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Primeira Liga

Benfica vs Estoril Prediction

Primeira Liga 31.08.2026 · 15:15 Referee: M. Nogueira
Benfica emblem
Benfica
W
W
D
D
W
vs
– : –
31 Aug · 15:15
Estoril emblem
Estoril
L
L
D
D
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
Benfica
50%
Draw
0%
Estoril

Form Comparison

■ Benfica ■ Estoril
Benfica
Estoril
80%
Form
20%
90%
Att
10%
71%
Def
29%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
100%
H2h
0%
78%
Goals
22%
80%
Total
20%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.05.2026
Estoril vs Benfica
1 — 3
03.01.2026
Benfica vs Estoril
3 — 1
03.05.2025
Estoril vs Benfica
1 — 2
23.12.2024
Benfica vs Estoril
3 — 0
10.03.2024
Benfica vs Estoril
3 — 1
24.01.2024
Benfica vs Estoril
1 — 1
07.10.2023
Estoril vs Benfica
0 — 1
23.04.2023
Benfica vs Estoril
1 — 0
09.11.2022
Estoril vs Benfica
0 — 1
06.11.2022
Estoril vs Benfica
1 — 5

Last Matches

Benfica
Estoril
20.08.2026
Benfica vs Aarhus
3 — 1
17.08.2026
Casa Pia vs Benfica
7 — 0
13.08.2026
Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica
1 — 1
09.08.2026
Benfica vs Academico Viseu
2 — 2
06.08.2026
Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian
6 — 1
W: 3 · D: 2 · L: 0

Benfica enters this match with an impressive home form, winning four of their last five home games and drawing one. They have scored an average of 4.2 goals per game at home while conceding just 1.0. Estoril, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last three away fixtures, with an average of just 0.33 goals scored per game and conceding 1.67. These contrasting statistics highlight the challenges Estoril faces when they visit Benfica.

Both teams have shown contrasting forms in their recent matches. Benfica's last five games have been a showcase of offensive prowess, with an average of 3.8 goals scored per game and only 1.0 conceded. They recently dismantled Casa Pia with a 7-0 scoreline and secured a solid 3-1 victory against Aarhus. Estoril, however, has struggled to find the back of the net, scoring just 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches. Their inability to secure wins has been evident with two draws and three losses, including a 2-0 defeat to Nacional.

Benfica's attacking efficiency is evidenced by their 21 goals in the last five games, with 16 of those coming in home fixtures. Estoril's defense will be under significant pressure, having conceded 1.2 goals on average in their recent matches. Head-to-head statistics further favor Benfica, who have won all five of their recent encounters with Estoril, consistently scoring three goals in each match. Estoril's recent inability to secure victories away from home, coupled with their low scoring rate, contrasts sharply with Benfica's potent home form.

Considering the current form and historical data, Benfica is expected to dominate, with their attacking line likely to exploit Estoril's defensive frailties. The prediction for this match leans heavily towards a comfortable victory for Benfica. Given Benfica's consistent scoring record and Estoril's struggles on the road, the most likely outcome is a win for the home side. The main betting event focuses on Benfica's strong performance at home, suggesting a handicap bet in favor of Benfica. This accounts for their superior goal difference and Estoril's difficulties in scoring, particularly in away matches.

In conclusion, the main prediction is for Benfica to cover a handicap against Estoril, reflecting their dominant form and head-to-head superiority. This prediction is supported by their consistent ability to score multiple goals and Estoril's lack of firepower on the road. With these factors in mind, a handicap bet on Benfica seems to be the most logical choice.

Prediction and Betting Tips

9/10 Confidence
Win 1
85%
Total:Over: 2.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 2
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
60%

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
3 3 0 0 9
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
3 2 1 0 7
3
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
3 2 1 0 7
4
Maritimo logoMaritimo
3 2 1 0 7
5
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
2 2 0 0 6
6
Arouca logoArouca
3 2 0 1 6
7
Benfica logoBenfica ★
2 1 1 0 4
8
Nacional logoNacional
3 1 1 1 4
9
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
3 1 0 2 3
10
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
3 1 0 2 3
11
Estrela logoEstrela
2 0 2 0 2
12
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
3 0 2 1 2
13
SC Braga logoSC Braga
1 0 1 0 1
14
Famalicao logoFamalicao
3 0 1 2 1
15
Estoril logoEstoril ★
3 0 1 2 1
16
Moreirense logoMoreirense
2 0 1 1 1
17
Alverca logoAlverca
3 0 1 2 1
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
3 0 0 3 0
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