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UEFA Nations League

Norway vs Portugal Prediction

UEFA Nations League 27.09.2026 · 14:45
Norway emblem
Norway
L
W
W
L
W
vs
– : –
27 Sep · 14:45
Portugal emblem
Portugal
L
W
D
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
33%
Norway
26%
Draw
41%
Portugal

Form Comparison

■ Norway ■ Portugal
Norway
Portugal
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
0%
H2h
0%
0%
Goals
0%
0%
Total
0%

Last Matches

Norway
Portugal
11.07.2026
Norway vs England
1 — 2
05.07.2026
Brazil vs Norway
2 — 1
30.06.2026
Ivory Coast vs Norway
2 — 1
26.06.2026
Norway vs France
1 — 4
22.06.2026
Norway vs Senegal
3 — 2
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Norway comes into this clash with an impressive record of scoring in each of their last five matches, averaging 1.80 goals per game. However, defensively they have been less robust, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match. Portugal, on the other hand, has been more solid at the back, allowing just 0.60 goals per game in their previous five outings. Offensively, Portugal averages 1.60 goals per match, showing a balanced performance on both ends of the pitch.

Form and Context

Recent performances suggest contrasting styles and fortunes for Norway and Portugal. Norway has shown a knack for finding the net, with a notable away victory over Brazil and a thrilling home win against Senegal. Yet, their defensive frailties were exposed in a heavy 1-4 home loss to France. Portugal, conversely, has been steadier, with a notable 5-0 demolition of Uzbekistan highlighting their potential. However, their away performances have been less convincing, with only one win and two draws, scoring just 0.67 goals per game on the road. Both teams will seek to exploit these dynamics, with Norway aiming to capitalize on their scoring prowess, while Portugal will look to maintain their defensive solidity.

Key Numbers

Norway’s home form has been inconsistent, with two wins and two losses in their last five outings, scoring 1.60 and conceding 1.80 goals on average. Portugal’s strength lies in their defensive record, especially away from home, where they haven’t conceded in their last three matches. This stark contrast paints a picture of an intriguing battle, with Norway’s offensive firepower meeting Portugal’s resolute defense. Norway's ability to score twice against the likes of Brazil and Ivory Coast shows their potential threat, while Portugal's 2-1 victory over Croatia underscores their competitive edge against strong opponents.

Prediction

Given the statistical trends, this match could likely see Norway attempting to break down Portugal’s defensive setup. The main prediction is "Handicap 1: 0.5" in favor of Norway, with a confidence score of 7. Norway's ability to score consistently, coupled with Portugal's occasional lapses on the road, suggests that Norway could at least secure a draw or a narrow win. Additionally, with Norway’s consistent scoring and Portugal’s solid defense, other probable betting events include "Total:Over: 1.5", which reflects Norway's scoring rate and Portugal's defensive capabilities. "X" is also likely, given Portugal's recent away draws. "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is plausible, reflecting Norway's scoring trend. Lastly, "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5" aligns with Portugal's low-scoring away performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
X
40%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
85%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Norway vs Portugal
Marathonbet
Betfair
1xBet
Betano
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