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Primeira Liga

Estoril vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga 16.05.2026 · 19:30 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Referee: Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal
Estoril emblem
Estoril
D
D
L
L
L
vs
– : –
16 May · 19:30
Benfica emblem
Benfica
D
D
W
W
W
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
5.04

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Estoril
45%
Draw
45%
Benfica

Form Comparison

■ Estoril ■ Benfica
Estoril
Benfica
15%
Form
85%
20%
Att
80%
46%
Def
54%
26%
Poisson distribution
74%
7%
H2h
93%
25%
Goals
75%
23%
Total
77%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.01.2026
Benfica vs Estoril
3 — 1
03.05.2025
Estoril vs Benfica
1 — 2
23.12.2024
Benfica vs Estoril
3 — 0
10.03.2024
Benfica vs Estoril
3 — 1
24.01.2024
Benfica vs Estoril
1 — 1
07.10.2023
Estoril vs Benfica
0 — 1
23.04.2023
Benfica vs Estoril
1 — 0
09.11.2022
Estoril vs Benfica
0 — 1
06.11.2022
Estoril vs Benfica
1 — 5
20.03.2022
Benfica vs Estoril
2 — 1

Last Matches

Estoril
Benfica
10.05.2026
Alverca vs Estoril
1 — 1
03.05.2026
SC Braga vs Estoril
1 — 1
26.04.2026
Estoril vs Famalicao
0 — 1
20.04.2026
Moreirense vs Estoril
0 — 1
12.04.2026
Estoril vs FC Porto
1 — 3
W: 0 · D: 2 · L: 3

As the Primeira Liga season draws to a close, Estoril prepares to host Benfica at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The stakes are high for both teams, with Estoril aiming to finish in the top half of the league, while Benfica is determined to solidify their spot in the top two. This match promises to be a captivating encounter, showcasing the contrasting forms of both sides.

Estoril's Struggle for Consistency

Estoril has had a challenging run of form recently, securing just one point from their last five matches. Their latest outings have seen them draw 1-1 with SC Braga but fall short against teams like Famalicao and FC Porto. At home, Estoril's performances have been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five home games, coupled with a draw and three losses. Their attack has been somewhat subdued, averaging a goal per game at home, while defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals. Fortunately, Estoril has a full squad available, with no injuries or suspensions to contend with. As they face a formidable opponent in Benfica, Estoril will need to find a way to tighten their defense and capitalize on any scoring opportunities.

Benfica's Drive for Dominance

Benfica comes into this match in impressive form, remaining unbeaten in their last five league matches. They have managed to secure three wins, including a notable 2-1 victory against Sporting CP, and two draws. Away from home, Benfica continues to be a formidable force, winning three and drawing two of their last five away fixtures. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored an average of 1.8 goals per game on the road, while maintaining a solid defensive record with 1.2 goals conceded per match. With a full squad at their disposal, Benfica's depth and quality will be key as they aim to assert their dominance against Estoril. Their recent head-to-head success against Estoril—four wins out of the last five encounters—further boosts their confidence.

Prediction: Goals in Abundance

Given the recent form of both teams and their head-to-head history, this match is likely to be a high-scoring affair. Estoril's defensive vulnerabilities, coupled with Benfica's attacking strength, suggest that goals will be on the cards. The most likely betting event is for the Total:Over: 2.5 market, considering Benfica's average of over two goals per game in recent matches and Estoril's tendency to concede. With a confidence score of 8, this prediction aligns with the statistical trends observed. Additionally, the probability of both teams finding the net is high, given their respective scoring records. Therefore, punters might also consider the "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" market as a viable option. Other potential bets include Benfica securing a win (Win 2), and the possibility of a high total goal count in the game, reflecting the attacking intent of both sides. As Estoril and Benfica take to the field, fans can expect an exciting clash, with both teams eager to end their seasons on a high note.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Benfica's strong offensive form and Estoril's defensive vulnerabilities suggest this will be a high-scoring match.

5.04
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Win 2
65%
Total:Over: 2.0
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Estoril vs Benfica
Pin-UP
W18.70
X5.10
W21.32
William Hill
W17.50
X5.00
W21.30
Bet365
W18.00
X5.00
W21.33
Marathonbet
W17.90
X5.50
W21.31
Unibet
W18.00
X5.00
W21.35
Betfair
W18.50
X5.50
W21.30
Pinnacle
W18.58
X5.63
W21.30
1xBet
W18.50
X5.94
W21.34
Betano
W18.75
X5.20
W21.35
Dafabet
W18.20
X5.80
W21.34

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
33 27 4 2 85
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
33 24 7 2 79
3
Benfica logoBenfica ★
33 22 11 0 77
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
33 16 10 7 58
5
Famalicao logoFamalicao
33 14 11 8 53
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
33 13 11 9 50
7
Moreirense logoMoreirense
33 12 6 15 42
8
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
33 12 6 15 42
9
Estoril logoEstoril ★
33 10 9 14 39
10
Arouca logoArouca
33 11 6 16 39
11
Alverca logoAlverca
33 10 9 14 39
12
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
33 9 9 15 36
13
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
33 8 11 14 35
14
Nacional logoNacional
33 8 7 18 31
15
Estrela logoEstrela
33 6 11 16 29
16
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
33 6 11 16 29
17
Tondela logoTondela
33 6 10 17 28
18
AVS logoAVS
33 3 11 19 20
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