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UEFA Nations League

Germany vs Greece Prediction

UEFA Nations League 27.09.2026 · 14:45 Referee: José Munuera
Germany emblem
Germany
D
L
W
W
W
vs
– : –
27 Sep · 14:45
Greece emblem
Greece
L
D
D
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
69%
Germany
19%
Draw
12%
Greece

Form Comparison

■ Germany ■ Greece
Germany
Greece
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
100%
H2h
0%
67%
Goals
33%
67%
Total
33%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.06.2024
Germany vs Greece
2 — 1
22.06.2012
Germany vs Greece
4 — 2

Last Matches

Germany
Greece
29.06.2026
Germany vs Paraguay
1 — 1
25.06.2026
Ecuador vs Germany
1 — 2
20.06.2026
Germany vs Ivory Coast
2 — 1
14.06.2026
Germany vs Curaçao
7 — 1
06.06.2026
USA vs Germany
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Germany's recent form has been prolific, scoring an impressive average of 3.20 goals per game at home over their last five matches. This attacking prowess will be tested against Greece, who have struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.50 goals per match in their last five outings.

Form and Context

Germany comes into this match with a mixed bag of results. Although they suffered a narrow defeat to Ecuador, they bounced back with victories against Ivory Coast and the USA. Their home form has been particularly strong, winning four out of their last five matches. In contrast, Greece has found themselves in a rut, particularly at home, where they've lost both of their last two fixtures. However, they have shown resilience on the road, managing draws against Sweden and Hungary. This stark contrast in form highlights Germany's attacking threat versus Greece's defensive solidity away from home.

Key Numbers

Germany's goal-scoring form is notable, with an average of 2.60 goals per game across their last five matches. They have demonstrated an ability to score heavily at home, with a high of seven goals against Curaçao. Conversely, Greece has managed to keep their defensive line relatively tight, conceding an average of just 1.00 goal per game in recent away matches. The head-to-head record between these two sides further tilts in Germany's favor, with two wins out of their last two encounters and an aggregate score of 6-3.

Prediction

Considering Germany's strong home form and Greece's struggles to score, the prediction leans towards a German victory with a clean sheet. Germany’s defensive record at home, conceding just 0.80 goals on average, suggests they can stifle Greece's limited attacking threat. The most likely betting event is a clean sheet for Germany, given Greece's low scoring rate and Germany's dominant head-to-head record. A German win with a clean sheet is a solid pick, with a confidence score of 7 out of 10. Additional predictions include Germany to win, Germany to score over 1.5 goals, Greece to score under 0.5 goals, and Germany to win by at least two goals.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Win 1
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Handicap 1: 1
60%
X2
40%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Germany vs Greece
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