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Primeira Liga

Moreirense vs Maritimo Prediction

Primeira Liga 14.09.2026 · 15:15 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Moreirense emblem
Moreirense
L
L
W
L
D
vs
– : –
14 Sep · 15:15
Maritimo emblem
Maritimo
L
L
D
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
38%
Moreirense
31%
Draw
31%
Maritimo

Form Comparison

■ Moreirense ■ Maritimo
Moreirense
Maritimo
36%
Form
64%
40%
Att
60%
40%
Def
60%
26%
Poisson distribution
74%
71%
H2h
29%
75%
Goals
25%
48%
Total
52%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
06.03.2022
Moreirense vs Maritimo
0 — 1
01.10.2021
Maritimo vs Moreirense
0 — 0
07.03.2021
Maritimo vs Moreirense
0 — 2
25.10.2020
Moreirense vs Maritimo
2 — 1
08.03.2020
Moreirense vs Maritimo
2 — 0
28.09.2019
Maritimo vs Moreirense
2 — 1
09.03.2019
Maritimo vs Moreirense
3 — 2
28.10.2018
Moreirense vs Maritimo
1 — 0
15.04.2018
Maritimo vs Moreirense
1 — 1
02.12.2017
Moreirense vs Maritimo
1 — 1

Last Matches

Moreirense
Maritimo
09.09.2026
Moreirense vs Benfica
0 — 4
04.09.2026
FC Porto vs Moreirense
1 — 2
30.08.2026
Casa Pia vs Moreirense
1 — 0
16.08.2026
Arouca vs Moreirense
0 — 4
09.08.2026
Moreirense vs SC Braga
2 — 2
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Moreirense enters this fixture with a mixed bag of results, having drawn two and lost one of their last three home matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Meanwhile, Maritimo has been slightly better on the road, with a recent victory against Famalicao, marking their third win in their last five matches overall. Both teams are free of injuries and suspensions, which promises a competitive clash.

Heading into this matchup, both teams are vying for improvement. Moreirense sits 11th in the league with their inconsistent form, while Maritimo is in 7th place. Moreirense's recent home form has been steady but not spectacular, with one win and two draws. In contrast, Maritimo has shown resilience away from home, scoring 1.50 goals on average in their away matches. The head-to-head record also leans towards Moreirense, who have won three of the last five encounters against Maritimo.

In terms of key metrics, Moreirense has scored 1.00 goal per match in their last five outings but conceded an average of 2.00. Maritimo, on the other hand, has managed a slightly better scoring record with 1.20 goals per game while conceding 1.60. When comparing home and away performances, Moreirense's defense holds up slightly better at home, conceding 1.33 goals, while Maritimo's away defense allows 1.50 goals on average. This suggests a potential for both teams to find the net, given their average scoring and conceding patterns.

For this match, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome. Moreirense's solid home defense, paired with Maritimo's capability to score away, suggests a closely contested match. Both teams have displayed the capacity to score and concede in equal measure, leading to a balanced prediction. Given their head-to-head history, where a draw has not been uncommon, this outcome seems plausible. Consequently, the prediction is for a draw (X) with a confidence score of 7. It's also worth considering that Moreirense's home advantage and Maritimo's away form could lead to a low-scoring draw or a narrow victory for either side.

Additional betting events highlight the potential for a tightly contested match. A low-scoring affair is anticipated, with Total:Under:2.5 as an attractive option due to both teams' recent scoring averages. Additionally, Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 and Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 also present reasonable probabilities, given their respective scoring trends. Finally, the market for Handicap 2: 0.5 offers value by considering Maritimo's ability to keep games close away from home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%
Handicap 2: 0.5
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Moreirense vs Maritimo
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
5 5 0 0 15
2
Benfica logoBenfica
5 4 1 0 13
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
5 4 1 0 13
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
5 3 2 0 11
5
Arouca logoArouca
5 3 1 1 10
6
Estrela logoEstrela
5 2 3 0 9
7
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
4 2 1 1 7
8
SC Braga logoSC Braga
4 2 1 1 7
9
Maritimo logoMaritimo ★
5 2 1 2 7
10
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
5 1 2 2 5
11
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
5 1 1 3 4
12
Nacional logoNacional
5 1 1 3 4
13
Moreirense logoMoreirense ★
5 1 1 3 4
14
Famalicao logoFamalicao
5 0 3 2 3
15
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
5 1 0 4 3
16
Estoril logoEstoril
5 0 2 3 2
17
Alverca logoAlverca
5 0 2 3 2
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
5 0 1 4 1
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