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Primeira Liga

Nacional VS Estoril: Final Score & Prediction

Primeira Liga 16.08.2026 · 10:30 Referee: B. J. Costa
Nacional emblem
Nacional
D
L
D
D
D
Full Time
2 – 0
HT 0:0
16 Aug · 10:30
Estoril emblem
Estoril
D
D
D
L
W

Match Stats

Nacional 2:0 Estoril
59%
Ball Possession
41%
2.08
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
20
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
5
9
Shots off Target
3
8
Blocked Shots
1
10
Shots Inside Box
4
10
Shots Outside Box
5
7
Corners
4
1
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
453
Total Passes
315
390
Accurate Passes
251
86%
Pass Accuracy
80%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
11'
XekaYellow Card
32'
XekaYellow Card
32'
XekaRed Card
Matheus DiasYellow Card
51'
63'
A. LacximicantSubstitution · T. Brito
63'
R. GuitaneSubstitution · F. Garcia
M. BaezaSubstitution · Deivison
66'
Matheus DiasSubstitution · S. Gavriel
66'
Ze VitorGoal · Leo Santos
68'
75'
R. SanchezSubstitution · P. Carvalho
75'
F. MedranoSubstitution · G. Costa
Leo SantosGoal · Daniel Junior
77'
F. SoaresYellow Card
79'
Daniel JuniorSubstitution · D. I. de la Cruz
81'
82'
I. SierraYellow Card
85'
A. TsounguiSubstitution · Jandro
85'
FerroYellow Card
Pablo RuanSubstitution · J. Silva
88'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
36%
Nacional
28%
Draw
36%
Estoril

Form Comparison

■ Nacional ■ Estoril
Nacional
Estoril
50%
Form
50%
67%
Att
33%
33%
Def
67%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
15%
H2h
85%
36%
Goals
64%
40%
Total
60%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
15.03.2026
Nacional vs Estoril
0 — 1
26.10.2025
Estoril vs Nacional
1 — 1
15.02.2025
Nacional vs Estoril
2 — 2
15.09.2024
Estoril vs Nacional
1 — 0
25.07.2021
Nacional vs Estoril
1 — 2
22.04.2020
Nacional vs Estoril
14.12.2019
Estoril vs Nacional
1 — 2
09.04.2017
Estoril vs Nacional
0 — 1
26.11.2016
Nacional vs Estoril
0 — 1
10.04.2016
Nacional vs Estoril
4 — 1

Last Matches

Nacional
Estoril
10.08.2026
Santa Clara vs Nacional
2 — 2
23.07.2026
Estrela vs Nacional
0 — 2
22.07.2026
Nacional vs Leganes
0 — 0
19.07.2026
Tondela vs Nacional
1 — 1
18.07.2026
Nacional vs Leixoes
3 — 3
W: 0 · D: 4 · L: 1

Nacional's recent form paints a challenging picture as they prepare to face Estoril. With only two draws and three losses in their last five matches, Nacional has yet to secure a victory. Their current league position at 14th reflects these struggles, especially compared to Estoril, who sits comfortably in 10th place. Estoril has managed to secure one win and three draws in their last five matches, showing a more stable, if not spectacular, run of form.

Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net consistently. Nacional averages just 0.80 goals per game in their last five outings, while Estoril is slightly better at 1.00. Defensively, Nacional concedes an average of 1.20 goals per match, whereas Estoril's defense has been marginally tighter, allowing 0.80. At home, Nacional has scored an average of 1.33 goals but conceded 1.67, indicating potential vulnerabilities. Estoril's away form shows they score 0.50 and concede 1.50 on average, suggesting that they too have room for improvement on the road.

Head-to-head encounters favor Estoril, who have emerged victorious in three of the last five meetings, with the remaining two ending in draws. This historical edge gives Estoril a psychological advantage heading into the match. Neither team reports any injuries or suspensions, ensuring both squads will be at full strength, thus making their tactical approaches pivotal.

Given the data, a "Draw" (X) appears to be the most likely outcome. Both teams have shown a propensity to share points, evident in their recent results and head-to-head record. Estoril's slightly better form may not be enough to overcome Nacional's home advantage, albeit modest. Therefore, a draw seems the most probable, underscored by both teams' struggles to convert opportunities into decisive victories.

Additional betting events worth considering include "X2," given Estoril's higher league position and better head-to-head record, suggesting they are unlikely to lose. "Total:Under: 2.5" aligns with the teams' lower goal-scoring averages. "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is plausible due to Nacional's higher home scoring average. Lastly, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" is supported by Estoril’s ability to find the net in previous encounters against Nacional.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X2
65%
Total:Under: 2.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Nacional vs Estoril
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
888Sport
Dafabet

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
3 3 0 0 9
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
3 2 1 0 7
3
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
3 2 1 0 7
4
Maritimo logoMaritimo
3 2 1 0 7
5
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
2 2 0 0 6
6
Arouca logoArouca
3 2 0 1 6
7
Benfica logoBenfica
2 1 1 0 4
8
Nacional logoNacional ★
3 1 1 1 4
9
Vitória SC logoVitória SC
3 1 0 2 3
10
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
3 1 0 2 3
11
Estrela logoEstrela
2 0 2 0 2
12
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
3 0 2 1 2
13
SC Braga logoSC Braga
1 0 1 0 1
14
Famalicao logoFamalicao
3 0 1 2 1
15
Estoril logoEstoril ★
3 0 1 2 1
16
Moreirense logoMoreirense
2 0 1 1 1
17
Alverca logoAlverca
3 0 1 2 1
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
3 0 0 3 0
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