8 10 29
14
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
23 7 7 9 28
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
24 5 3 16 18
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