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UEFA Nations League

Estonia vs Iceland Prediction

UEFA Nations League 06.10.2026 · 14:45 A. Le Coq Arena Referee: David Dickinson
Estonia emblem
Estonia
W
D
D
L
D
vs
– : –
06 Oct · 14:45
Iceland emblem
Iceland
W
W
D
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
19%
Estonia
25%
Draw
56%
Iceland

Form Comparison

■ Estonia ■ Iceland
Estonia
Iceland
42%
Form
58%
22%
Att
78%
50%
Def
50%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
43%
Total
57%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
26.09.2026
Iceland vs Estonia
1 — 1
08.01.2023
Iceland vs Estonia
1 — 1

Last Matches

Estonia
Iceland
03.10.2026
Estonia vs Luxembourg
1 — 0
29.09.2026
Bulgaria vs Estonia
0 — 0
26.09.2026
Iceland vs Estonia
1 — 1
30.03.2026
Rwanda vs Estonia
0 — 2
27.03.2026
Kenya vs Estonia
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 3 · L: 1

Estonia is set to host Iceland in an intriguing UEFA Nations League clash on October 6, 2026. Both teams have shown mixed results in their recent outings, making this encounter an exciting prospect for football fans.

Estonia's Recent Form and Challenges

Estonia comes into this match with a series of draws and losses in recent fixtures. They managed to hold Bulgaria to a goalless draw and shared the spoils with Iceland in their previous encounter. However, defeats against Rwanda and a draw with Kenya highlight some struggles in converting performances into victories. In their last five matches, Estonia has scored an average of 0.50 goals per game while conceding 1.00, indicating potential issues in both attack and defense. Despite these challenges, Estonia will be eager to capitalize on home advantage, albeit with no supporting data from recent home performances.

Iceland's Current Standing

Iceland has also experienced a mixed bag of results, with a notable 3-0 victory over Luxembourg providing a morale boost. However, losses to strong teams like Argentina and Japan, coupled with a draw against Haiti, suggest inconsistency in their form. Iceland has scored an average of 1.00 goals per game while conceding 1.20 in their last five matches, reflecting a slightly more potent attack than their Estonian counterparts. With no injuries or suspensions reported, Iceland will look to exploit Estonia's vulnerabilities and improve upon their recent draw in the head-to-head matchup.

Prediction: A Closely Contested Draw

Considering the recent form and head-to-head results between Estonia and Iceland, a draw seems the most likely outcome. Both teams have shown a tendency to share points, as evidenced by their last two encounters ending in 1-1 draws. Estonia's home advantage may be neutralized by Iceland's slightly better offensive capabilities, suggesting a balanced contest. Therefore, the prediction for this match is a draw, supported by the teams' similar recent performances.

Additional predictions for this match include: Both Teams to Score: Yes, Total: Over 1.5, Total Team 2: Over 0.5, and Handicap 2: 0.5. These predictions are aligned with the teams’ scoring patterns and previous encounters, providing a comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%
Handicap 2: 0.5
60%

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