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Primeira Liga

Arouca vs Maritimo Prediction

Primeira Liga 29.08.2026 · 10:30 Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Arouca emblem
Arouca
L
W
W
W
L
vs
– : –
29 Aug · 10:30
Maritimo emblem
Maritimo
D
W
W
D
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
Arouca
35%
Draw
30%
Maritimo

Form Comparison

■ Arouca ■ Maritimo
Arouca
Maritimo
46%
Form
54%
50%
Att
50%
60%
Def
40%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
38%
H2h
62%
36%
Goals
64%
46%
Total
54%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
08.04.2023
Arouca vs Maritimo
1 — 0
23.10.2022
Maritimo vs Arouca
1 — 1
14.02.2022
Arouca vs Maritimo
0 — 3
13.09.2021
Maritimo vs Arouca
2 — 2
19.03.2017
Maritimo vs Arouca
3 — 1
30.10.2016
Arouca vs Maritimo
1 — 0
24.04.2016
Maritimo vs Arouca
1 — 2
19.12.2015
Arouca vs Maritimo
4 — 1
03.05.2015
Maritimo vs Arouca
1 — 1
21.12.2014
Arouca vs Maritimo
1 — 0

Last Matches

Arouca
Maritimo
23.08.2026
FC Porto vs Arouca
0 — 2
16.08.2026
Arouca vs Moreirense
4 — 0
08.08.2026
Vitória SC vs Arouca
1 — 0
01.08.2026
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Arouca
2 — 0
25.07.2026
Santa Clara vs Arouca
0 — 3
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Arouca enters this match at the top of the Primeira Liga standings, having secured a commanding 4-0 victory over Moreirense in their most recent home game. This result highlights their impressive form, particularly on home turf where they have maintained a perfect record without conceding any goals. Maritimo, currently positioned third, comes off a solid 2-0 away win against Camacha, showcasing their capability to perform on the road as well. While both teams boast undefeated streaks in their recent matches, Arouca's home dominance sets a high bar for Maritimo to overcome.

Arouca has been a formidable force, particularly when playing at home, scoring an average of 4.00 goals per match while keeping opponents scoreless. Their overall average of 1.40 goals per game is complemented by a strong defensive record of 0.60 goals conceded. Maritimo, on the other hand, has shown resilience with an average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in their last five matches. Their away form is particularly noteworthy, having scored 2.00 goals per game while conceding only 1.00. Historically, Maritimo has been a challenging opponent for Arouca, with two wins and two draws in their last five encounters, including a commanding 3-0 victory.

In terms of prediction, Arouca's formidable home form suggests they have the upper hand, but Maritimo's ability to score away from home cannot be underestimated. Arouca's recent defensive solidity, coupled with Maritimo's attacking prowess, hints at a tightly contested match where both teams might find the net. The most likely betting event is both teams to score, given their respective scoring capabilities and head-to-head history that often sees goals from both sides. Arouca's defensive strength could be tested, but their scoring record at home makes them slight favorites to edge this contest. Additional betting angles include backing Arouca's continued scoring run and the likelihood of a tightly contested match potentially ending in a draw.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%
X
30%
Total:Under: 3.0
60%

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
3 3 0 0 9
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
3 2 1 0 7
3
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
3 2 1 0 7
4
Maritimo logoMaritimo ★
3 2 1 0 7
5
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
2 2 0 0 6
6
Arouca logoArouca ★
3 2 0 1 6
7
Benfica logoBenfica
2 1 1 0 4
8
Nacional logoNacional
3 1 1 1 4
9
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
3 1 0 2 3
10
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
3 1 0 2 3
11
Estrela logoEstrela
2 0 2 0 2
12
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
3 0 2 1 2
13
SC Braga logoSC Braga
1 0 1 0 1
14
Famalicao logoFamalicao
3 0 1 2 1
15
Estoril logoEstoril
3 0 1 2 1
16
Moreirense logoMoreirense
2 0 1 1 1
17
Alverca logoAlverca
3 0 1 2 1
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
3 0 0 3 0
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