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UEFA Nations League

Denmark vs Wales Prediction

UEFA Nations League 27.09.2026 · 12:00 Referee: D. Siebert
Denmark emblem
Denmark
W
D
vs
– : –
27 Sep · 12:00
Wales emblem
Wales
L
D
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
57%
Denmark
25%
Draw
18%
Wales

Form Comparison

■ Denmark ■ Wales
Denmark
Wales
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
100%
H2h
0%
89%
Goals
11%
89%
Total
11%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
26.06.2021
Wales vs Denmark
0 — 4
16.11.2018
Wales vs Denmark
1 — 2
09.09.2018
Denmark vs Wales
2 — 0

Last Matches

Denmark
Wales
07.06.2026
Denmark vs Ukraine
2 — 1
03.06.2026
Congo DR vs Denmark
0 — 0
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 0

Denmark has dominated recent encounters with Wales, winning all three previous meetings by a combined score of 8-1. This record sets a challenging stage for Wales as they face a Danish side that has shown resilience both home and away. Denmark's recent form has been solid, with a victory over Ukraine and a goalless draw against Congo DR, highlighting their defensive strength. In contrast, Wales has struggled to secure wins, having drawn twice and lost once in their last three matches, with their most notable result being a 1-1 draw against Ghana.

Form and Context

Denmark enters this match with momentum, having secured a win and a draw in their last two fixtures. Their home performance has been particularly impressive, with an average of 2.00 goals scored per game, while conceding only 1.00. This contrasts with their away form, where they have struggled to find the back of the net but have also been difficult to breach with no goals conceded. Wales, on the other hand, has had a mixed run of form, failing to secure a win in their last three matches. Their inability to hold firm defensively, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game, could be a significant disadvantage against a Danish side known for its attacking prowess at home.

Key Numbers

Denmark's average goals scored in their last five matches stands at 1.00, with an impressive defensive record of just 0.50 goals conceded per game. Their home form is particularly strong, with a 2.00 goal scoring average. Wales, meanwhile, has scored an average of 1.00 goals per game, but their defense has been porous, conceding 1.33 goals on average. The head-to-head record heavily favors Denmark, with three wins in their last three encounters against Wales, scoring a total of eight goals while conceding just one. This historical dominance gives Denmark a psychological edge as they prepare for this fixture.

Prediction

Considering Denmark's robust home performance and the historical head-to-head advantage, the prediction leans towards a match with multiple goals. A likely betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5" goals, given Denmark's attacking efficiency at home and Wales' defensive vulnerabilities. With Denmark's average home goals and Wales' away goals conceded, this outcome appears probable. Additionally, other betting events to consider include "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" due to Denmark's scoring record, and "Total:Under: 3.0", given the controlled nature of Denmark's recent matches. Denmark's consistent scoring and defensive solidity suggest a high probability of them securing a win with a clean sheet, making "Total Team 2 Under: 0.5" and "Handicap 1: 1" viable options. The combination of Denmark's form and Wales' defensive frailties points to a high-scoring affair, with Denmark likely to dominate.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Total:Under: 3.0
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
60%
Handicap 1: 1
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Denmark vs Wales
Marathonbet
Betfair
1xBet
Betano
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