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Primeira Liga

FC Porto vs Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga 16.05.2026 · 14:30 Estádio Do Dragão Referee: Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
FC Porto emblem
FC Porto
L
W
W
D
W
vs
– : –
16 May · 14:30
Santa Clara emblem
Santa Clara
W
D
W
D
L
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
5.57

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
FC Porto
45%
Draw
10%
Santa Clara

Form Comparison

■ FC Porto ■ Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
60%
Form
40%
60%
Att
40%
50%
Def
50%
87%
Poisson distribution
13%
93%
H2h
7%
73%
Goals
27%
71%
Total
30%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.01.2026
Santa Clara vs FC Porto
0 — 1
26.01.2025
FC Porto vs Santa Clara
1 — 1
16.08.2024
Santa Clara vs FC Porto
0 — 2
29.02.2024
Santa Clara vs FC Porto
1 — 2
15.04.2023
FC Porto vs Santa Clara
2 — 1
29.10.2022
Santa Clara vs FC Porto
1 — 1
04.04.2022
FC Porto vs Santa Clara
3 — 0
07.11.2021
Santa Clara vs FC Porto
0 — 3
26.10.2021
Santa Clara vs FC Porto
3 — 1
03.04.2021
FC Porto vs Santa Clara
2 — 1

Last Matches

FC Porto
Santa Clara
10.05.2026
AVS vs FC Porto
1 — 3
02.05.2026
FC Porto vs Alverca
1 — 0
26.04.2026
Estrela vs FC Porto
2 — 1
22.04.2026
FC Porto vs Sporting CP
0 — 0
19.04.2026
FC Porto vs Tondela
2 — 0
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

As FC Porto prepares to host Santa Clara at the Estádio Do Dragão, the anticipation is palpable. With the Primeira Liga season winding down, every point matters, especially for Porto, who are at the summit of the table. Santa Clara, sitting in a mid-table position, will be eager to test themselves against the league leaders.

FC Porto's Consistent Dominance

FC Porto has been a formidable force this season, maintaining their position at the top of the league with a series of strong performances. Recently, they have showcased their defensive prowess, conceding only two goals in their last five matches. Their home form has been solid, with two wins and three draws in their last five games at the Estádio Do Dragão, averaging 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded. This defensive strength at home will be crucial as they face Santa Clara. The team will have the advantage of a full squad, with no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup for this match.

Santa Clara's Mid-Table Challenge

Santa Clara has had a mixed season, currently holding the 13th position in the league. Their recent form shows a team capable of surprises, with a notable victory over SC Braga and a hard-fought draw against Casa Pia. However, their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed, conceding an average of 1.80 goals in their last five matches. Away from home, they have managed one win, three draws, and one loss, scoring 1.40 goals on average per game. Without any injuries or suspensions, Santa Clara will look to bring their full strength against Porto, hoping to exploit any potential weaknesses in the hosts' defense.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Given the current form and statistical trends, a high-scoring affair seems likely. FC Porto's strong defensive record at home contrasts with Santa Clara's tendency to concede goals, suggesting that Porto might keep a clean sheet. With Porto's recent matches often resulting in low-scoring outcomes, the "Total:Under: 2.5" market presents an intriguing prediction. This event seems probable due to Porto's disciplined defense and Santa Clara's inconsistency in front of goal. Our confidence score for this prediction is 7.

In addition, four other betting events are worth considering. A "Win 1" outcome is highly probable given Porto's superior head-to-head record against Santa Clara, with a probability of 75%. The "All: Both Teams to Score: No" market also presents value, reflecting Porto's defensive capabilities, with a probability of 65%. For those looking at goal totals, "Total:Under: 3.0" and "Total Team 2 Under: 1" suggest further defensive dominance by Porto, each with probabilities of 60% and 55% respectively. These insights offer a variety of betting angles for this intriguing Primeira Liga clash.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Porto's strong home defense and Santa Clara's inconsistency in scoring suggest a low-scoring game.

5.57
Odds
Win 1
75%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
65%
Total:Under: 3.0
60%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

FC Porto vs Santa Clara
Pin-UP
W11.31
X4.65
W210.75
William Hill
W11.33
X4.80
W28.50
Bet365
W11.30
X4.33
W28.50
Marathonbet
W11.32
X4.90
W29.00
Unibet
W11.34
X4.60
W29.50
Betfair
W11.30
X4.75
W210.00
Pinnacle
W11.33
X5.03
W28.68
1xBet
W11.35
X5.30
W29.70
Betano
W11.37
X4.75
W29.25
Dafabet
W11.36
X5.00
W29.40

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto ★
33 27 4 2 85
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
33 24 7 2 79
3
Benfica logoBenfica
33 22 11 0 77
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
33 16 10 7 58
5
Famalicao logoFamalicao
33 14 11 8 53
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
33 13 11 9 50
7
Moreirense logoMoreirense
33 12 6 15 42
8
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
33 12 6 15 42
9
Estoril logoEstoril
33 10 9 14 39
10
Arouca logoArouca
33 11 6 16 39
11
Alverca logoAlverca
33 10 9 14 39
12
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara ★
33 9 9 15 36
13
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
33 8 11 14 35
14
Nacional logoNacional
33 8 7 18 31
15
Estrela logoEstrela
33 6 11 16 29
16
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
33 6 11 16 29
17
Tondela logoTondela
33 6 10 17 28
18
AVS logoAVS
33 3 11 19 20
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