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Primeira Liga

Arouca vs Tondela Prediction

Primeira Liga 16.05.2026 · 17:00 Estádio Municipal de Arouca Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Arouca emblem
Arouca
W
D
L
W
L
vs
– : –
16 May · 17:00
Tondela emblem
Tondela
W
W
D
L
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
2.90

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
Arouca
35%
Draw
30%
Tondela

Form Comparison

■ Arouca ■ Tondela
Arouca
Tondela
50%
Form
50%
58%
Att
42%
50%
Def
50%
61%
Poisson distribution
39%
38%
H2h
62%
46%
Goals
54%
51%
Total
50%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.01.2026
Tondela vs Arouca
3 — 1
19.03.2022
Tondela vs Arouca
2 — 2
29.10.2021
Arouca vs Tondela
2 — 0
10.07.2021
Tondela vs Arouca
13.05.2017
Arouca vs Tondela
1 — 2
08.01.2017
Tondela vs Arouca
1 — 2
06.03.2016
Tondela vs Arouca
0 — 1
25.10.2015
Arouca vs Tondela
1 — 1

Last Matches

Arouca
Tondela
11.05.2026
GIL Vicente vs Arouca
3 — 1
02.05.2026
Arouca vs Santa Clara
2 — 2
24.04.2026
Alverca vs Arouca
1 — 2
19.04.2026
Arouca vs Estrela
1 — 0
12.04.2026
SC Braga vs Arouca
0 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

As the Primeira Liga season approaches its climax, Arouca welcomes Tondela to the Estádio Municipal de Arouca on May 17, 2026. Both teams have had varying fortunes this season, with Arouca sitting comfortably in 11th place, while Tondela struggles to climb out of the relegation zone in 17th. This match promises to be an intriguing battle as both sides aim to finish their campaigns on a high note.

Arouca's Home Fortitude

Arouca has shown resilience, particularly at home, where they have secured three wins, one draw, and a single loss in their last five outings. Their ability to find the net has been impressive, averaging 2.00 goals per game at home, while conceding an average of 1.20. The offensive mindset has been evident in recent games, including a thrilling 3-2 victory against Estoril. With no injuries or suspensions to worry about, Arouca will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage once again. However, their away form has been less convincing, which emphasizes the importance of this home fixture in solidifying their mid-table position.

Tondela's Battle Against Relegation

Tondela finds themselves in a precarious position, needing points to avoid the drop. Their recent performance has been a mixed bag, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. Notably, they managed a spirited 2-2 draw against Sporting CP, showcasing their potential to challenge stronger opponents. Despite their struggles, Tondela has fared slightly better on the road, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game while conceding 1.80. With no squad limitations due to injuries or suspensions, they will be eager to replicate past successes against Arouca, having won two of their last five encounters.

Prediction for a Competitive Clash

Given the current form and the stakes involved, this match could go either way. Arouca’s solid home form suggests they will be tough to beat, while Tondela’s recent performances indicate they can be competitive, especially away from home. The prediction for this match leans toward a closely contested affair with both teams finding the back of the net. Arouca’s attacking prowess at home and Tondela’s necessity to secure points make "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" a plausible outcome. Confidence in this prediction is bolstered by Tondela's recent ability to score against formidable opponents, combined with Arouca's tendency to concede.

In addition to this, other likely outcomes include a draw ("X") given the even nature of their past head-to-head encounters, and potential for a moderately high-scoring game with "Total:Over: 2.5" being a strong possibility. Considering the statistical trends, Arouca could also score at least once, making "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" and "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" appealing options for those looking at individual team performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have been scoring and conceding consistently in recent matches, and Tondela needs points, likely leading to an open game.

2.90
Odds
X
45%
Total:Over: 2.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Arouca vs Tondela
Pin-UP
W12.94
X3.50
W22.25
William Hill
W12.80
X3.40
W22.25
Bet365
W13.20
X3.40
W22.10
Marathonbet
W12.94
X3.55
W22.22
Unibet
W12.80
X3.55
W22.33
Betfair
W13.00
X3.50
W22.20
Pinnacle
W12.96
X3.58
W22.28
1xBet
W13.06
X3.69
W22.31
Betano
W13.40
X3.60
W22.10
Dafabet
W13.05
X3.65
W22.29

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
33 27 4 2 85
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
33 24 7 2 79
3
Benfica logoBenfica
33 22 11 0 77
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
33 16 10 7 58
5
Famalicao logoFamalicao
33 14 11 8 53
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
33 13 11 9 50
7
Moreirense logoMoreirense
33 12 6 15 42
8
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
33 12 6 15 42
9
Estoril logoEstoril
33 10 9 14 39
10
Arouca logoArouca ★
33 11 6 16 39
11
Alverca logoAlverca
33 10 9 14 39
12
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
33 9 9 15 36
13
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
33 8 11 14 35
14
Nacional logoNacional
33 8 7 18 31
15
Estrela logoEstrela
33 6 11 16 29
16
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
33 6 11 16 29
17
Tondela logoTondela ★
33 6 10 17 28
18
AVS logoAVS
33 3 11 19 20
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