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UEFA Nations League

Iceland VS Bulgaria: Final Score & Prediction

UEFA Nations League 03.10.2026 · 12:00 Ice Rink Laugardalur Referee: Balazs Berke
Iceland emblem
Iceland
W
D
L
L
D
Full Time
3 – 0
HT 1:0
03 Oct · 12:00
Bulgaria emblem
Bulgaria
D
L
D
L
W

Match Stats

Iceland 3:0 Bulgaria
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
6
2
Blocked Shots
1
7
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Shots Outside Box
3
9
Corners
1
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
422
Total Passes
420
338
Accurate Passes
338

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Hörður MagnússonYellow Card
4'
10'
Lukas PetkovYellow Card
27'
Dimitar VelkovskiYellow Card
Mikael EllertssonYellow Card
32'
⚽ Orri Steinn ÓskarssonGoal · Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
37'
⇆ Arnór SigurðssonSubstitution · Andri Guðjohnsen
45'
⇆ Aron GunnarssonSubstitution · Daniel Leo Gretarsson
45'
55'
Ilia GruevSubstitution · Emil Tsenov ⇆
55'
Lukas PetkovSubstitution · Marin Plamenov·Petkov ⇆
59'
Atanas IlievYellow Card
⚽ Orri Steinn ÓskarssonGoal · Mikael Anderson
60'
⇆ Andri Fannar BaldurssonSubstitution · Victor Pálsson
62'
⇆ Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonSubstitution · Gylfi Sigurðsson
62'
67'
Asen ChandarovSubstitution · P. Panayotov ⇆
67'
Georgi RusevSubstitution · Zdravko Dimitrov ⇆
80'
Marin Plamenov·PetkovYellow Card
⇆ Hákon Arnar HaraldssonSubstitution · Logi Tomasson
82'
83'
Atanas IlievSubstitution · Vladimir Nikolov ⇆
✖ Orri Steinn ÓskarssonPenalty Missed
84'
⚽ Mikael EllertssonGoal · Orri Steinn Óskarsson
90'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
65%
Iceland
23%
Draw
12%
Bulgaria

Form Comparison

■ Iceland ■ Bulgaria
Iceland
Bulgaria
80%
Form
20%
80%
Att
20%
67%
Def
33%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
0%
H2h
0%
0%
Goals
0%
76%
Total
24%

Last Matches

Iceland
Bulgaria
29.09.2026
Luxembourg vs Iceland
3 — 0
26.09.2026
Iceland vs Estonia
1 — 1
09.06.2026
Argentina vs Iceland
0 — 3
31.05.2026
Japan vs Iceland
0 — 1
31.03.2026
Haiti vs Iceland
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

As Iceland prepares to face Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League, both teams will be eager to capitalize on their recent performances. Iceland, playing at home, will look to improve upon a series of challenging results, while Bulgaria aims to build on their impressive away form in recent matches. This match promises to provide an intriguing contest between two nations seeking to advance in the competition.

Iceland's Recent Struggles Iceland enters this fixture after a series of mixed results, with their last five matches yielding three draws and two losses. The team has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging just 0.80 goals per game while conceding 1.60. Notably, their recent 1:1 draw against Estonia in the Nations League highlights their ability to hold firm defensively, but they have been less successful in friendlies against stronger teams like Argentina and Japan. Despite playing at home, Iceland's recent performance suggests they might face challenges against a Bulgarian side that has shown potency in attack.

Bulgaria's Potent Attack Bulgaria arrives in Iceland with a promising record, having scored a remarkable 10 goals in their last match against the Solomon Islands. Their recent form shows a blend of competitiveness and resilience, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. Notably, Bulgaria has been particularly effective away from home, where they have scored an impressive average of 4.33 goals per game while conceding just 1.33. This attacking prowess, combined with their ability to secure a 1:0 victory over Indonesia, suggests that Bulgaria will be a formidable opponent for Iceland.

Match Outcome Prediction Given the contrasting recent performances of Iceland and Bulgaria, the prediction for this match favors Bulgaria to come out on top. Iceland's inability to secure wins, coupled with Bulgaria's strong away record, makes Bulgaria the likely winners in this encounter. Therefore, the main prediction is a win for Bulgaria (2). Additionally, we anticipate that both teams will score (Yes), given their respective defensive vulnerabilities. With Bulgaria's high-scoring matches, we predict a total of over 2.0 goals in the game. Iceland is expected to score at least once, making over 0.5 goals for Iceland a viable prediction. Finally, Bulgaria is likely to score over 1.5 goals, reflecting their offensive strength.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 2.0
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
75%

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