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Al-Fateh vs Al Najma Prediction

Pro League 14.05.2026 · 15:55 Al Fateh club stadium Referee: Mohammed Nasser Abu Shaqara, Saudi Arabia
Al-Fateh emblem
Al-Fateh
W
L
L
D
D
vs
– : –
14 May · 15:55
Al Najma emblem
Al Najma
W
L
D
D
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.83

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Al-Fateh
45%
Draw
10%
Al Najma

Form Comparison

■ Al-Fateh ■ Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
50%
Form
50%
45%
Att
55%
53%
Def
47%
74%
Poisson distribution
26%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
54%
Total
46%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.01.2026
Al Najma vs Al-Fateh
1 — 1

Last Matches

Al-Fateh
Al Najma
14.05.2026
Al-Fateh vs Al Najma
2 — 0
10.05.2026
Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh
0 — 1
06.05.2026
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh
1 — 3
02.05.2026
Al-Fateh vs NEOM
2 — 2
28.04.2026
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

As the Pro League season approaches its climax, Al-Fateh prepares to host Al Najma at the Al Fateh Club Stadium on May 14th. Both teams find themselves in the lower echelons of the league table, with Al-Fateh sitting 12th and Al Najma languishing at the bottom in 18th place. This encounter promises to be a crucial one for both sides, aiming to finish the season on a high note.

Al-Fateh's Performance and Prospects

Al-Fateh has shown a mixed bag of performances recently, securing two wins, two draws, and suffering one defeat in their last five matches. Their offensive capabilities have been modest, averaging 0.80 goals per game, while their defense has been relatively stable, conceding an average of 1.00 goal per match. At home, they have fared slightly better, with an average of 1.20 goals scored and an equal number conceded. As they approach this fixture, Al-Fateh is fortunate to have no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions, which might give them an edge in maintaining squad consistency.

Al Najma's Challenges and Opportunities

On the other hand, Al Najma has been struggling, both in defense and attack. They have scored an average of 1.20 goals per match in their last five outings but have conceded a worrying 2.20 goals on average. Away from home, their record is bleak, with an average of 0.80 goals scored and a staggering 3.20 goals conceded per game. Like their opponents, they too have a full squad available with no injury or suspension concerns. Despite these challenges, Al Najma will look to exploit any vulnerabilities in Al-Fateh's defense, hoping to replicate their recent success against NEOM, where they managed a hard-fought 2-1 victory.

Prediction and Expected Outcomes

Considering the recent performances of both teams, this match could offer a tightly contested affair. The previous head-to-head encounter between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a historically balanced matchup. The prediction for this match leans towards both teams finding the back of the net, given their respective defensive frailties and offensive potentials. The most likely betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," with a confidence score of 7. This is supported by Al Najma's tendency to concede heavily while still managing to score, coupled with Al-Fateh's similar defensive record. Additional betting events to consider include a draw (X), given the evenly matched previous encounters, and goals market predictions such as "Total:Over: 2.5," considering both teams' average goals scored and conceded. Al-Fateh will aim to capitalize on their slightly better form and home advantage, while Al Najma will fight to avoid another defeat as they strive for a respectable end to their trying season.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, with Al Najma conceding heavily and Al-Fateh showing a stable scoring rate at home.

3.83
Odds
X
30%
Total:Over: 2.5
55%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Al-Fateh vs Al Najma
Pin-UP
W11.50
X4.75
W25.25
William Hill
W11.44
X4.50
W24.60
Bet365
W11.50
X4.20
W25.25
Marathonbet
W11.44
X4.50
W25.15
Unibet
W11.44
X4.60
W25.75
Betfair
W11.47
X4.75
W25.50
BetVictor
W11.45
X4.50
W25.25
Pinnacle
W11.50
X5.21
W25.10
SBO
W11.44
X4.31
W24.94
1xBet
W11.50
X4.67
W25.34
Betano
W11.53
X4.90
W25.20
888Sport
W11.44
X4.40
W25.00
Dafabet
W11.53
X4.90
W25.20

Pro League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Al-Nassr logoAl-Nassr
34 28 2 4 86
2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC logoAl-Hilal Saudi FC
34 25 9 0 84
3
Al-Ahli Jeddah logoAl-Ahli Jeddah
34 25 6 3 81
4
Al-Qadisiyah FC logoAl-Qadisiyah FC
34 23 8 3 77
5
Al-Ittihad FC logoAl-Ittihad FC
34 16 7 11 55
6
Al Taawon logoAl Taawon
34 15 8 11 53
7
Al-Ettifaq logoAl-Ettifaq
34 14 8 12 50
8
NEOM logoNEOM
34 12 9 13 45
9
Al-Hazm logoAl-Hazm
34 11 9 14 42
10
Al-Fayha logoAl-Fayha
34 10 8 16 38
11
Al-Fateh logoAl-Fateh ★
34 9 10 15 37
12
Al Khaleej Saihat logoAl Khaleej Saihat
34 10 7 17 37
13
Al Shabab logoAl Shabab
34 8 11 15 35
14
Al Kholood logoAl Kholood
34 9 6 19 33
15
Al Riyadh logoAl Riyadh
34 7 9 18 30
16
Damac logoDamac
34 6 11 17 29
17
Al Okhdood logoAl Okhdood
34 5 5 24 20
18
Al Najma logoAl Najma ★
34 3 7 24 16
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