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Primeira Liga

Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga 14.09.2026 · 13:45 Referee: F. Verissimo
Rio Ave emblem
Rio Ave
L
L
W
L
L
vs
– : –
14 Sep · 13:45
Estrela emblem
Estrela
W
D
W
D
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
36%
Rio Ave
30%
Draw
34%
Estrela

Form Comparison

■ Rio Ave ■ Estrela
Rio Ave
Estrela
25%
Form
75%
15%
Att
85%
45%
Def
55%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
71%
H2h
29%
62%
Goals
38%
44%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
15.03.2026
Rio Ave vs Estrela
2 — 1
25.10.2025
Estrela vs Rio Ave
1 — 2
05.05.2025
Rio Ave vs Estrela
2 — 0
23.12.2024
Estrela vs Rio Ave
1 — 0
14.04.2024
Estrela vs Rio Ave
2 — 2
02.12.2023
Rio Ave vs Estrela
1 — 1
14.02.2022
Rio Ave vs Estrela
1 — 0
10.09.2021
Estrela vs Rio Ave
2 — 5

Last Matches

Rio Ave
Estrela
06.09.2026
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave
0 — 4
28.08.2026
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
0 — 4
22.08.2026
Estoril vs Rio Ave
2 — 0
15.08.2026
Rio Ave vs FC Porto
0 — 2
09.08.2026
GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 0 · L: 4

In their last five matches, Estrela have maintained an unbeaten streak, with an impressive average of 2.6 goals scored per game. In sharp contrast, Rio Ave have struggled, winning only two of their last five encounters and averaging just 1.0 goal per match. Estrela's attacking prowess has been evident, while Rio Ave's defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Rio Ave's home form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five home games. They have managed to score an average of 1.0 goal per home match but have been conceding at a higher rate of 1.8 goals per game. Meanwhile, Estrela's away form is more promising. They have not lost in their last three away games, boasting an average of 1.67 goals scored and only 1.33 conceded per match. This suggests Estrela could capitalize on Rio Ave's defensive weaknesses.

Both teams have their entire squads available, as there are no suspensions or injuries reported. This sets the stage for a full-strength encounter, where tactical prowess may indeed decide the outcome. Historically, Rio Ave holds the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, having won three out of the last five meetings, including two victories at home.

Estrela's offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 2.6 goals per game over the last five matches, while Rio Ave's defensive shortcomings are evident with 1.6 goals conceded on average. In their home games, Rio Ave's performance has been underwhelming, as they've managed only one win and have conceded more than they have scored. Estrela's away form, however, is robust with an undefeated streak in three matches, scoring an average of 1.67 goals per game.

The head-to-head statistics reveal a competitive edge for Rio Ave, with three wins out of the last five encounters. However, Estrela's recent form suggests they could be a formidable opponent. The consistent scoring ability of Estrela, combined with Rio Ave's leaky defense, implies that the visitors could find the back of the net multiple times.

Given the current form of both teams, the prediction for this encounter leans towards a closely contested affair. Estrela's attacking flair is expected to challenge Rio Ave's defense, potentially leading to a high-scoring match. However, Rio Ave's historical strength in direct encounters should not be overlooked.

The most compelling betting event is the prediction of a draw (market: X) in this matchup. Estrela's strong attacking form away from home and Rio Ave's historical advantage in head-to-head contests point towards a balanced game. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, acknowledging Estrela's unbeaten form against Rio Ave's solid home record in their historical context.

Additional betting opportunities include predicting both teams to score, given their recent goal records. Estrela's consistent scoring and Rio Ave's defensive frailties suggest a high probability of goals from both sides. A draw at halftime is also a viable prediction based on both teams' tendencies to start conservatively. The probability of over 2.5 goals being scored is high, considering Estrela's recent matches, but this has already been covered elsewhere. Finally, a bet on Estrela not losing (market: X2) offers potential value, given their unbeaten run and away performance.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score
75%
Draw at Halftime
65%
X2
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Rio Ave vs Estrela
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
5 5 0 0 15
2
Benfica logoBenfica
5 4 1 0 13
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
5 4 1 0 13
4
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
5 3 2 0 11
5
Arouca logoArouca
5 3 1 1 10
6
Estrela logoEstrela ★
5 2 3 0 9
7
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
4 2 1 1 7
8
SC Braga logoSC Braga
4 2 1 1 7
9
Maritimo logoMaritimo
5 2 1 2 7
10
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
5 1 2 2 5
11
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
5 1 1 3 4
12
Nacional logoNacional
5 1 1 3 4
13
Moreirense logoMoreirense
5 1 1 3 4
14
Famalicao logoFamalicao
5 0 3 2 3
15
Rio Ave logoRio Ave ★
5 1 0 4 3
16
Estoril logoEstoril
5 0 2 3 2
17
Alverca logoAlverca
5 0 2 3 2
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
5 0 1 4 1
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