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Serie A

Fluminense VS Palmeiras: Final Score & Prediction

Serie A 15.08.2026 · 15:30 Referee: A. Daronco
Fluminense emblem
Fluminense
D
D
L
D
D
Full Time
3 – 2
HT 1:1
15 Aug · 15:30
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
D
D
L
W
W

Match Stats

Fluminense 3:2 Palmeiras
60%
Ball Possession
40%
2.72
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
17
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
3
13
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Shots Outside Box
6
5
Corners
5
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
17
4
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
486
Total Passes
318
430
Accurate Passes
260
88%
Pass Accuracy
82%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
10'
G. GomezGoal · J. Piquerez
34'
J. PiquerezYellow Card
HulkGoal · A. Canobbio
42'
46'
Vitor RoqueSubstitution · R. Sosa
46'
J. PiquerezSubstitution · Arthur Gabriel
Igor RabelloSubstitution · J. Millan
54'
GugaYellow Card
61'
A. CanobbioYellow Card
63'
HulkSubstitution · G. Cano
69'
PH GansoSubstitution · L. Acosta
69'
73'
Arthur GabrielYellow Card
73'
J. AriasSubstitution · E. Martinez
73'
Andreas PereiraSubstitution · Mauricio
L. AcostaYellow Card
78'
HerculesSubstitution · Nonato
79'
Y. SoteldoSubstitution · K. Serna
79'
80'
R. SosaSubstitution · Felipe Anderson
82'
MauricioGoal · J. Lopez
K. SernaGoal
85'
MartinelliYellow Card
86'
G. CanoGoal · Martinelli
90+2'
90+5'
G. GomezYellow Card

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
34%
Fluminense
30%
Draw
36%
Palmeiras

Form Comparison

■ Fluminense ■ Palmeiras
Fluminense
Palmeiras
33%
Form
67%
31%
Att
69%
43%
Def
57%
32%
Poisson distribution
68%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
40%
Total
60%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
25.02.2026
Palmeiras vs Fluminense
2 — 1
22.11.2025
Palmeiras vs Fluminense
0 — 0
23.07.2025
Fluminense vs Palmeiras
1 — 2
08.12.2024
Palmeiras vs Fluminense
0 — 1
24.07.2024
Fluminense vs Palmeiras
1 — 0
03.12.2023
Palmeiras vs Fluminense
1 — 0
05.08.2023
Fluminense vs Palmeiras
2 — 1
27.08.2022
Fluminense vs Palmeiras
1 — 1
08.05.2022
Palmeiras vs Fluminense
1 — 1
14.11.2021
Fluminense vs Palmeiras
2 — 1

Last Matches

Fluminense
Palmeiras
11.08.2026
Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia
0 — 0
08.08.2026
Botafogo vs Fluminense
1 — 1
05.08.2026
Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 3
01.08.2026
Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense
0 — 0
29.07.2026
Fluminense vs Bahia
0 — 0
W: 0 · D: 4 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Fluminense
Guilherme Arana, Ignacio, J. Freytes, J. Millan, Jhonny, John Kennedy, Matheus Reis
Palmeiras
Bruno Fuchs, Jefte, Khellven, Paulinho

Palmeiras enters this clash with an impressive average of 2.60 goals scored over their last five matches. They will face Fluminense, who have struggled offensively, averaging just 0.60 goals in the same period. This stark contrast underscores the attacking prowess of the league leaders compared to their hosts, who sit fourth in the standings.

Fluminense's recent form has been inconsistent. They have registered two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five home games, scoring an average of 2.00 goals but also conceding 1.00 per match. Conversely, Palmeiras boasts a formidable away record, winning four out of their last five games on the road. They have been prolific, averaging 3.20 goals per away match while conceding 1.00. Although both teams are defensively solid at home and away respectively, Palmeiras's ability to score heavily could be a deciding factor in this encounter.

The head-to-head record between Fluminense and Palmeiras is evenly split, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. However, Palmeiras has had the edge recently, winning the last encounter 2-1. Fluminense has managed to keep a clean sheet only once against Palmeiras in their recent meetings. The disparity in recent performances suggests that Palmeiras might have the psychological advantage going into this match.

Despite Fluminense's solid home form, the prediction leans towards a Palmeiras advantage. Their superior goal-scoring record, especially away from home, could prove crucial. A likely outcome is that Palmeiras will score more than 1 goal, given their recent attacking displays. The most probable betting event is Palmeiras to cover the Handicap 2: 0.5, with a confidence score of 8, reflecting their ability to win convincingly on the road.

Additional predictions include a Fluminense win being unlikely given their recent form. A draw, however, could be an option, with a 30% probability due to Fluminense's ability to occasionally stifle opponents at home. Considering Palmeiras's scoring form, the Total Team 2 Over: 1.5 market has a 70% probability, as they have consistently scored more than one goal per game. Lastly, a Total:Over: 3.0 is feasible, with a 50% probability, reflecting the attacking potential of both teams.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
1X
30%
X
30%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
70%
Total:Over: 3.0
50%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Fluminense vs Palmeiras
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras ★
23 14 6 3 48
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
23 13 6 4 45
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
23 12 5 6 41
4
Fluminense logoFluminense ★
24 11 8 5 41
5
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
24 11 6 7 39
6
Bahia logoBahia
23 8 10 5 34
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
23 9 6 8 33
8
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
22 9 5 8 32
9
Corinthians logoCorinthians
23 8 8 7 32
10
Coritiba logoCoritiba
23 8 7 8 31
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
22 8 6 8 30
12
Vitoria logoVitoria
23 8 5 10 29
13
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
22 7 6 9 27
14
Santos logoSantos
22 6 7 9 25
15
Gremio logoGremio
22 6 7 9 25
16
Internacional logoInternacional
24 5 10 9 25
17
Mirassol logoMirassol
22 6 5 11 23
18
Remo logoRemo
24 5 8 11 23
19
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
22 5 7 10 22
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
22 1 8 13 11
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