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Primeira Liga

SC Braga vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga 16.05.2026 · 17:00 Estádio Municipal de Braga Referee: Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
SC Braga emblem
SC Braga
D
L
D
W
L
vs
– : –
16 May · 17:00
Estrela emblem
Estrela
D
L
L
L
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.69

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
SC Braga
45%
Draw
10%
Estrela

Form Comparison

■ SC Braga ■ Estrela
SC Braga
Estrela
86%
Form
14%
70%
Att
30%
50%
Def
50%
76%
Poisson distribution
24%
85%
H2h
15%
67%
Goals
33%
72%
Total
28%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.01.2026
Estrela vs SC Braga
3 — 3
19.01.2025
Estrela vs SC Braga
0 — 1
11.08.2024
SC Braga vs Estrela
1 — 1
02.03.2024
SC Braga vs Estrela
3 — 0
28.09.2023
Estrela vs SC Braga
2 — 4
13.07.2021
Estrela vs SC Braga
0 — 0

Last Matches

SC Braga
Estrela
11.05.2026
Benfica vs SC Braga
2 — 2
07.05.2026
SC Freiburg vs SC Braga
1 — 3
03.05.2026
SC Braga vs Estoril
1 — 1
30.04.2026
SC Braga vs SC Freiburg
2 — 1
26.04.2026
Santa Clara vs SC Braga
1 — 2
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

As the Primeira Liga season edges toward its conclusion, SC Braga will host Estrela at the Estádio Municipal de Braga on May 17, 2026. SC Braga, sitting comfortably in fourth place, will be eager to consolidate their position, while Estrela, languishing in the lower half of the table, will be desperate to secure points to avoid any last-minute relegation threats. This encounter promises to be a crucial clash for both clubs with differing end-of-season objectives.

SC Braga's Home Fortitude

SC Braga has demonstrated solid form, especially at home, where they remain unbeaten in their last five outings. With two victories and three draws, they have effectively turned the Estádio Municipal de Braga into a fortress. The team has averaged 1.4 goals per game on home soil, showcasing their attacking prowess, while maintaining a relatively robust defense, conceding just one goal per match on average. Braga's recent performances include a resilient 1-1 draw against Estoril and a hard-fought 2-1 victory over SC Freiburg. Notably, the team is fortunate to enter this match without any injuries or suspensions, allowing them to deploy their strongest lineup.

Estrela's Struggles on the Road

Estrela's recent form paints a stark contrast to their opponents, with their last five games resulting in four losses and just one draw. Currently positioned at 15th in the league, Estrela's away performance has been particularly concerning, with no wins in their last five away matches. They have managed to score an average of 0.6 goals per game on the road, while conceding 1.6, revealing vulnerabilities that Braga will seek to exploit. Despite these challenges, Estrela has shown occasional resilience, as seen in their hard-fought 3-2 match against Moreirense, albeit a loss. Like Braga, Estrela will be relieved to have a full squad available, with no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions.

Prediction: Goals Galore?

Given the contrasting form of both teams, this match leans heavily in favor of SC Braga. However, Estrela's occasional ability to find the net suggests that this fixture might see goals from both sides. Historically, meetings between these two have often been goal-rich affairs, with SC Braga coming out on top in three of their last five encounters. The prediction for this match is that both teams will score, considering Braga's solid home record and Estrela's desperate need for points to stave off relegation worries. This prediction is supported by the attacking intent shown by Braga and the defensive lapses seen in Estrela's recent performances. This likely scenario reflects an enticing betting opportunity with a reasonable expectation for both teams finding the back of the net.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Braga's strong home form and Estrela's need for points suggest both teams will score.

3.69
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Win 1
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Handicap 1: 1
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

SC Braga vs Estrela
Pin-UP
W11.56
X4.10
W25.40
William Hill
W11.57
X4.00
W25.00
Bet365
W11.57
X3.90
W25.00
Marathonbet
W11.56
X4.15
W25.25
Unibet
W11.61
X3.85
W25.20
Betfair
W11.57
X4.20
W25.50
Pinnacle
W11.60
X4.24
W25.04
1xBet
W11.62
X4.32
W25.46
Betano
W11.62
X4.15
W25.20
Dafabet
W11.62
X4.20
W25.20

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
33 27 4 2 85
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
33 24 7 2 79
3
Benfica logoBenfica
33 22 11 0 77
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga ★
33 16 10 7 58
5
Famalicao logoFamalicao
33 14 11 8 53
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
33 13 11 9 50
7
Moreirense logoMoreirense
33 12 6 15 42
8
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
33 12 6 15 42
9
Estoril logoEstoril
33 10 9 14 39
10
Arouca logoArouca
33 11 6 16 39
11
Alverca logoAlverca
33 10 9 14 39
12
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
33 9 9 15 36
13
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
33 8 11 14 35
14
Nacional logoNacional
33 8 7 18 31
15
Estrela logoEstrela ★
33 6 11 16 29
16
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
33 6 11 16 29
17
Tondela logoTondela
33 6 10 17 28
18
AVS logoAVS
33 3 11 19 20
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