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Major League Soccer

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction

Major League Soccer 26.09.2026 · 20:30 Geodis Park Referee: F. Dujic
Nashville SC emblem
Nashville SC
D
L
D
W
W
vs
– : –
26 Sep · 20:30
Toronto FC emblem
Toronto FC
L
W
D
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
67%
Nashville SC
20%
Draw
13%
Toronto FC

Form Comparison

■ Nashville SC ■ Toronto FC
Nashville SC
Toronto FC
50%
Form
50%
53%
Att
47%
63%
Def
38%
82%
Poisson distribution
18%
80%
H2h
20%
67%
Goals
33%
66%
Total
34%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
09.09.2026
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
2 — 1
19.07.2025
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
1 — 0
24.05.2025
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
1 — 2
19.06.2024
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
1 — 2
15.05.2024
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
2 — 0
02.02.2024
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
10.06.2023
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
1 — 1
08.04.2023
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
0 — 0
06.08.2022
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
3 — 4
18.09.2021
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
2 — 1

Last Matches

Nashville SC
Toronto FC
12.09.2026
Inter Miami vs Nashville SC
2 — 2
09.09.2026
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
1 — 2
04.09.2026
New York City FC vs Nashville SC
0 — 0
29.08.2026
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati
4 — 0
22.08.2026
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
3 — 2
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Nashville SC has been prolific in front of goal at home, averaging 3.00 goals per match in their last five outings at Geodis Park. As they prepare to face Toronto FC, this attacking prowess will be crucial. However, Toronto FC enters this encounter having defeated Nashville 2-1 in their recent head-to-head clash, showcasing their ability to challenge the hosts.

Nashville SC's recent form has been robust, with a noteworthy home record of four wins and a single loss in their last five matches. At Geodis Park, they have consistently outperformed their opponents, scoring an average of 3.00 goals per game while conceding just 1.00. In contrast, Toronto's away form paints a different picture. Despite a recent 2-1 victory over Inter Miami, Toronto has struggled on the road, managing only one win, with two draws and two losses. They have averaged just 0.80 goals scored and conceded 1.40 goals per match away from home. This disparity highlights Nashville's formidable home advantage, which could be decisive.

Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, but Nashville has demonstrated a more balanced approach, with an overall average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in their last five matches. Toronto, on the other hand, has leaked goals consistently, averaging 2.00 goals conceded per game, offset by their 1.80 goals scored. Historically, Nashville has had the upper hand in their head-to-head matchups, securing four wins out of their last five encounters with Toronto. This statistic underscores Nashville's ability to dominate Toronto, both home and away, making them the favorites in this fixture.

Given the recent performances and statistical trends, a prediction emerges: Nashville SC is likely to maintain their impressive home form against a Toronto side that struggles away from home. Nashville's superior head-to-head record further bolsters their chances. The most compelling betting event is Nashville SC to win (market: Win 1). This prediction is supported by Nashville's strong home performance and Toronto's inconsistent away results. With a confidence score of 8, Nashville's victory seems probable.

In addition to the main prediction, several other outcomes appear likely. Considering Nashville's goal-scoring record at home, a Total Team 1 Over 1.5 is expected, reflecting their average of 3.00 goals per home match. Additionally, given Toronto's defensive frailties, a Total Team 2 Under 1.5 is probable, aligning with their average of 0.80 goals scored away. With both teams' recent high-scoring games, a Total: Over 3.0 could materialize, while the historical head-to-head results suggest Nashville securing a Win 1 is a viable option. These predictions align with recent form and statistics, offering a comprehensive view of potential match outcomes.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
Total:Over: 3.0
65%
Win 1
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
Betano
Pinnacle

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
24 14 4 6 46
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
25 13 4 8 43
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
25 12 7 6 43
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
25 12 5 8 41
5
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
25 11 8 6 41
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
26 11 7 8 40
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
25 11 2 12 35
8
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
25 9 5 11 32
9
San Diego logoSan Diego
25 8 6 11 30
10
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
26 7 9 10 30
11
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
24 8 5 11 29
12
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
25 7 8 10 29
13
Austin logoAustin
25 7 8 10 29
14
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
23 7 7 9 28
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
24 5 3 16 18
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