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Major League Soccer

St. Louis City VS Minnesota United FC: Final Score & Prediction

Major League Soccer 12.09.2026 · 20:30 CITYPARK Referee: Victor Rivas, USA
St. Louis City emblem
St. Louis City
D
W
D
W
D
Full Time
4 – 2
HT 3:1
12 Sep · 20:30
Minnesota United FC emblem
Minnesota United FC
L
L
D
W
L

Match Stats

St. Louis City 4:2 Minnesota United FC
65%
Ball Possession
35%
14
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
8
4
Blocked Shots
0
10
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Shots Outside Box
2
6
Corners
5
0
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
15
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
598
Total Passes
328
537
Accurate Passes
261

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
5'
Tomás ChancalayGoal · Joaquín Pereyra
Daniel EdelmanGoal
18'
Carlo HolseGoal · Conrad Wallem
22'
Rafael Navarro LealGoal · Carlo Holse
38'
47'
Michael BoxallYellow Card
Rafael Navarro LealGoal (Penalty)
57'
Rafael SantosSubstitution · Tomas Totland
59'
Daniel EdelmanSubstitution · Christopher Durkin
59'
Carlo HolseSubstitution · Alexandru Măţan
59'
61'
Kelvin YeboahGoal (Penalty)
64'
Kyle DuncanYellow Card
75'
Nicolás RomeroSubstitution · Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño
75'
Kelvin YeboahSubstitution · Maurice Malone
75'
Wil TrappSubstitution · Nectarios Triantis
Simon BecherSubstitution · Damion Downs
76'
Fallou FallSubstitution · Lukas MacNaughton
76'
80'
Kyle DuncanRed Card
83'
Tomás ChancalaySubstitution · Aziel Jackson

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
St. Louis City
25%
Draw
30%
Minnesota United FC

Form Comparison

■ St. Louis City ■ Minnesota United FC
St. Louis City
Minnesota United FC
69%
Form
31%
44%
Att
56%
62%
Def
38%
56%
Poisson distribution
44%
7%
H2h
93%
25%
Goals
75%
44%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
26.07.2025
St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC
1 — 2
21.05.2025
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City
3 — 2
17.05.2025
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City
3 — 0
09.02.2025
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City
19.10.2024
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City
4 — 1
14.09.2024
St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC
1 — 3
23.09.2023
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City
1 — 2
01.04.2023
St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC
0 — 1

Last Matches

St. Louis City
Minnesota United FC
09.09.2026
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City
2 — 2
05.09.2026
Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City
3 — 1
30.08.2026
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas
3 — 3
22.08.2026
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo
2 — 1
19.08.2026
Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 3 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

St. Louis City
B. McSorley, Celio Pompeu, K. Hiebert, P. Ault
Minnesota United FC
B. Hlongwane, P. Stroud

St. Louis City heads into this match with a solid home record, remaining unbeaten in their last five home games, securing three wins and two draws. This impressive form contrasts sharply with Minnesota United FC's recent away struggles, where they have managed just one victory in their last five outings, drawing once and suffering three defeats. However, Minnesota's attacking prowess cannot be overlooked as they have averaged 2.60 goals per match over their last five fixtures, indicating a potent threat upfront.

Both teams have shown a knack for finding the back of the net, with St. Louis City scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game over their last five matches, while Minnesota United FC has a slightly higher average of 2.60. This offensive capability is matched by somewhat porous defenses, as St. Louis City concedes an average of 1.40 goals per game and Minnesota allows 1.60. Historically, Minnesota has dominated head-to-head encounters, winning four out of the last five matches against St. Louis City, including a commanding 3:0 victory. This past success could give Minnesota a psychological edge despite their current away form woes.

Given the statistical trends, a tightly contested match is on the cards. The prediction leans towards a match with multiple goals, as both teams have consistently been prolific in front of goal. However, the key betting event for this match focuses on the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. With Minnesota United FC's recent history of victories over St. Louis City and their ability to score away from home, the prediction is for "X2" to occur, suggesting that Minnesota United FC will either win or draw. This is supported by Minnesota's superior head-to-head record and their higher goal-scoring average, giving them a potential edge. The confidence score for this prediction is 7.

Additionally, betting markets could consider the following probabilities: "Total:Over: 1.5" at 70%, given the scoring averages; "Total Team 2 Over: 1" at 65%, reflecting Minnesota's scoring form; "1X" at 55% to account for St. Louis City's home unbeaten streak; and "X" at 45%, considering the possibility of a stalemate given both teams' recent draws. These events are consistent with the main prediction and provide varied angles for potential outcomes in what promises to be an exciting fixture.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
65%
1X
55%
X
45%

Bookmakers Odds Online

St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Betano

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 49
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 44
3
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City ★
26 12 8 6 44
4
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
26 12 8 6 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 42
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 41
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 33
9
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
26 9 5 12 32
10
San Diego logoSan Diego
25 8 6 11 30
11
Austin logoAustin
26 7 9 10 30
12
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
25 8 5 12 29
13
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
24 7 8 9 29
14
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC ★
26 7 8 11 29
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 18
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