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Primeira Liga

Moreirense vs AVS Prediction

Primeira Liga 16.05.2026 · 14:30 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Referee: Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
Moreirense emblem
Moreirense
L
W
L
W
D
vs
– : –
16 May · 14:30
AVS emblem
AVS
W
W
D
D
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.27

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Moreirense
45%
Draw
10%
AVS

Form Comparison

■ Moreirense ■ AVS
Moreirense
AVS
44%
Form
56%
40%
Att
60%
40%
Def
60%
72%
Poisson distribution
28%
88%
H2h
13%
86%
Goals
14%
62%
Total
39%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.01.2026
AVS vs Moreirense
0 — 2
17.05.2025
AVS vs Moreirense
0 — 3
04.01.2025
Moreirense vs AVS
1 — 1

Last Matches

Moreirense
AVS
11.05.2026
Tondela vs Moreirense
0 — 2
02.05.2026
Moreirense vs Estrela
3 — 2
25.04.2026
Benfica vs Moreirense
1 — 4
20.04.2026
Moreirense vs Estoril
1 — 0
10.04.2026
Famalicao vs Moreirense
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

As Moreirense prepare to host AVS at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, both teams are set to bring their finest to this intriguing Primeira Liga clash. Moreirense, sitting comfortably in 7th place, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while AVS, struggling at the bottom of the table, will aim to salvage some pride in a challenging away fixture. With recent performances showing glimpses of potential, this encounter promises to be an engaging battle as the season draws to a close.

Moreirense's recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Notably, they have secured victories against Estrela and Estoril, demonstrating their capability to clinch points against mid-table teams. Their home form mirrors this inconsistency, with two wins and two losses in the last five games, averaging 1.00 goal scored and conceded per match. Moreirense will be relieved to have a full squad available, with no injuries or suspensions hampering their preparations. Historically, Moreirense have had the upper hand against AVS, winning two of their last three encounters, which could psychologically boost the home side.

AVS are languishing at the bottom of the table in 18th place, yet their recent results offer a glimmer of hope. With one win and three draws in their last five outings, AVS have shown resilience, particularly in their 2-2 draw against Rio Ave and narrow victory over Nacional. Their away form, however, remains a concern, with just one win and three draws from their last five matches, scoring an average of 0.80 goals while conceding 1.20 per game. Like their hosts, AVS have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup in a bid to defy their current league position. Despite their struggles, AVS's ability to pick up points against higher-ranked teams suggests they could pose a threat to Moreirense.

In a game where both sides have plenty to play for, the prediction leans towards a competitive match with goals on both ends. Moreirense's slightly superior form and historical advantage over AVS make them marginal favorites, but AVS's recent spirited displays suggest they won't be pushovers. The main prediction for this fixture is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," backed by both teams' propensity to score and concede in recent games. Moreirense's home advantage and the historical head-to-head results give them the edge, but AVS's knack for scoring against the odds could see them find the net as well. With both teams having scored and conceded an average of over 1 goal per game in their last five matches, this outcome seems plausible.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have scored and conceded an average of over 1 goal per game in their last five matches, and their historical head-to-head suggests goals from both sides.

3.27
Odds
Total:Over: 2.0
65%
1X
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Moreirense vs AVS
Pin-UP
W11.75
X3.70
W24.35
William Hill
W11.75
X3.50
W24.33
Bet365
W11.73
X3.80
W24.10
Marathonbet
W11.73
X3.72
W24.45
Unibet
W11.83
X3.50
W24.10
Betfair
W11.75
X3.75
W24.40
Pinnacle
W11.76
X3.80
W24.40
1xBet
W11.80
X3.86
W24.62
Betano
W11.78
X3.85
W24.35
Dafabet
W11.81
X3.80
W24.50

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
33 27 4 2 85
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
33 24 7 2 79
3
Benfica logoBenfica
33 22 11 0 77
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
33 16 10 7 58
5
Famalicao logoFamalicao
33 14 11 8 53
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
33 13 11 9 50
7
Moreirense logoMoreirense ★
33 12 6 15 42
8
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
33 12 6 15 42
9
Estoril logoEstoril
33 10 9 14 39
10
Arouca logoArouca
33 11 6 16 39
11
Alverca logoAlverca
33 10 9 14 39
12
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
33 9 9 15 36
13
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
33 8 11 14 35
14
Nacional logoNacional
33 8 7 18 31
15
Estrela logoEstrela
33 6 11 16 29
16
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
33 6 11 16 29
17
Tondela logoTondela
33 6 10 17 28
18
AVS logoAVS ★
33 3 11 19 20
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