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UEFA Nations League

Albania vs San Marino Prediction

UEFA Nations League 06.10.2026 · 14:45 Arena Kombëtare Referee: Mehmet Turkmen
Albania emblem
Albania
L
W
W
L
L
vs
– : –
06 Oct · 14:45
San Marino emblem
San Marino
L
L
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
93%
Albania
5%
Draw
2%
San Marino

Form Comparison

■ Albania ■ San Marino
Albania
San Marino
100%
Form
0%
100%
Att
0%
88%
Def
13%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
91%
H2h
9%
100%
Goals
0%
90%
Total
11%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
29.09.2026
San Marino vs Albania
0 — 3
08.09.2021
Albania vs San Marino
5 — 0
31.03.2021
San Marino vs Albania
0 — 2
26.03.2020
San Marino vs Albania
—

Last Matches

Albania
San Marino
03.10.2026
Finland vs Albania
1 — 2
29.09.2026
San Marino vs Albania
3 — 0
26.09.2026
Albania vs Belarus
2 — 0
06.06.2026
Albania vs Luxembourg
0 — 1
03.06.2026
Albania vs Israel
0 — 1
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Albania will host San Marino in an intriguing UEFA Nations League encounter on October 6, 2026. This match presents an opportunity for both teams to showcase their skills on the international stage, with Albania looking to capitalize on their recent performance trend against a traditionally weaker San Marino side.

Albania's Recent Form and Performance

Albania comes into this match with a mixed bag of results in their last five outings. They have secured victories against San Marino and Belarus, indicating their capability to perform well in competitive fixtures. However, narrow losses to Luxembourg, Israel, and Ukraine in friendlies suggest inconsistencies that Albania will aim to rectify. Notably, Albania has managed to score an average of 1.00 goals per game while conceding just 0.60, showcasing a relatively solid defense. When playing at home, they have a modest record, having won one of their last three matches, scoring an average of 0.67 goals per game.

San Marino's Struggles

San Marino's recent form paints a challenging picture, with the team failing to secure a win in their last five matches. Heavy defeats against Albania and Finland in the Nations League highlight their struggles in competitive matches, while a solitary draw against Andorra offers a glimpse of resilience. San Marino's offensive struggles are evident, with the team scoring only 0.40 goals per game on average, while their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.80 goals per game. This defensive frailty will be a significant concern as they face an Albanian side that has previously dominated them.

Prediction and Expected Outcomes

In this encounter between Albania and San Marino, the prediction is for Albania to win comfortably, given their superior head-to-head record and recent performance trends. Albania's ability to break down San Marino's defense, coupled with their relatively stable defensive record, makes them strong favorites for this match.

- **Main Prediction**: Handicap 1: 1, as Albania is likely to win by at least two goals given their recent 3-0 win over San Marino. - **Additional Predictions**: - Win: 1, with Albania's superior form and head-to-head record supporting a home victory. - Both Teams to Score: No, reflecting San Marino's difficulties in finding the net. - Total Team 1: Over 1.5, considering Albania's ability to score multiple goals against weaker defenses. - Total Team 2: Under 0.5, given San Marino's limited scoring capability.

Albania's superior form and past successes against San Marino suggest they will likely dominate this encounter. The main prediction and additional picks are supported by Albania's recent performances and the evident challenges faced by San Marino in competitive settings.

Prediction and Betting Tips

9/10 Confidence
Win 1
85%
Both Teams to Score: No
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
70%

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