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Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City Prediction

Major League Soccer 26.09.2026 · 19:30 Sports Illustrated Stadium
New York Red Bulls emblem
New York Red Bulls
W
L
D
L
D
vs
– : –
26 Sep · 19:30
St. Louis City emblem
St. Louis City
W
W
D
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
37%
New York Red Bulls
25%
Draw
38%
St. Louis City

Form Comparison

■ New York Red Bulls ■ St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
31%
Form
69%
18%
Att
82%
60%
Def
40%
40%
Poisson distribution
60%
50%
H2h
50%
56%
Goals
44%
43%
Total
58%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
24.01.2026
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City
3 — 1
29.01.2025
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City
0 — 1
10.02.2024
St. Louis City vs New York Red Bulls
2 — 2

Last Matches

New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
12.09.2026
Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
1 — 0
09.09.2026
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls
0 — 2
05.09.2026
Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls
0 — 0
29.08.2026
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union
1 — 3
22.08.2026
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

In their last five encounters, St. Louis City has averaged an impressive 3.00 goals per match, showcasing their attacking prowess. On the other hand, New York Red Bulls have struggled offensively, managing just 0.60 goals per game in the same period. This disparity highlights the contrasting forms of the two sides ahead of their clash at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Form and Context

New York Red Bulls enter this fixture with a mixed bag of results. Their recent 1-0 victory over Columbus Crew is a rare bright spot in a series that includes defeats to Los Angeles FC and Philadelphia Union. At home, their form remains concerning, with only one win in their last five outings. St. Louis City, conversely, rides a wave of strong performances with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. Their away form is particularly noteworthy, remaining unbeaten in their recent travels. This sets up an intriguing battle as New York Red Bulls seek to leverage home advantage against a St. Louis City side that excels on the road.

Key Numbers

New York Red Bulls' home form is underwhelming, with an average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded. This contrasts sharply with St. Louis City's away statistics, where they score an average of 2.40 goals while conceding 1.00. The head-to-head stats also offer little separation; both teams have secured a win each, with one draw in their last three meetings. However, the offensive momentum appears to be in favor of St. Louis, given their recent scoring exploits. The New York defense will need to tighten up to contain the visitors' dynamic attack.

Prediction

Given the current form and statistical indicators, the prediction leans towards St. Louis City avoiding defeat, especially considering their unbeaten record away from home. The main betting event is "X2" given St. Louis City's resilience on the road and New York Red Bulls' inconsistent home performances. With a confidence score of 8, this outcome seems the most probable. Additional predictions include "Total:Over: 3.0" with a 70% probability, as both teams have shown tendencies for high-scoring games. "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" with a 65% probability reflects St. Louis City's attacking strength. "Handicap 2: 0.5" with a 60% probability and "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5" with a 55% probability align with the expectation of a tight contest where New York might struggle to breach the visitors' defense.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 3.0
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
Handicap 2: 0.5
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
Betano
Pinnacle

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
24 14 4 6 46
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
25 13 4 8 43
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
25 12 7 6 43
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
25 12 5 8 41
5
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City ★
25 11 8 6 41
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
26 11 7 8 40
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
25 11 2 12 35
8
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
25 9 5 11 32
9
San Diego logoSan Diego
25 8 6 11 30
10
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
26 7 9 10 30
11
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
24 8 5 11 29
12
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
25 7 8 10 29
13
Austin logoAustin
25 7 8 10 29
14
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
23 7 7 9 28
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
24 5 3 16 18
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