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Primeira Liga

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Prediction

Primeira Liga 28.08.2026 · 15:15 Referee: J. Goncalves
Rio Ave emblem
Rio Ave
W
L
L
W
D
vs
– : –
28 Aug · 15:15
Sporting CP emblem
Sporting CP
W
W
D
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Rio Ave
19%
Draw
71%
Sporting CP

Form Comparison

■ Rio Ave ■ Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
30%
Form
70%
20%
Att
80%
63%
Def
38%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
0%
H2h
100%
12%
Goals
88%
31%
Total
69%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
11.05.2026
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
1 — 4
28.12.2025
Sporting CP vs Rio Ave
4 — 0
22.04.2025
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
1 — 2
03.04.2025
Sporting CP vs Rio Ave
2 — 0
18.01.2025
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
0 — 3
09.08.2024
Sporting CP vs Rio Ave
3 — 1
25.02.2024
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
3 — 3
25.09.2023
Sporting CP vs Rio Ave
2 — 0
06.02.2023
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
0 — 1
07.12.2022
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
0 — 2

Last Matches

Rio Ave
Sporting CP
22.08.2026
Estoril vs Rio Ave
2 — 0
15.08.2026
Rio Ave vs FC Porto
0 — 2
09.08.2026
GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave
0 — 1
01.08.2026
Rio Ave vs Tondela
3 — 1
23.07.2026
Rio Ave vs Vitória SC
-
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 2

Sporting CP enters the fixture against Rio Ave with a striking scoring average of 3.60 goals per match in their last five outings. This offensive prowess sets a high bar for Rio Ave, whose own recent goal-scoring average stands at a modest 1.00.

Form and Context

Rio Ave currently sits at the bottom of the Primeira Liga table in 17th position, a stark contrast to Sporting CP's standing at 7th. Rio Ave's recent form shows inconsistency, with just two wins in their last five matches, including a 2-2 draw against Al-Ahli Jeddah. In comparison, Sporting CP has been on a roll, securing three wins and two draws in their last five matches, including a commanding 7-0 victory over Strasbourg. At home, Rio Ave has shown resilience with two wins and two draws out of their last five, but their away form remains shaky. Sporting CP, meanwhile, has been unbeatable at home, although they have yet to secure an away victory in the last five matches, indicating a potential vulnerability outside their familiar surroundings.

Key Numbers

Looking at goals statistics, Sporting CP has been prolific, with an average of 3.60 goals scored per match in their recent fixtures, while conceding just 1.00. Rio Ave, on the other hand, has scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 on average. At home, Rio Ave has managed to score slightly more with an average of 1.40, but they still concede 1.20 goals per match. Sporting CP’s away performance shows an average of 2.00 goals scored and conceded per match, highlighting a balance that could be tested against Rio Ave's home advantage. The head-to-head history heavily favors Sporting CP, who have won all five of their recent encounters against Rio Ave, scoring a total of 15 goals while conceding just 2.

Prediction

Given the current dynamics, the prediction points towards Sporting CP maintaining their unbeaten streak against Rio Ave. Despite the away challenge, Sporting CP's offensive strength should prove decisive. A key betting event to focus on is Sporting CP securing a win, given their dominant head-to-head record and superior form, with a confidence score of 8. Additional likely outcomes include Sporting CP scoring over 1.5 goals, considering their scoring average, with a high probability. The possibility of both teams scoring is moderate, given Rio Ave’s home scoring record and Sporting CP’s away concession rate. While a high-scoring affair is anticipated, Sporting CP’s attacking depth suggests they could win with a handicap of -1, further supported by their recent performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
75%
Both Teams To Score
60%
Handicap 2: 1
65%
Total:Over: 3.0
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
Pin-UP
William Hill
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet
Betano
Dafabet

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
3 3 0 0 9
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP ★
3 2 1 0 7
3
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
3 2 1 0 7
4
Maritimo logoMaritimo
3 2 1 0 7
5
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
2 2 0 0 6
6
Arouca logoArouca
3 2 0 1 6
7
Benfica logoBenfica
2 1 1 0 4
8
Nacional logoNacional
3 1 1 1 4
9
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
3 1 0 2 3
10
Rio Ave logoRio Ave ★
3 1 0 2 3
11
Estrela logoEstrela
2 0 2 0 2
12
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
3 0 2 1 2
13
SC Braga logoSC Braga
1 0 1 0 1
14
Famalicao logoFamalicao
3 0 1 2 1
15
Estoril logoEstoril
3 0 1 2 1
16
Moreirense logoMoreirense
2 0 1 1 1
17
Alverca logoAlverca
3 0 1 2 1
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
3 0 0 3 0
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