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Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Ligue 1 17.05.2026 · 19:00 Stade Jean Bouin Referee: G. Paradis
Paris FC emblem
Paris FC
L
W
L
W
W
vs
– : –
17 May · 19:00
Paris Saint Germain emblem
Paris Saint Germain
W
D
D
W
W
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
4.29

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Paris FC
45%
Draw
45%
Paris Saint Germain

Form Comparison

■ Paris FC ■ Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
47%
Form
53%
55%
Att
45%
44%
Def
56%
28%
Poisson distribution
72%
33%
H2h
67%
43%
Goals
57%
42%
Total
58%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
12.01.2026
Paris Saint Germain vs Paris FC
0 — 1
04.01.2026
Paris Saint Germain vs Paris FC
2 — 1
16.12.2022
Paris Saint Germain vs Paris FC
2 — 1

Last Matches

Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
10.05.2026
Rennes vs Paris FC
1 — 2
03.05.2026
Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29
4 — 0
26.04.2026
Paris FC vs Lille
0 — 1
19.04.2026
Metz vs Paris FC
3 — 1
10.04.2026
Paris FC vs Monaco
4 — 1
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

As the Ligue 1 season reaches its climax, Paris FC hosts Paris Saint Germain at the Stade Jean Bouin in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams have shown formidable form recently, but with PSG eyeing the title, the stakes have never been higher. This match provides an opportunity for Paris FC to make a statement against their illustrious city rivals.

Paris FC has enjoyed a rich vein of form lately, especially at home. Sitting in 11th place, they have won four out of their last five home matches. Recent victories, including a commanding 4-0 win over Stade Brestois 29 and a thrilling 4-1 triumph against Monaco, highlight their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.40 goals per game at home. Defensively, they have been resilient, conceding just 0.80 goals on average. This defensive solidity, coupled with their potent attack, makes them a formidable opponent on their home turf. Notably, Paris FC will be at full strength with no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup.

Paris Saint Germain, the league leaders, come into this contest brimming with confidence. Their recent performances have been impressive, with an unbeaten away record in their last five matches, including a decisive 3-0 victory against Nantes. PSG's away form is particularly noteworthy, scoring an average of 2.60 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.20. They possess an attacking arsenal capable of dismantling any defense, as evidenced by their thrilling 5-4 victory over Bayern München. With no injury or suspension worries, PSG will aim to extend their dominance over Paris FC, having won two of their last three encounters.

In our prediction, the match is set to be a high-scoring affair, given both teams' ability to find the back of the net consistently. While PSG's superior form and firepower make them favorites, Paris FC's impressive home record cannot be overlooked. The most likely event here is a game with over 2.5 goals, considering the attacking form of both sides and their recent high-scoring results. This prediction is supported by PSG's average of 2.80 goals per game in their last five matches and Paris FC's 2.40. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring is high, given their recent scoring trends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Both teams have been prolific in attack recently, with Paris FC averaging 2.40 goals at home and PSG 2.80 overall.

4.29
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Win 2
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain
Pin-UP
W16.00
X5.50
W21.38
William Hill
W16.50
X5.00
W21.36
Marathonbet
W17.80
X5.75
W21.37
Unibet
W17.00
X5.25
W21.36
Betfair
W17.50
X5.50
W21.36
BetVictor
W17.00
X5.25
W21.33
Pinnacle
W17.27
X5.62
W21.35
1xBet
W17.90
X5.84
W21.39
888Sport
W16.50
X5.00
W21.36
Dafabet
W17.20
X5.80
W21.37

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain ★
32 23 4 5 73
2
Lens logoLens
32 21 4 7 67
3
Lille logoLille
33 18 7 8 61
4
Lyon logoLyon
33 18 6 9 60
5
Rennes logoRennes
33 17 8 8 59
6
Marseille logoMarseille
33 17 5 11 56
7
Monaco logoMonaco
33 16 6 11 54
8
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
32 13 8 11 47
9
Lorient logoLorient
33 11 12 10 45
10
Toulouse logoToulouse
33 12 8 13 44
11
Paris FC logoParis FC ★
33 10 11 12 41
12
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
32 10 8 14 38
13
Angers logoAngers
33 9 8 16 35
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
33 6 14 13 32
15
Auxerre logoAuxerre
33 7 10 16 31
16
Nice logoNice
33 7 10 16 31
17
Nantes logoNantes
33 5 8 20 23
18
Metz logoMetz
33 3 7 23 16
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