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Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Major League Soccer 23.09.2026 · 21:30 Lumen Field Referee: Tori Penso, USA
Seattle Sounders emblem
Seattle Sounders
D
D
D
D
L
vs
– : –
23 Sep · 21:30
Real Salt Lake emblem
Real Salt Lake
L
L
D
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
46%
Seattle Sounders
26%
Draw
28%
Real Salt Lake

Form Comparison

■ Seattle Sounders ■ Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
80%
Form
20%
56%
Att
44%
60%
Def
40%
53%
Poisson distribution
47%
29%
H2h
71%
30%
Goals
70%
51%
Total
49%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
28.02.2026
Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders
2 — 1
11.10.2025
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake
1 — 0
01.03.2025
Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders
2 — 0
29.05.2024
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake
1 — 1
15.05.2024
Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders
2 — 0
22.07.2023
Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders
3 — 0
29.04.2023
Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders
0 — 0
04.03.2023
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake
2 — 0
14.08.2022
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake
1 — 2
05.03.2022
Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders
1 — 0

Last Matches

Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
12.09.2026
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders
1 — 1
05.09.2026
Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls
0 — 0
29.08.2026
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire
2 — 2
22.08.2026
FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
1 — 1
19.08.2026
Seattle Sounders vs Austin
1 — 2
W: 0 · D: 4 · L: 1

Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake both arrive at Lumen Field on the back of challenging periods, with neither team securing a win in their last five matches. Seattle Sounders have managed three draws and two losses, while Real Salt Lake have fared even worse with one draw and four losses.

Form and Context

Seattle Sounders, currently sitting 14th in the league, have struggled to make their home advantage count, with no wins in their last five home games. They've managed two draws and conceded three losses, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per game at home while conceding 1.60. Real Salt Lake, positioned 11th, have an equally dismal away record, losing all five of their recent away fixtures, scoring an average of just 0.60 goals and conceding 1.80 per game. Head-to-head, the advantage lies with Real Salt Lake, having won three of the last five encounters against Seattle, with the Sounders winning just once.

Key Numbers

Seattle Sounders have averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded over their last five matches, indicating a slight edge over Real Salt Lake's 0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the same period. This slight offensive edge for Seattle is mitigated by their vulnerability at the back. Meanwhile, Real Salt Lake's poor form is evident in their away games, where they have failed to score more than once in their last five trips. The head-to-head statistics further underscore Real Salt Lake's upper hand, but neither team can boast recent form that inspires confidence.

Prediction

Given both teams' inability to secure a win recently, a draw appears the most probable outcome. However, Seattle's slightly better scoring record and home advantage, despite their struggles, may tilt the balance slightly in their favor. One betting market to consider is the "X" for a draw, given the statistics and recent form, but a more intriguing market might be "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5." Given Real Salt Lake's scoring struggles on the road, failing to score more than one goal in their last five away matches, this market offers significant value. Confidence in this prediction is bolstered by the fact that Seattle, despite their defensive frailties, have managed to limit opponents to minimal scoring at times. Therefore, the main prediction is "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5" with a confidence score of 8. Additionally, a draw, low scoring, and Seattle's recent home performances suggest betting on "X2," "Total:Under: 2.0," and "Handicap 1: 0.5" could also have potential value.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
X
45%
X2
60%
Total:Under: 3.0
70%
Handicap 1: 0.5
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
Betano
Pinnacle

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
24 14 4 6 46
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
25 13 4 8 43
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
25 12 7 6 43
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
25 12 5 8 41
5
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
25 11 8 6 41
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
26 11 7 8 40
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
25 11 2 12 35
8
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
25 9 5 11 32
9
San Diego logoSan Diego
25 8 6 11 30
10
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
26 7 9 10 30
11
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake ★
24 8 5 11 29
12
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
25 7 8 10 29
13
Austin logoAustin
25 7 8 10 29
14
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders ★
23 7 7 9 28
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
24 5 3 16 18
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