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Calvary vs NEC Prediction

Premier League 23.05.2026 · 12:00
Calvary emblem
Calvary
W
D
D
W
L
vs
– : –
23 May · 12:00
NEC emblem
NEC
L
L
W
W
W
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.0
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Calvary
45%
Draw
45%
NEC

Form Comparison

■ Calvary ■ NEC
Calvary
NEC
50%
Form
50%
50%
Att
50%
57%
Def
43%
26%
Poisson distribution
74%
0%
H2h
100%
0%
Goals
100%
46%
Total
54%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
25.11.2025
NEC vs Calvary
1 — 0

Last Matches

Calvary
NEC
23.05.2026
Calvary vs NEC
2 — 0
19.05.2026
UPDF vs Calvary
0 — 0
12.05.2026
URA vs Calvary
1 — 1
06.05.2026
Calvary vs Police
1 — 0
29.04.2026
Entebbe UPPC vs Calvary
0 — 2
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

As the Premier League season draws to a close, Calvary will host NEC in what promises to be a compelling encounter on May 23, 2026. Both teams will be eager to finish the season on a high note, with Calvary aiming to maintain their top-flight status and NEC seeking to solidify their place in the upper echelons of the league table. Although the stadium remains unnamed, the significance of this match is evident, as both sides have displayed contrasting forms throughout the season.

Calvary's Home Resilience

Calvary has had a mixed season, currently sitting in 15th place, and their recent form has been somewhat inconsistent. However, their home performances have been a source of strength, winning three of their last five home matches and conceding a mere 0.20 goals on average. This defensive solidity at home will be crucial as they look to contain a potent NEC attack. Notably, Calvary has no injured or suspended players, allowing them to field their strongest lineup. Despite their struggles away from home, where they have failed to secure a win in their last five attempts, Calvary's resilience at home could play a pivotal role in this clash.

NEC's Away Dominance

In stark contrast, NEC has shown remarkable consistency, particularly away from home where they have won four of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game without conceding. Sitting comfortably in 5th place, NEC has been a tough nut to crack, with a solid defensive record that has seen them concede no goals in their last five matches. With a full squad available, NEC will be confident of extending their impressive away run. Their previous head-to-head meeting saw them edge out Calvary with a narrow 1-0 victory, a result they will be keen to replicate.

Prediction of a Low-Scoring Affair

Given the recent form and defensive records of both teams, this match is shaping up to be a low-scoring affair. Calvary's solid home defense will be tested against NEC's disciplined away performances, suggesting that goals may be at a premium. The main prediction for this match is "Total:Under: 2.0", driven by both teams' recent tendencies to keep games tight and low-scoring. The rationale for this prediction is bolstered by Calvary's average of 0.60 goals scored and conceded in their last five matches, along with NEC's average of 0.40 goals scored and 0.00 conceded. A close contest is anticipated, with a likely outcome of a draw or a narrow victory for either side. Additional betting options that align with this scenario include a draw (X), NEC's strong defensive record suggesting "All: Both Teams to Score: No", and NEC's slight edge making "Win 2" a viable option. Calvary's home advantage could also see them keep the scoreline tight, making "Handicap 1: 0.5" another potential outcome.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.0

Both teams have strong defensive records, with Calvary averaging 0.60 goals conceded and NEC averaging 0.00 conceded in their last five matches.

X
40%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
70%
Win 2
45%
Handicap 1: 0.5
60%

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vipers logoVipers
30 19 10 1 67
2
KCCA logoKCCA
30 19 5 6 62
3
SC Villa logoSC Villa
30 18 7 5 61
4
Kitara logoKitara
30 16 8 6 56
5
Entebbe UPPC logoEntebbe UPPC
30 14 9 7 51
6
NEC logoNEC ★
30 13 12 5 51
7
Police logoPolice
30 13 8 9 47
8
Maroons logoMaroons
30 9 11 10 38
9
BUL logoBUL
30 9 10 11 37
10
Express logoExpress
30 9 10 11 37
11
URA logoURA
30 5 16 9 31
12
Mbarara City logoMbarara City
30 6 9 15 27
13
Lugazi logoLugazi
30 5 10 15 25
14
UPDF logoUPDF
30 5 7 18 22
15
Calvary logoCalvary ★
30 4 9 17 21
16
Buhimba Saints logoBuhimba Saints
30 4 3 23 15
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