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Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Ligue 1 17.05.2026 · 19:00 Stade Jean Bouin Referee: G. Paradis
Paris FC emblem
Paris FC
W
L
W
L
W
vs
– : –
17 May · 19:00
Paris Saint Germain emblem
Paris Saint Germain
L
W
W
D
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.62

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
19%
Paris FC
21%
Draw
60%
Paris Saint Germain

Form Comparison

■ Paris FC ■ Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
41%
Form
59%
52%
Att
48%
29%
Def
71%
27%
Poisson distribution
73%
33%
H2h
67%
43%
Goals
57%
38%
Total
63%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
12.01.2026
Paris Saint Germain vs Paris FC
0 — 1
04.01.2026
Paris Saint Germain vs Paris FC
2 — 1
16.12.2022
Paris Saint Germain vs Paris FC
2 — 1

Last Matches

Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
17.05.2026
Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain
2 — 1
10.05.2026
Rennes vs Paris FC
1 — 2
03.05.2026
Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29
4 — 0
26.04.2026
Paris FC vs Lille
0 — 1
19.04.2026
Metz vs Paris FC
3 — 1
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Paris FC
J. Lopez, M. Mbow, N. Sangui, P. Hamel, S. Alakouch
Paris Saint Germain
A. Hakimi, L. Chevalier, N. Mendes, Q. Ndjantou, W. Pacho

As the Ligue 1 season reaches its climax, Paris FC hosts Paris Saint Germain at the Stade Jean Bouin in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams have shown formidable form recently, but with PSG eyeing the title, the stakes have never been higher. This match provides an opportunity for Paris FC to make a statement against their illustrious city rivals.

Paris FC has enjoyed a rich vein of form lately, especially at home. Sitting in 11th place, they have won four out of their last five home matches. Recent victories, including a commanding 4-0 win over Stade Brestois 29 and a thrilling 4-1 triumph against Monaco, highlight their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.40 goals per game at home. Defensively, they have been resilient, conceding just 0.80 goals on average. This defensive solidity, coupled with their potent attack, makes them a formidable opponent on their home turf. Notably, Paris FC will be at full strength with no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup.

Paris Saint Germain, the league leaders, come into this contest brimming with confidence. Their recent performances have been impressive, with an unbeaten away record in their last five matches, including a decisive 3-0 victory against Nantes. PSG's away form is particularly noteworthy, scoring an average of 2.60 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.20. They possess an attacking arsenal capable of dismantling any defense, as evidenced by their thrilling 5-4 victory over Bayern München. With no injury or suspension worries, PSG will aim to extend their dominance over Paris FC, having won two of their last three encounters.

In our prediction, the match is set to be a high-scoring affair, given both teams' ability to find the back of the net consistently. While PSG's superior form and firepower make them favorites, Paris FC's impressive home record cannot be overlooked. The most likely event here is a game with over 2.5 goals, considering the attacking form of both sides and their recent high-scoring results. This prediction is supported by PSG's average of 2.80 goals per game in their last five matches and Paris FC's 2.40. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring is high, given their recent scoring trends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Both teams have been prolific in attack recently, with Paris FC averaging 2.40 goals at home and PSG 2.80 overall.

3.62
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Win 2
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain
Pin-UP
W14.85
X4.45
W21.57
William Hill
W14.50
X4.20
W21.62
Bet365
W14.75
X4.50
W21.60
Marathonbet
W15.00
X4.65
W21.62
Unibet
W15.00
X4.40
W21.55
Betfair
W14.75
X4.40
W21.57
BetVictor
W15.00
X4.50
W21.57
Pinnacle
W14.89
X4.68
W21.62
SBO
W14.65
X4.33
W21.57
1xBet
W15.08
X4.72
W21.65
Betano
W14.80
X4.65
W21.67
888Sport
W14.50
X4.20
W21.62
Dafabet
W14.70
X4.60
W21.64

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain ★
34 24 4 6 76
2
Lens logoLens
34 22 4 8 70
3
Lille logoLille
34 18 7 9 61
4
Lyon logoLyon
34 18 6 10 60
5
Marseille logoMarseille
34 18 5 11 59
6
Rennes logoRennes
34 17 8 9 59
7
Monaco logoMonaco
34 16 6 12 54
8
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
34 15 8 11 53
9
Lorient logoLorient
34 11 12 11 45
10
Toulouse logoToulouse
33 12 8 13 44
11
Paris FC logoParis FC ★
34 11 11 12 44
12
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
34 10 9 15 39
13
Angers logoAngers
34 9 9 16 36
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
34 7 14 13 35
15
Auxerre logoAuxerre
34 8 10 16 34
16
Nice logoNice
34 7 11 16 32
17
Nantes logoNantes
33 5 8 20 23
18
Metz logoMetz
34 3 8 23 17
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