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Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Major League Soccer 26.09.2026 · 19:30 Subaru Park Referee: S. Boiko
Philadelphia Union emblem
Philadelphia Union
W
W
W
W
D
vs
– : –
26 Sep · 19:30
Orlando City SC emblem
Orlando City SC
L
W
W
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
61%
Philadelphia Union
21%
Draw
18%
Orlando City SC

Form Comparison

■ Philadelphia Union ■ Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
50%
Form
50%
57%
Att
43%
75%
Def
25%
71%
Poisson distribution
29%
29%
H2h
71%
48%
Goals
52%
55%
Total
45%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
13.05.2026
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union
4 — 3
05.04.2025
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC
0 — 0
22.02.2025
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union
2 — 4
02.10.2024
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union
2 — 1
11.05.2024
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC
2 — 3
21.06.2023
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union
2 — 2
25.03.2023
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC
1 — 2
10.09.2022
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC
5 — 1
23.07.2022
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union
0 — 1
10.05.2022
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union
2 — 1

Last Matches

Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
13.09.2026
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union
5 — 0
09.09.2026
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati
5 — 0
05.09.2026
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
2 — 0
29.08.2026
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union
3 — 1
22.08.2026
Austin vs Philadelphia Union
1 — 1
W: 4 · D: 1 · L: 0

Philadelphia Union enters this matchup against Orlando City SC with an impressive run of form, having scored an average of 3.20 goals per match in their last five outings while conceding only 0.40. In contrast, Orlando City SC has also been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.20 goals, but has shown vulnerability at the back with 1.40 goals conceded per match over the same period.

Form and Context

Philadelphia Union has been dominant in recent weeks, boasting a strong record both at home and away, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches in each setting. Their offensive prowess is evident, having netted 5 goals against both San Diego and FC Cincinnati. Meanwhile, Orlando City SC has had a mixed bag of results on the road, winning two, drawing one, and losing two of their last five away fixtures. However, they demonstrated resilience in their 3-3 draw against Minnesota United FC and an impressive 3-2 win over Atlanta United FC. Although both teams have no injuries or suspensions affecting their squad depth, Philadelphia's consistency in both scoring and defense gives them a slight edge.

Key Numbers

Looking at their recent encounters, Philadelphia Union has been a goal-scoring machine at home, averaging 2.40 goals per game and conceding only 1.00. Orlando, while potent offensively with an average of 2.20 goals in away matches, has struggled defensively, conceding the same amount. In head-to-head matchups, Orlando City SC holds the upper hand with three wins to Philadelphia's one, and one draw. In their most recent encounter, Orlando edged out Philadelphia 4-3, highlighting their competitive and high-scoring nature when they clash.

Prediction

Given Philadelphia Union's formidable home form and Orlando's fluctuating away performances, a prediction favoring Philadelphia Union to maintain their unbeaten streak at home seems reasonable. Despite Orlando's ability to score, Philadelphia's defensive solidity at Subaru Park makes them favorites to avoid defeat. The most probable betting event for this match is "1X," with a Confidence Score of 8, as Philadelphia is expected to either win or draw based on recent form. Additional predictions include "Total:Over: 2.5" with 70% probability, given both teams' high-scoring nature, and "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" with 65%, reflecting Philadelphia's scoring rate at home. "Total Team 2 Over: 1" at 60% probability accounts for Orlando's offensive capabilities, while "Handicap 1: 0.5" at 58% suggests Philadelphia will not lose this encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
60%
Handicap 1: 0.5
58%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
Betano
Pinnacle

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
24 14 4 6 46
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
25 13 4 8 43
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
25 12 7 6 43
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
25 12 5 8 41
5
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
25 11 8 6 41
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
26 11 7 8 40
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
25 11 2 12 35
8
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
25 9 5 11 32
9
San Diego logoSan Diego
25 8 6 11 30
10
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
26 7 9 10 30
11
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
24 8 5 11 29
12
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
25 7 8 10 29
13
Austin logoAustin
25 7 8 10 29
14
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
23 7 7 9 28
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
24 5 3 16 18
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