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Ligue 1

Marseille vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 17.05.2026 · 19:00 Orange Vélodrome Referee: R. Buquet
Marseille emblem
Marseille
W
W
L
D
L
vs
– : –
17 May · 19:00
Rennes emblem
Rennes
L
W
L
W
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.99

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Marseille
24%
Draw
31%
Rennes

Form Comparison

■ Marseille ■ Rennes
Marseille
Rennes
37%
Form
63%
31%
Att
69%
50%
Def
50%
62%
Poisson distribution
38%
60%
H2h
40%
60%
Goals
40%
50%
Total
50%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.02.2026
Marseille vs Rennes
3 — 0
15.08.2025
Rennes vs Marseille
1 — 0
17.05.2025
Marseille vs Rennes
4 — 2
11.01.2025
Rennes vs Marseille
1 — 2
17.03.2024
Rennes vs Marseille
2 — 0
21.01.2024
Rennes vs Marseille
1 — 1
03.12.2023
Marseille vs Rennes
2 — 0
05.03.2023
Rennes vs Marseille
0 — 1
20.01.2023
Marseille vs Rennes
1 — 0

Last Matches

Marseille
Rennes
17.05.2026
Marseille vs Rennes
3 — 1
10.05.2026
Le Havre vs Marseille
1 — 0
02.05.2026
Nantes vs Marseille
0 — 3
26.04.2026
Marseille vs Nice
1 — 1
18.04.2026
Lorient vs Marseille
0 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Marseille
C. Egan-Riley, G. Kondogbia, H. J. Traore, N. Aguerd
Rennes
B. Samba, J. Jacquet, P. Frankowski

As the Ligue 1 season nears its conclusion, a compelling clash is set to unfold at the Orange Vélodrome where Marseille will host Rennes. Both teams come into this fixture with differing aspirations, as Marseille look to improve on their mid-table standing, while Rennes strive to secure a more prominent finish in the league. The encounter promises to be an exciting contest, with both sides eager to make their mark.

Marseille's Unpredictable Journey

Marseille's current league standing at seventh reflects a season that has been filled with inconsistency. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins and two losses punctuating their last five matches. At home, their performances have been slightly more stable, securing two victories, one draw, and two losses. Marseille have shown a tendency to score more frequently at home, averaging 1.6 goals per game, while conceding an average of 1.2. This underlines their potential to be formidable when playing in front of their home crowd, although recent slip-ups indicate vulnerabilities that Rennes will look to exploit. Notably, Marseille will enter this match without any suspensions or injury concerns, providing them with a full squad to choose from.

Rennes' Offensive Firepower

Rennes have been in impressive form, particularly in their attacking prowess. Sitting fifth in the league, they have been prolific in front of goal, scoring an average of 2.6 goals in their last five outings. Their away record is particularly notable, with four wins and just one loss, and an average of 3.2 goals scored per game. However, their defense has shown signs of frailty, conceding 1.4 goals on average away from home. This attacking strength will be crucial against Marseille, a team they have had mixed results against in recent history. Rennes, like their opponents, have the advantage of a full squad with no injuries or suspensions impacting their lineup.

Prediction: Goals Galore in Marseille

Given the recent form and statistical trends, this matchup is poised to be a high-scoring affair. Both Marseille and Rennes have shown the capability to find the back of the net regularly, while also displaying defensive lapses that have led to goals conceded. The prediction here is that the match will see goals from both sides, making the "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" market the most likely outcome. With Rennes' potent attack and Marseille's decent home scoring record, this event carries a high probability. The head-to-head history also suggests an open game, with goals frequently shared between the sides. For those considering additional betting options, markets such as "Total:Over: 2.5" and "Total Team 2 Over: 1" could also provide value.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both Marseille and Rennes have been scoring regularly while also conceding goals, making a match where both teams score highly probable.

2.99
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Marseille vs Rennes
Pin-UP
W12.06
X3.85
W23.05
William Hill
W12.00
X3.75
W23.10
Bet365
W12.05
X4.00
W23.20
Marathonbet
W12.02
X4.10
W23.44
Unibet
W12.00
X3.80
W23.25
Betfair
W12.00
X3.90
W23.25
BetVictor
W12.05
X4.10
W23.10
Pinnacle
W12.10
X4.06
W23.28
SBO
W12.03
X3.79
W23.01
1xBet
W12.05
X4.16
W23.48
Betano
W12.10
X3.90
W23.15
888Sport
W12.00
X3.75
W23.10
Dafabet
W12.08
X4.10
W23.20

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
34 24 4 6 76
2
Lens logoLens
34 22 4 8 70
3
Lille logoLille
34 18 7 9 61
4
Lyon logoLyon
34 18 6 10 60
5
Marseille logoMarseille ★
34 18 5 11 59
6
Rennes logoRennes ★
34 17 8 9 59
7
Monaco logoMonaco
34 16 6 12 54
8
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
34 15 8 11 53
9
Lorient logoLorient
34 11 12 11 45
10
Toulouse logoToulouse
33 12 8 13 44
11
Paris FC logoParis FC
34 11 11 12 44
12
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
34 10 9 15 39
13
Angers logoAngers
34 9 9 16 36
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
34 7 14 13 35
15
Auxerre logoAuxerre
34 8 10 16 34
16
Nice logoNice
34 7 11 16 32
17
Nantes logoNantes
33 5 8 20 23
18
Metz logoMetz
34 3 8 23 17
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