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Primeira Liga

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente Prediction

Primeira Liga 30.08.2026 · 15:30 Estadio Municipal de Famalicao Referee: A. Rodrigues
Famalicao emblem
Famalicao
L
L
D
L
D
vs
– : –
30 Aug · 15:30
GIL Vicente emblem
GIL Vicente
D
W
D
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Famalicao
45%
Draw
45%
GIL Vicente

Form Comparison

■ Famalicao ■ GIL Vicente
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
25%
Form
75%
67%
Att
33%
0%
Def
100%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
50%
H2h
50%
33%
Goals
67%
44%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.02.2026
GIL Vicente vs Famalicao
5 — 0
24.08.2025
Famalicao vs GIL Vicente
0 — 0
02.08.2025
Famalicao vs GIL Vicente
17.02.2025
GIL Vicente vs Famalicao
0 — 2
14.09.2024
Famalicao vs GIL Vicente
1 — 1
29.03.2024
GIL Vicente vs Famalicao
1 — 2
04.11.2023
Famalicao vs GIL Vicente
3 — 1
12.02.2023
Famalicao vs GIL Vicente
0 — 1
22.08.2022
GIL Vicente vs Famalicao
0 — 0
15.04.2022
Famalicao vs GIL Vicente
2 — 2

Last Matches

Famalicao
GIL Vicente
23.08.2026
Santa Clara vs Famalicao
0 — 1
16.08.2026
Famalicao vs Maritimo
1 — 2
07.08.2026
Estoril vs Famalicao
1 — 1
31.07.2026
Famalicao vs Como
2 — 3
28.07.2026
Lens vs Famalicao
0 — 0
W: 0 · D: 2 · L: 3

Famalicao enters this match with a concerning statistic: they have only managed to win one out of their last five home games, averaging 0.80 goals scored per match while conceding 1.00. This form places them at 12th in the league, a reflection of their struggles to capitalize on home advantage. In contrast, GIL Vicente, positioned at 8th, have fared better, especially with a recent impressive 1-0 win against FC Porto. However, their away form is limited with no wins, indicating potential vulnerabilities that Famalicao could exploit.

Despite their contrasting league positions, both teams have shown a penchant for low-scoring encounters. Famalicao's last five matches have seen them score an average of 0.80 goals while conceding 1.20, suggesting a leaky defense but also a lack of clinical finishing. GIL Vicente, on the other hand, have been more defensively resolute, conceding just 0.60 goals on average over the same period. However, they too have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, with an average of 1.00 goals scored. Historically, head-to-head meetings have been tightly contested, with GIL Vicente winning 5-0 in one instance but the other four matches all being draws or slim wins.

Given the context and key numbers, the prediction for this match leans towards a draw. Neither team has shown sufficient form to suggest dominance, especially considering GIL Vicente's struggles on the road and Famalicao's inability to convert home advantage into victories. The teams have drawn three of their last five encounters, further supporting this outcome. While Famalicao might seem under pressure at home, GIL Vicente's defensive solidity away could counterbalance this, likely resulting in a stalemate.

The most probable betting event for this match is "X", a draw. This is supported by both teams' statistical trends of low goals and previous head-to-head results. The confidence score for this event is 7, reflecting a balanced expectation based on form and historical encounters. Additional predictions include "Total:Under: 2.5" with a high probability of 75%, due to both teams' low scoring averages; "Total:Under: 1.5" at 60%, considering previous tight encounters; "1X" with a probability of 65%, factoring Famalicao's occasional home resilience; and "X2" at 70%, considering GIL Vicente's higher league standing and defensive strength.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
75%
Total:Under: 1.5
60%
1X
65%
X2
70%

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
3 3 0 0 9
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
3 2 1 0 7
3
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
3 2 1 0 7
4
Maritimo logoMaritimo
3 2 1 0 7
5
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente ★
2 2 0 0 6
6
Arouca logoArouca
3 2 0 1 6
7
Benfica logoBenfica
2 1 1 0 4
8
Nacional logoNacional
3 1 1 1 4
9
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
3 1 0 2 3
10
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
3 1 0 2 3
11
Estrela logoEstrela
2 0 2 0 2
12
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
3 0 2 1 2
13
SC Braga logoSC Braga
1 0 1 0 1
14
Famalicao logoFamalicao ★
3 0 1 2 1
15
Estoril logoEstoril
3 0 1 2 1
16
Moreirense logoMoreirense
2 0 1 1 1
17
Alverca logoAlverca
3 0 1 2 1
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
3 0 0 3 0
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