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UEFA Nations League

San Marino vs Finland Prediction

UEFA Nations League 26.09.2026 · 12:00 Referee: M. Lukjančukas
San Marino emblem
San Marino
L
L
D
L
vs
– : –
26 Sep · 12:00
Finland emblem
Finland
L
L
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
3%
San Marino
10%
Draw
87%
Finland

Form Comparison

■ San Marino ■ Finland
San Marino
Finland
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
0%
H2h
100%
11%
Goals
89%
11%
Total
89%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
20.11.2023
San Marino vs Finland
1 — 2
19.06.2023
Finland vs San Marino
6 — 0

Last Matches

San Marino
Finland
09.06.2026
Azerbaijan vs San Marino
1 — 2
05.06.2026
San Marino vs Bangladesh
1 — 2
31.03.2026
San Marino vs Andorra
0 — 0
28.03.2026
San Marino vs Faroe Islands
1 — 2
W: 0 · D: 1 · L: 3

San Marino has managed an average of 0.75 goals per game over their last five matches, a statistic that underscores their attacking struggles in recent encounters. Meanwhile, Finland has fared slightly better, scoring an average of 1.00 goal per game in the same period. This matchup highlights the contrasting fortunes of the two teams, with Finland generally showing more promise in front of goal.

Form and Context

San Marino's recent form is less than inspiring, having failed to secure a single victory in their last five games. Their home performance has not offered much solace either, with no wins and only one draw recorded. In contrast, Finland's recent outings include a notable away victory against New Zealand, though they have suffered heavy defeats at the hands of Germany and Hungary. Despite these setbacks, Finland's ability to find the net on a consistent basis could provide them with an edge. The two teams' head-to-head history also points towards Finland's dominance, having beaten San Marino twice, including a resounding 6-0 victory.

Key Numbers

San Marino's defensive frailties are evident, with an average of 1.50 goals conceded per match in their last five outings. Their home defense has been slightly more robust, conceding 1.33 goals per game. On the other hand, Finland's defense has been equally porous, allowing 1.75 goals per match away from home. However, their offense has shown more capability, managing to score in four out of their last five matches. The head-to-head statistics further emphasize Finland's offensive superiority, having scored eight goals in their last two encounters with San Marino. Both teams have no injury or suspension concerns, which means their lineups should be at full strength.

Prediction

Given the data, the prediction for this match leans towards Finland securing another victory over San Marino. The most compelling betting event is Finland winning the match, as they have consistently outperformed San Marino both in recent form and in their past head-to-head meetings. The confidence score for this outcome is 8, considering Finland's better goal-scoring record and previous triumphs over San Marino. Additional predictions include a possibility of Finland scoring over 1.5 goals, given their recent offensive output and past performances against San Marino. The likelihood of San Marino scoring at least one goal is also plausible, given their average goals scored at home. Furthermore, a total of over 2.5 goals in the match is a reasonable expectation based on both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and Finland's scoring potential. Lastly, the market for a draw at halftime also presents an interesting opportunity, as both teams may initially struggle to break each other's defenses.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
60%
Total:Over: 2.5
65%
X
40%

Bookmakers Odds Online

San Marino vs Finland
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