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Primeira Liga

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga 16.05.2026 · 17:00 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior Referee: Vasilica Iancu, Portugal
Casa Pia emblem
Casa Pia
W
L
L
L
D
vs
– : –
16 May · 17:00
Rio Ave emblem
Rio Ave
L
D
L
D
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.39

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Casa Pia
45%
Draw
45%
Rio Ave

Form Comparison

■ Casa Pia ■ Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
44%
Form
56%
29%
Att
71%
67%
Def
33%
46%
Poisson distribution
54%
29%
H2h
71%
38%
Goals
63%
42%
Total
58%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.01.2026
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
3 — 1
29.03.2025
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
2 — 1
12.01.2025
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
1 — 3
02.11.2024
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
2 — 2
11.02.2024
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
1 — 0
02.09.2023
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
1 — 1
16.04.2023
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
1 — 1
30.10.2022
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
1 — 0
01.05.2022
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
1 — 0
19.12.2021
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
0 — 1

Last Matches

Casa Pia
Rio Ave
11.05.2026
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
1 — 0
03.05.2026
Casa Pia vs Tondela
0 — 1
27.04.2026
GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia
1 — 2
23.04.2026
Casa Pia vs SC Braga
0 — 1
18.04.2026
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
0 — 0
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As the Primeira Liga season draws to a close, Casa Pia and Rio Ave find themselves preparing for a crucial encounter at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. With both teams eager to improve their standings, this match promises to be a fascinating clash of strategies and form. Casa Pia, struggling near the bottom of the table, is in dire need of points, while Rio Ave will look to consolidate their mid-table position with a solid performance.

Casa Pia's Struggles and Hopes

Casa Pia sits precariously at 16th in the league, having endured a challenging season. Their recent form has been less than inspiring, with no wins in their last five outings, which include two draws and three losses. Casa Pia's home performances have also been underwhelming, with an average of just 0.40 goals scored per game, highlighting their difficulties in finding the back of the net. Defensively, they have been somewhat steadier at home, conceding an average of 0.80 goals per game. However, their overall recent defensive record remains a concern, with 1.40 goals conceded per match in the last five. On the positive side, Casa Pia has a full squad available, as there are no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup.

Rio Ave's Mid-Table Ambitions

Rio Ave, currently 12th in the league, has shown more resilience and consistency compared to their opponents. Their recent form includes a mix of results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Away from home, Rio Ave has been relatively strong, securing three wins in their last five away games, and conceding just 0.80 goals on average. Offensively, they have scored an average of 1.00 goals per game in this period, which could pose a challenge to Casa Pia's defense. Like Casa Pia, Rio Ave enters this match with a clean bill of health, facing no injuries or suspensions.

Prediction and Expected Outcomes

With both teams having a full squad to choose from, this match could be tightly contested. However, based on recent form and statistical trends, Rio Ave appears to have the upper hand. Their ability to perform well away from home, combined with Casa Pia's ongoing struggles, suggests that Rio Ave could edge this encounter. A likely event in this match is for both teams to score, given Rio Ave's scoring consistency and Casa Pia's pressing need to attack. The prediction for this match is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," with Rio Ave's stronger form giving them a slight edge. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, reflecting Rio Ave's better recent performances and Casa Pia's need to push forward in search of points.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Rio Ave's scoring consistency and Casa Pia's need to attack suggest both teams will find the net.

3.39
Odds
X2
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
Pin-UP
W11.67
X3.95
W24.55
William Hill
W11.73
X3.80
W24.20
Bet365
W11.62
X3.80
W25.00
Marathonbet
W11.71
X3.90
W24.33
Unibet
W11.70
X3.85
W24.50
Betfair
W11.67
X3.90
W24.75
Pinnacle
W11.74
X3.89
W24.38
1xBet
W11.78
X4.06
W24.50
Betano
W11.70
X4.10
W24.55
Dafabet
W11.74
X4.00
W24.70

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
33 27 4 2 85
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
33 24 7 2 79
3
Benfica logoBenfica
33 22 11 0 77
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
33 16 10 7 58
5
Famalicao logoFamalicao
33 14 11 8 53
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
33 13 11 9 50
7
Moreirense logoMoreirense
33 12 6 15 42
8
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
33 12 6 15 42
9
Estoril logoEstoril
33 10 9 14 39
10
Arouca logoArouca
33 11 6 16 39
11
Alverca logoAlverca
33 10 9 14 39
12
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
33 9 9 15 36
13
Rio Ave logoRio Ave ★
33 8 11 14 35
14
Nacional logoNacional
33 8 7 18 31
15
Estrela logoEstrela
33 6 11 16 29
16
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia ★
33 6 11 16 29
17
Tondela logoTondela
33 6 10 17 28
18
AVS logoAVS
33 3 11 19 20
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