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UEFA Nations League

Albania vs Belarus Prediction

UEFA Nations League 26.09.2026 · 14:45 Referee: Radu Marian Petrescu, Romania
Albania emblem
Albania
L
L
L
vs
– : –
26 Sep · 14:45
Belarus emblem
Belarus
D
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
61%
Albania
25%
Draw
14%
Belarus

Form Comparison

■ Albania ■ Belarus
Albania
Belarus
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
100%
H2h
0%
71%
Goals
29%
71%
Total
29%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.11.2020
Albania vs Belarus
3 — 2
04.09.2020
Belarus vs Albania
0 — 2

Last Matches

Albania
Belarus
06.06.2026
Albania vs Luxembourg
0 — 1
03.06.2026
Albania vs Israel
0 — 1
31.03.2026
Ukraine vs Albania
0 — 1
W: 0 · D: 0 · L: 3

Albania enters this UEFA Nations League match with a concerning statistic: they have failed to score in their last five matches, averaging 0.00 goals. This contrasts sharply with Belarus, who have been prolific, scoring an average of 2.25 goals over the same period. The disparity in recent form suggests a challenging encounter for Albania, especially given their struggles in front of goal.

Form and Context

Albania's recent form has been disappointing, with three consecutive losses and no goals scored. Their home performance mirrors this trend, having lost both of their last two matches with an average concession of one goal per game. In stark contrast, Belarus is on a positive trajectory, unbeaten in their last five outings and securing four wins. Their recent victories, including a 4-1 triumph over Syria and a 1-0 win against Cyprus, underscore their capability to perform both home and away. With no injuries or suspensions affecting either squad, both teams are at full strength, yet their recent forms suggest Albania may need to shift gears significantly to compete effectively.

Key Numbers

Albania's defensive record shows some resilience, conceding only one goal per match on average. However, the inability to score has been a critical issue. Conversely, Belarus combines robust offensive play with a solid defense, conceding an average of only one goal per match while scoring substantially more. In head-to-head encounters, Albania has historically had the upper hand, with two wins from their previous two meetings, scoring five goals to Belarus’s two. Despite this, current form indicates Belarus is the more likely side to influence the match outcome positively.

Prediction

Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, the prediction is that Belarus will capitalize on their superior form and scoring ability. The main betting event to watch is "X2", with a high confidence score based on Belarus's unbeaten away record and Albania's goal-scoring woes. Additional betting events include: "Total:Over: 1.5", given Belarus's scoring rate; "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5", reflecting Belarus’s consistent scoring; "Handicap 2: 0.5", acknowledging Albania's struggle for goals; and "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5", due to Albania's lack of scoring in recent matches. The combination of these factors suggests that Belarus will likely maintain their unbeaten run, leveraging their current form to secure a favorable result.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%
Handicap 2: 0.5
70%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Albania vs Belarus
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