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Primeira Liga

Rio Ave VS Estrela: Final Score & Prediction

Primeira Liga 14.09.2026 · 13:45 Referee: F. Verissimo
Rio Ave emblem
Rio Ave
L
L
W
L
L
Full Time
3 – 3
HT 1:1
14 Sep · 13:45
Estrela emblem
Estrela
W
D
W
D
D

Match Stats

Rio Ave 3:3 Estrela
38%
Ball Possession
62%
11
Total Shots
20
6
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
7
2
Blocked Shots
7
4
Shots Inside Box
14
7
Shots Outside Box
6
4
Corners
5
0
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
302
Total Passes
479
251
Accurate Passes
425

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
21'
Ianis StoicaGoal · Leandro Antonetti ⚽
26'
Max ScholzeYellow Card
Francisco PetrassoYellow Card
44'
⚽ Francisco PetrassoGoal · Diogo Bezerra
45+3'
53'
Abraham MarcusGoal · Max Scholze ⚽
⇆ Sebastian ClemensenSubstitution · Roland Galcik
54'
⚽ Roland GalcikGoal · Diogo Bezerra
56'
58'
Eddy DouéYellow Card
61'
Abraham MarcusGoal · Ianis Stoica ⚽
⇆ Miguel PatricíoSubstitution · Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro
63'
63'
Eddy DouéSubstitution · Joan Jordan ⇆
⇆ João Tomé BaptistaSubstitution · Nelson Abbey
68'
⇆ Tamas NikitscherSubstitution · Malik Sellouki
68'
⇆ Pedro AmaralSubstitution · Marios Vrushai
68'
71'
Max ScholzeSubstitution · Kevin Hoog Jansson ⇆
72'
Santiago SerraSubstitution · Jefferson Encada ⇆
76'
Stefan LekovicYellow Card
⚽ Jalen BlesaGoal (Penalty)
78'
84'
Abraham MarcusSubstitution · Beni Souza ⇆
84'
Ianis StoicaSubstitution · Alisson Souza ⇆
Tamble Ulisses Folgado MonteiroYellow Card
90+1'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
Rio Ave
30%
Draw
35%
Estrela

Form Comparison

■ Rio Ave ■ Estrela
Rio Ave
Estrela
25%
Form
75%
15%
Att
85%
45%
Def
55%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
71%
H2h
29%
62%
Goals
38%
44%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
15.03.2026
Rio Ave vs Estrela
2 — 1
25.10.2025
Estrela vs Rio Ave
1 — 2
05.05.2025
Rio Ave vs Estrela
2 — 0
23.12.2024
Estrela vs Rio Ave
1 — 0
14.04.2024
Estrela vs Rio Ave
2 — 2
02.12.2023
Rio Ave vs Estrela
1 — 1
14.02.2022
Rio Ave vs Estrela
1 — 0
10.09.2021
Estrela vs Rio Ave
2 — 5

Last Matches

Rio Ave
Estrela
06.09.2026
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave
0 — 4
28.08.2026
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
0 — 4
22.08.2026
Estoril vs Rio Ave
2 — 0
15.08.2026
Rio Ave vs FC Porto
0 — 2
09.08.2026
GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 0 · L: 4

In their last five matches, Estrela have maintained an unbeaten streak, with an impressive average of 2.6 goals scored per game. In sharp contrast, Rio Ave have struggled, winning only two of their last five encounters and averaging just 1.0 goal per match. Estrela's attacking prowess has been evident, while Rio Ave's defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Rio Ave's home form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five home games. They have managed to score an average of 1.0 goal per home match but have been conceding at a higher rate of 1.8 goals per game. Meanwhile, Estrela's away form is more promising. They have not lost in their last three away games, boasting an average of 1.67 goals scored and only 1.33 conceded per match. This suggests Estrela could capitalize on Rio Ave's defensive weaknesses.

Both teams have their entire squads available, as there are no suspensions or injuries reported. This sets the stage for a full-strength encounter, where tactical prowess may indeed decide the outcome. Historically, Rio Ave holds the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, having won three out of the last five meetings, including two victories at home.

Estrela's offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 2.6 goals per game over the last five matches, while Rio Ave's defensive shortcomings are evident with 1.6 goals conceded on average. In their home games, Rio Ave's performance has been underwhelming, as they've managed only one win and have conceded more than they have scored. Estrela's away form, however, is robust with an undefeated streak in three matches, scoring an average of 1.67 goals per game.

The head-to-head statistics reveal a competitive edge for Rio Ave, with three wins out of the last five encounters. However, Estrela's recent form suggests they could be a formidable opponent. The consistent scoring ability of Estrela, combined with Rio Ave's leaky defense, implies that the visitors could find the back of the net multiple times.

Given the current form of both teams, the prediction for this encounter leans towards a closely contested affair. Estrela's attacking flair is expected to challenge Rio Ave's defense, potentially leading to a high-scoring match. However, Rio Ave's historical strength in direct encounters should not be overlooked.

The most compelling betting event is the prediction of a draw (market: X) in this matchup. Estrela's strong attacking form away from home and Rio Ave's historical advantage in head-to-head contests point towards a balanced game. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, acknowledging Estrela's unbeaten form against Rio Ave's solid home record in their historical context.

Additional betting opportunities include predicting both teams to score, given their recent goal records. Estrela's consistent scoring and Rio Ave's defensive frailties suggest a high probability of goals from both sides. A draw at halftime is also a viable prediction based on both teams' tendencies to start conservatively. The probability of over 2.5 goals being scored is high, considering Estrela's recent matches, but this has already been covered elsewhere. Finally, a bet on Estrela not losing (market: X2) offers potential value, given their unbeaten run and away performance.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score
75%
Draw at Halftime
65%
X2
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
SBO
Betano

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
8 8 0 0 24
2
Benfica logoBenfica
8 6 1 1 19
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
8 5 3 0 18
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
8 5 3 0 18
5
Arouca logoArouca
8 4 2 2 14
6
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
8 4 2 2 14
7
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
7 3 2 2 11
8
Alverca logoAlverca
8 3 2 3 11
9
SC Braga logoSC Braga
7 3 2 2 11
10
Estrela logoEstrela ★
8 2 4 2 10
11
Maritimo logoMaritimo
8 2 2 4 8
12
Moreirense logoMoreirense
8 2 2 4 8
13
Famalicao logoFamalicao
8 1 4 3 7
14
Rio Ave logoRio Ave ★
8 2 1 5 7
15
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
8 1 2 5 5
16
Nacional logoNacional
8 1 1 6 4
17
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
8 1 1 6 4
18
Estoril logoEstoril
8 0 2 6 2
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