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UEFA Nations League

Croatia vs Spain Prediction

UEFA Nations League 06.10.2026 · 14:45 Stadion Poljud Referee: Erik Lambrechts
Croatia emblem
Croatia
L
L
W
L
W
vs
– : –
06 Oct · 14:45
Spain emblem
Spain
W
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Croatia
16%
Draw
74%
Spain

Form Comparison

■ Croatia ■ Spain
Croatia
Spain
25%
Form
75%
23%
Att
77%
25%
Def
75%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
20%
H2h
80%
32%
Goals
68%
25%
Total
75%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
29.09.2026
Spain vs Croatia
4 — 1
15.06.2024
Spain vs Croatia
3 — 0
18.06.2023
Croatia vs Spain
0 — 0
28.06.2021
Croatia vs Spain
3 — 5
15.11.2018
Croatia vs Spain
3 — 2
11.09.2018
Spain vs Croatia
6 — 0
21.06.2016
Croatia vs Spain
2 — 1
18.06.2012
Croatia vs Spain
0 — 1

Last Matches

Croatia
Spain
03.10.2026
Croatia vs England
0 — 7
29.09.2026
Spain vs Croatia
1 — 4
26.09.2026
Czechia vs Croatia
2 — 1
02.07.2026
Portugal vs Croatia
1 — 2
27.06.2026
Croatia vs Ghana
2 — 1
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Croatia is set to face Spain in an intriguing UEFA Nations League encounter on October 6, 2026. Both teams come into this match with strong recent performances, but Spain has shown dominant form with a series of impressive victories. This match promises to be a captivating battle between two top-tier European teams.

Croatia's Recent Performances and Challenges

Croatia enters this match with a mixed set of recent results. They secured wins against Ghana and Panama in the World Cup, showing their capability to perform on the international stage. However, their recent head-to-head encounter against Spain ended in a 4-1 defeat, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities. Croatia's last five games have seen them score an average of 1.40 goals per match while conceding 1.60, indicating a need for stronger defensive performances against top opponents like Spain.

Spain's Dominant Form

Spain has been in exceptional form, winning all of their last five matches, including victories over England, Argentina, and France. This impressive run includes a 4-1 win over Croatia, which will undoubtedly boost their confidence heading into this match. Spain's attacking prowess is evident with an average of 2.40 goals scored per game in their last five outings, while defensively, they have been solid, conceding just 0.80 goals per game. Their consistency and form make them a formidable opponent for any team.

Prediction and Expected Outcome

In this match between Croatia and Spain, our prediction is for Spain to win (2). Spain's recent performances and head-to-head success against Croatia support this prediction, as they have consistently outperformed their opponents both offensively and defensively.

Additional predictions for this match include: 1. Both Teams to Score: Yes - Given Croatia's ability to find the net and Spain's attacking form, both teams are likely to score. 2. Total Team 2: Over 1.5 - Spain's attacking strength suggests they will score at least two goals. 3. Handicap 2: 0.5 - Spain is expected to win by more than one goal. 4. Draw at Half Time - Despite Spain's overall strength, Croatia may hold them to a draw in the first half.

With Spain's current form and Croatia's recent struggles against them, Spain is favored to secure a victory in this UEFA Nations League encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
75%
Handicap 2: 0.5
65%
Draw at Half Time: Yes
50%

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