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UEFA Nations League

England vs Spain Prediction

UEFA Nations League 26.09.2026 · 14:45 Referee: F. Letexier
England emblem
England
W
L
W
W
W
vs
– : –
26 Sep · 14:45
Spain emblem
Spain
W
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
33%
England
30%
Draw
37%
Spain

Form Comparison

■ England ■ Spain
England
Spain
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
33%
H2h
67%
45%
Goals
55%
39%
Total
61%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.07.2024
Spain vs England
2 — 1
15.10.2018
Spain vs England
2 — 3
08.09.2018
England vs Spain
1 — 2

Last Matches

England
Spain
18.07.2026
France vs England
6 — 4
15.07.2026
England vs Argentina
1 — 2
11.07.2026
Norway vs England
2 — 1
05.07.2026
Mexico vs England
3 — 2
01.07.2026
England vs Congo DR
2 — 1
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

England's recent encounter with France, which ended in a thrilling 6-4 victory, underscores their offensive prowess, averaging 2.80 goals per match in their last five outings. However, they also concede an average of 2.00 goals, highlighting a defensive vulnerability. Spain, in contrast, has been defensively solid, conceding only 0.20 goals on average in the same period while scoring 1.80. With both teams undefeated in their last five matches, this clash promises to be a compelling contest of attacking flair against defensive resilience.

Both England and Spain have showcased remarkable away form, each securing victories in their last four away fixtures. England has been prolific on the road, averaging 3.25 goals per game, but they concede 1.75 goals, which could be problematic against Spain's tight defense. Spain's away performance includes a 0.25 goals conceded average, pointing to their defensive discipline. Historically, Spain has had the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, winning two of the last three encounters. England's recent form, however, demonstrates their capacity to score against top opponents, promising a competitive edge in this fixture.

Key figures from recent performances point to contrasting styles. England, with an aggregate of 14 goals from their last five matches, have been reliant on offensive firepower, whereas Spain's five-match streak without conceding more than a single goal highlights their defensive acumen. In head-to-head encounters, Spain emerged victorious in two out of the last three, including a close 2-1 in their most recent meeting. Both teams are free from injuries and suspensions, allowing them to field their strongest line-ups, which places additional emphasis on tactical execution.

In terms of prediction, Spain's superior head-to-head record combined with their defensive solidity makes the betting market "X2" (Spain win or draw) an attractive option. With both teams in excellent form and no key players missing, the likelihood of Spain avoiding defeat is bolstered by their ability to contain high-scoring teams like England. The confidence score for this scenario is 8, indicating strong belief in Spain's capacity to secure at least a draw. Additional betting opportunities include predicting total goals over 1.5, given England's scoring average. Expecting England to score over 0.5 goals is supported by their consistent offensive output. Spain's defensive record suggests a probability of them conceding under 1.5 goals. A draw, while less likely than a win for either side, remains a plausible outcome given the teams' strengths and recent form.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
75%
X
30%

Bookmakers Odds Online

England vs Spain
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
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