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Primeira Liga

Vitória SC VS Nacional: Final Score & Prediction

Primeira Liga 23.08.2026 · 10:30 Referee: P. Ramalho
Vitória SC emblem
Vitória SC
L
L
W
D
W
Full Time
1 – 0
HT 1:0
23 Aug · 10:30
Nacional emblem
Nacional
W
D
L
D
D

Match Stats

Vitória SC 1:0 Nacional
50%
Ball Possession
50%
2.84
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
18
Total Shots
5
5
Shots on Target
0
9
Shots off Target
3
4
Blocked Shots
2
12
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Shots Outside Box
2
3
Corners
3
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
5
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
341
Total Passes
343
283
Accurate Passes
272
83%
Pass Accuracy
79%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
GustavoGoal · M. Nogueira
4'
G. NogueiraYellow Card
28'
M. NogueiraYellow Card
38'
T. MargaridoYellow Card
45+4'
SamuPenalty Missed · Samu
49'
56'
Wesley GasolinaSubstitution · D. I. de la Cruz
56'
M. BaezaSubstitution · W. Kokolo
L. DoucetSubstitution · B. Mukendi
63'
M. NogueiraSubstitution · O. Camara
63'
68'
LizieroSubstitution · S. Gavriel
G. NogueiraSubstitution · M. Mitrovic
72'
GustavoSubstitution · T. Arcanjo
78'
80'
M. JensenSubstitution · A. Obando
80'
Matheus DiasSubstitution · M. Djalo
90+5'
Daniel JuniorYellow Card

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
55%
Vitória SC
26%
Draw
19%
Nacional

Form Comparison

■ Vitória SC ■ Nacional
Vitória SC
Nacional
0%
Form
100%
33%
Att
67%
33%
Def
67%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
50%
H2h
50%
46%
Goals
54%
41%
Total
60%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.05.2026
Nacional vs Vitória SC
2 — 0
02.01.2026
Vitória SC vs Nacional
2 — 1
03.05.2025
Nacional vs Vitória SC
1 — 2
23.12.2024
Vitória SC vs Nacional
2 — 2
26.04.2021
Nacional vs Vitória SC
1 — 0
21.01.2021
Vitória SC vs Nacional
3 — 1
05.05.2019
Vitória SC vs Nacional
2 — 2
02.01.2019
Nacional vs Vitória SC
1 — 0
31.03.2017
Nacional vs Vitória SC
1 — 2
04.11.2016
Vitória SC vs Nacional
2 — 1

Last Matches

Vitória SC
Nacional
14.08.2026
Sporting CP vs Vitória SC
2 — 3
08.08.2026
Vitória SC vs Arouca
0 — 1
01.08.2026
Vitória SC vs Chaves
2 — 0
26.07.2026
Vitória SC vs Nottingham Forest
1 — 1
24.07.2026
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Vitória SC
3 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Vitória SC enters this match with an impressive recent away record, winning three of their last five matches and scoring an average of 1.67 goals per game. Despite this, they find themselves in the 15th position in the league, struggling to convert their away successes into consistent home performances. Their home form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and a loss, scoring just 1.00 goal per game on average. Nacional, on the other hand, sits at 7th place but has not managed to secure a win in their last five games, both home and away, highlighting a concerning trend for the team.

Vitória SC's recent form indicates a team capable of scoring, but their defense has been relatively solid, conceding just 0.40 goals per game at home. This contrasts with Nacional’s defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game when playing away. Interestingly, both teams have won twice in their last five head-to-head encounters, with one draw, suggesting a well-balanced rivalry. While Vitória SC has shown a penchant for finding the net, Nacional's capability to hold their ground, as evidenced by their 2-2 draw against Santa Clara, should not be underestimated.

Nacional's recent matches have been high-scoring affairs, with an average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in their last five matches. This is mirrored in their away performance, where they have scored an average of 1.00 goals per game. Vitória SC’s ability to maintain a low average of 0.40 goals conceded at home could prove decisive in this matchup. Furthermore, the head-to-head results reflect a closely contested fixture, with both teams having their moments of dominance. The absence of injuries or suspensions for both teams ensures that they can field their strongest sides, adding another layer of intrigue to this encounter.

With both teams displaying contrasting forms, the prediction leans towards a closely fought match. Vitória SC’s solid home defense could be the key factor in this game, potentially edging out Nacional’s attack. The likelihood of a draw seems plausible given the recent head-to-head results and Nacional's tendency to draw both home and away. However, Vitória SC’s recent form suggests they might have the edge, especially given Nacional's struggles to secure victories. The most probable outcome might be a marginal victory for Vitória SC, leveraging their defensive solidity. Nonetheless, a draw cannot be discounted, making the "1X" market an appealing betting option. With a high-scoring game less likely due to Vitória SC’s defensive record at home, a low-scoring encounter could be anticipated.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
70%
X
40%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Vitória SC vs Nacional
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
888Sport
Dafabet

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
3 3 0 0 9
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
3 2 1 0 7
3
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
3 2 1 0 7
4
Maritimo logoMaritimo
3 2 1 0 7
5
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
2 2 0 0 6
6
Arouca logoArouca
3 2 0 1 6
7
Benfica logoBenfica
2 1 1 0 4
8
Nacional logoNacional ★
3 1 1 1 4
9
Vitória SC logoVitória SC ★
3 1 0 2 3
10
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
3 1 0 2 3
11
Estrela logoEstrela
2 0 2 0 2
12
Academico Viseu logoAcademico Viseu
3 0 2 1 2
13
SC Braga logoSC Braga
1 0 1 0 1
14
Famalicao logoFamalicao
3 0 1 2 1
15
Estoril logoEstoril
3 0 1 2 1
16
Moreirense logoMoreirense
2 0 1 1 1
17
Alverca logoAlverca
3 0 1 2 1
18
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
3 0 0 3 0
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