Home Today Tomorrow Weekend Week
All times in your local time UTC-4 Today Fri, 18 Sep 2026
NPFL

Bayelsa United vs Kwara United Prediction

NPFL 24.05.2026 · 11:00 Samson Siasia Sports Stadium
Bayelsa United emblem
Bayelsa United
W
L
L
L
L
vs
– : –
24 May · 11:00
Kwara United emblem
Kwara United
L
W
D
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Bayelsa United
45%
Draw
45%
Kwara United

Form Comparison

■ Bayelsa United ■ Kwara United
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
0%
Form
100%
25%
Att
75%
25%
Def
75%
55%
Poisson distribution
45%
29%
H2h
71%
33%
Goals
67%
33%
Total
67%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.12.2025
Kwara United vs Bayelsa United
2 — 0
15.02.2025
Kwara United vs Bayelsa United
1 — 0
29.09.2024
Bayelsa United vs Kwara United
1 — 1
13.03.2024
Kwara United vs Bayelsa United
1 — 0
29.10.2023
Bayelsa United vs Kwara United
2 — 1

Last Matches

Bayelsa United
Kwara United
24.05.2026
Bayelsa United vs Kwara United
4 — 0
10.05.2026
Remo Stars vs Bayelsa United
1 — 2
03.05.2026
Bayelsa United vs Enugu Rangers
0 — 2
19.04.2026
Katsina United vs Bayelsa United
2 — 3
12.04.2026
Bayelsa United vs Wikki Tourist
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 0 · L: 4

Bayelsa United's recent 4-0 victory over Kwara United stands out as a crucial statistic as they prepare to face each other again at the Samson Siasia Sports Stadium. This win was part of a mixed bag of results for Bayelsa United, who are currently struggling in 19th place. Their form in the last five matches includes two victories and three losses, with a notable goal-scoring average of 1.6 but a concerning concession rate of 2.0 goals per game. In contrast, Kwara United sits 12th in the league and has had a slightly better run, securing two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five outings, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.

Bayelsa United has demonstrated a solid home performance with three wins in their last five home matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals while conceding just 1.0. However, their away form is a stark contrast, with five consecutive losses and a goal difference that reflects scoring only 0.8 per game while conceding 2.0. In comparison, Kwara United has managed one win, two draws, and two losses away from home, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 goals on average. These figures suggest that Bayelsa's home advantage could be a deciding factor, especially after their recent dominant home victory against the same opponents.

Head-to-head statistics reveal Kwara United's upper hand in recent encounters, having won three of the last five meetings. However, Bayelsa United's emphatic 4-0 win in their latest clash cannot be overlooked. This result is an outlier in what has otherwise been a competitive fixture. With no injuries or suspensions affecting either side, both teams will field their strongest possible lineups, making for an intriguing contest.

In terms of prediction, the expectation is for a closely contested match with potential for goals from both sides. Despite Bayelsa's position in the league, their recent home form and the previous result against Kwara United suggest they can score. However, Kwara United's moderate attacking capability, combined with Bayelsa's defensive vulnerabilities, makes a case for both teams finding the net. The most likely betting event is a high-scoring game, with the prediction leaning towards Total: Over 2.5 goals. This is supported by Bayelsa's home goal-scoring average and Kwara's ability to find the net away from home.

Additionally, several betting markets present value. Bayelsa United, with their strong home showing, might edge out with a narrow win, suggesting a possible market for Win 1 with a moderate probability. Given the recent 4-0 result and Bayelsa's home scoring, Total Team 1 Over 1.5 goals is also plausible. Conversely, Total Team 2 Over 0.5 goals reflects Kwara's capacity to score in away games. Finally, considering the defensive records, Total: Over 2.0 goals seems likely, ensuring a dynamic encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Win 1
55%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
65%
Total:Over: 2.0
70%

NPFL Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Enugu Rangers logoEnugu Rangers
38 19 11 8 68
2
Rivers United logoRivers United
38 19 10 9 67
3
Shooting Stars logoShooting Stars
38 18 6 14 60
4
Ikorodu City logoIkorodu City
38 16 10 12 58
5
Nasarawa United logoNasarawa United
38 16 8 14 56
6
Abia Warriors logoAbia Warriors
38 16 7 15 55
7
Bendel Insurance logoBendel Insurance
37 13 14 10 53
8
Barau FC logoBarau FC
38 13 13 12 52
9
Katsina United logoKatsina United
37 14 10 13 52
10
Kano Pillars logoKano Pillars
38 15 6 17 51
11
Plateau United logoPlateau United
38 15 5 18 50
12
Kwara United logoKwara United ★
38 13 11 14 50
13
Enyimba logoEnyimba
38 13 10 15 49
14
Kun Khalifat FC logoKun Khalifat FC
38 13 10 15 49
15
Warri Wolves logoWarri Wolves
38 13 10 15 49
16
Niger Tornadoes logoNiger Tornadoes
38 13 9 16 48
17
Remo Stars logoRemo Stars
38 14 5 19 47
18
El Kanemi Warriors logoEl Kanemi Warriors
38 13 8 17 47
19
Bayelsa United logoBayelsa United ★
38 11 10 17 43
20
Wikki Tourist logoWikki Tourist
38 9 13 16 40
Recommended Match Predictions
Get Today's Best Predictions
AI-powered analysis across 50+ leagues. Free forever.
Start Now