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UEFA Nations League

Estonia VS Luxembourg: Final Score & Prediction

UEFA Nations League 03.10.2026 · 12:00 A. Le Coq Arena Referee: Pawel Raczkowski
Estonia emblem
Estonia
D
D
L
D
Full Time
1 – 0
HT 1:0
03 Oct · 12:00
Luxembourg emblem
Luxembourg
L
W
W
L

Match Stats

Estonia 1:0 Luxembourg
46%
Ball Possession
54%
14
Total Shots
8
9
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
10
Shots Inside Box
4
4
Shots Outside Box
4
7
Corners
3
4
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
6
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
8
446
Total Passes
529
394
Accurate Passes
479

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
⚽ Rasmus PeetsonGoal
5'
29'
Enes MahmutovicYellow Card
Jürgen HennYellow Card
43'
62'
Aiman DardariSubstitution · Hamza Kadamani ⇆
62'
Enzo dos SantosSubstitution · Sebastien Thill ⇆
⇆ Mattias MännilaanSubstitution · karel mustmaa
66'
68'
Omar NatamiYellow Card
⇆ Kevor PalumetsSubstitution · Markus Soomets
72'
73'
Vincent ThillSubstitution · Timothé Rupil ⇆
Märten KuuskYellow Card
73'
78'
Vahid SelimovićYellow Card
⇆ Mattias KäitSubstitution · Mihkel Ainsalu
80'
Karol MetsYellow Card
82'
83'
Florian BohnertSubstitution · Mathias Olesen ⇆
83'
Enes MahmutovicSubstitution · Eldin Dzogovic ⇆
84'
Leandro BarreiroYellow Card
85'
Eldin DzogovicYellow Card
87'
Mathias OlesenYellow Card
Markus PoomYellow Card
88'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
31%
Estonia
32%
Draw
37%
Luxembourg

Form Comparison

■ Estonia ■ Luxembourg
Estonia
Luxembourg
40%
Form
60%
33%
Att
67%
80%
Def
20%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
0%
H2h
0%
0%
Goals
0%
51%
Total
49%

Last Matches

Estonia
Luxembourg
29.09.2026
Bulgaria vs Estonia
0 — 0
26.09.2026
Iceland vs Estonia
1 — 1
30.03.2026
Rwanda vs Estonia
0 — 2
27.03.2026
Kenya vs Estonia
1 — 1
W: 0 · D: 3 · L: 1

Estonia is set to host Luxembourg in an intriguing UEFA Nations League clash this weekend. Both teams come into the match with mixed recent results, making it a fascinating fixture in the competition.

Estonia's Current Challenges

Estonia enters this encounter with a series of challenging matches behind them. Their recent form includes a 1-1 draw against Iceland, a 2-0 loss to Rwanda, and another 1-1 draw with Kenya. These results highlight their struggles in securing victories, particularly in converting opportunities into goals. With an average of 0.67 goals scored per game and conceding 1.33, Estonia will need to tighten their defense while enhancing their attacking efficiency to improve their fortunes. Notably, they have yet to play at home in recent times, which makes their current form harder to gauge in a home setting.

Luxembourg's Improving Form

Luxembourg, on the other hand, has been showing signs of improvement. Their recent victories against Bulgaria (2-1) and Albania (1-0) demonstrate their capability to perform well away from home. Although they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Italy, Luxembourg's ability to maintain a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.67 goals per game, positions them well in this fixture. Their away performance has been particularly impressive, scoring 1.50 goals per game and maintaining a solid defensive stance.

Prediction: A Close Contest Expected

For this Estonia vs Luxembourg match prediction, we anticipate a closely contested battle with Luxembourg having a slight edge. The main prediction is "Double Chance: X2," given Luxembourg's stronger recent performances and Estonia's struggle to secure wins. Luxembourg's solid defensive record and recent away victories suggest they are well-equipped to avoid defeat.

Additional predictions include "Draw: X" as both teams might struggle to dominate, "Total: Over 1.5" considering Luxembourg's scoring ability, "Both Teams to Score: Yes" given Estonia's potential to find the net, and "Total Team 2: Over 0.5" reflecting Luxembourg's consistent scoring form. Overall, this match promises to be a competitive and tactical encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X
45%
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%

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