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Premier League

KCCA vs Mbarara City Prediction

Premier League 23.05.2026 · 08:00 MTN Omondi Stadium
KCCA emblem
KCCA
W
D
W
W
D
vs
– : –
23 May · 08:00
Mbarara City emblem
Mbarara City
L
W
L
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
KCCA
45%
Draw
10%
Mbarara City

Form Comparison

■ KCCA ■ Mbarara City
KCCA
Mbarara City
44%
Form
56%
50%
Att
50%
57%
Def
43%
82%
Poisson distribution
18%
80%
H2h
20%
77%
Goals
23%
65%
Total
35%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
28.11.2025
Mbarara City vs KCCA
1 — 2
26.04.2025
KCCA vs Mbarara City
1 — 0
07.01.2025
Mbarara City vs KCCA
0 — 2
18.04.2024
KCCA vs Mbarara City
4 — 0
06.12.2023
Mbarara City vs KCCA
2 — 1
13.02.2022
Mbarara City vs KCCA
1 — 1
05.01.2022
KCCA vs Mbarara City
1 — 0
21.04.2021
Mbarara City vs KCCA
0 — 0
11.12.2020
KCCA vs Mbarara City
2 — 0

Last Matches

KCCA
Mbarara City
23.05.2026
KCCA vs Mbarara City
4 — 1
19.05.2026
URA vs KCCA
0 — 0
13.05.2026
UPDF vs KCCA
2 — 1
07.05.2026
KCCA vs Maroons
3 — 0
29.04.2026
KCCA vs Vipers
1 — 1
W: 3 · D: 2 · L: 0

KCCA enters this match with a dominant record against Mbarara City, having won all of their last five encounters, including a resounding 4-1 victory in their most recent meeting. This statistic sets the stage for what could be a challenging outing for Mbarara City as they travel to the MTN Omondi Stadium.

Form and Context

KCCA currently sits in the second position in the league, demonstrating consistent form with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. Their home performance has been particularly strong, with four wins and a draw, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.4. In contrast, Mbarara City is positioned twelfth and has shown mixed results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. Their away form is less promising, with just one win and two losses, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. The disparities in form suggest a significant challenge for Mbarara City in overcoming KCCA's home advantage.

Key Numbers

KCCA's offensive power is evident with an average of 2 goals scored per match in their last five encounters, while they have kept their defense tight, allowing only 0.6 goals on average. At home, they have been even more formidable, scoring 2.4 goals per game. Mbarara City, on the other hand, has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in their recent matches. Their away goal-scoring struggles are evident with just 0.6 goals per game. The head-to-head record further underscores KCCA's superiority, with five consecutive victories over Mbarara City. This historical data suggests a continuation of KCCA's dominance.

Prediction

Given the current form and historical context, KCCA is likely to continue their winning streak against Mbarara City. The most probable betting event is KCCA winning without conceding, supported by their robust home defense and Mbarara City's scoring difficulties on the road. This prediction carries a high confidence score due to KCCA's strong home record and Mbarara City's inconsistent away form. Additionally, the match is expected to feature over 1.5 total goals, given both teams' scoring averages. A KCCA victory at home seems highly probable, bolstering their position in the league standings.

Prediction and Betting Tips

9/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
70%
Handicap 1: 1
75%

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vipers logoVipers
30 19 10 1 67
2
KCCA logoKCCA ★
30 19 5 6 62
3
SC Villa logoSC Villa
30 18 7 5 61
4
Kitara logoKitara
30 16 8 6 56
5
Entebbe UPPC logoEntebbe UPPC
30 14 9 7 51
6
NEC logoNEC
30 13 12 5 51
7
Police logoPolice
30 13 8 9 47
8
Maroons logoMaroons
30 9 11 10 38
9
BUL logoBUL
30 9 10 11 37
10
Express logoExpress
30 9 10 11 37
11
URA logoURA
30 5 16 9 31
12
Mbarara City logoMbarara City ★
30 6 9 15 27
13
Lugazi logoLugazi
30 5 10 15 25
14
UPDF logoUPDF
30 5 7 18 22
15
Calvary logoCalvary
30 4 9 17 21
16
Buhimba Saints logoBuhimba Saints
30 4 3 23 15
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