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Premier League

SC Villa vs UPDF Prediction

Premier League 23.05.2026 · 08:00 FUFA Kadiba Stadium
SC Villa emblem
SC Villa
W
W
W
D
L
vs
– : –
23 May · 08:00
UPDF emblem
UPDF
L
D
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
SC Villa
50%
Draw
0%
UPDF

Form Comparison

■ SC Villa ■ UPDF
SC Villa
UPDF
83%
Form
17%
92%
Att
8%
60%
Def
40%
86%
Poisson distribution
14%
80%
H2h
20%
85%
Goals
15%
81%
Total
19%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
25.11.2025
UPDF vs SC Villa
0 — 1
02.03.2025
UPDF vs SC Villa
2 — 0
01.11.2024
SC Villa vs UPDF
5 — 0
11.05.2024
UPDF vs SC Villa
0 — 2
02.01.2024
SC Villa vs UPDF
3 — 0
16.05.2023
UPDF vs SC Villa
0 — 2
11.12.2022
SC Villa vs UPDF
2 — 0
06.02.2022
UPDF vs SC Villa
0 — 0
08.01.2022
SC Villa vs UPDF
0 — 0

Last Matches

SC Villa
UPDF
23.05.2026
SC Villa vs UPDF
2 — 1
20.05.2026
NEC vs SC Villa
4 — 1
13.05.2026
Mbarara City vs SC Villa
3 — 1
08.05.2026
SC Villa vs BUL
0 — 0
30.04.2026
Kitara vs SC Villa
0 — 2
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

SC Villa comes into this match with a strong home form, having won three and drawn two of their last five games at FUFA Kadiba Stadium. In contrast, UPDF struggles on the road, managing only one win in their last five away matches. The disparity in performance is evident as SC Villa averages 1.60 goals per game at home while conceding just 0.40, showcasing their defensive solidity. Conversely, UPDF averages 1.20 goals scored away but concedes 1.60, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities which SC Villa will likely look to exploit.

Both teams present contrasting figures in terms of recent performances. SC Villa sits comfortably in third place, propelled by their recent form which includes scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game across their last five matches. They have shown resilience, with notable victories such as their 4:1 win against NEC. Meanwhile, UPDF languishes in 14th place, having struggled to find the net with an average of just 0.40 goals scored in the same span. Their recent matches include a 2:1 loss to SC Villa and a 2:0 defeat against Police, underlining their attacking inefficiencies.

Head-to-head statistics further tip the scale in SC Villa's favor. They have won four of the last five encounters against UPDF, including a decisive 5:0 victory. In these meetings, UPDF has only managed to secure a single win. This historical dominance coupled with SC Villa's current momentum suggests a challenging outing for UPDF.

Looking at the key numbers, SC Villa's defensive strength at home is a significant advantage. They have only conceded 0.40 goals per game in their recent home matches, which contrasts sharply with UPDF's away defensive record of conceding 1.60 goals per game. This suggests that SC Villa is likely to maintain a clean sheet, especially given UPDF's struggles in front of goal, averaging just 0.40 goals scored in their last five games overall. Moreover, SC Villa's ability to score an average of 1.80 goals per game recently illustrates their attacking prowess, which could overwhelm UPDF's defense.

The prediction for this match leans heavily towards SC Villa maintaining their dominance. Given their superior form, both at home and in recent matchups against UPDF, a win for SC Villa appears to be the most probable outcome. The key betting event to watch is SC Villa winning without conceding, based on their home defensive record and UPDF's lack of scoring threat. This prediction is bolstered by SC Villa's consistent performance in previous encounters and their current league standing.

Additional probable betting events include a win for SC Villa, with their track record against UPDF and better form supporting this outcome. Another likely scenario is SC Villa scoring more than 1.5 goals, considering their average goals scored. The likelihood of UPDF scoring under 0.5 goals is also high, given their recent scoring difficulties. Finally, a total match score over 1.5 goals seems plausible, taking into account SC Villa's attacking capabilities and UPDF's defensive weaknesses.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
80%
Total:Over: 1.5
65%

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vipers logoVipers
30 19 10 1 67
2
KCCA logoKCCA
30 19 5 6 62
3
SC Villa logoSC Villa ★
30 18 7 5 61
4
Kitara logoKitara
30 16 8 6 56
5
Entebbe UPPC logoEntebbe UPPC
30 14 9 7 51
6
NEC logoNEC
30 13 12 5 51
7
Police logoPolice
30 13 8 9 47
8
Maroons logoMaroons
30 9 11 10 38
9
BUL logoBUL
30 9 10 11 37
10
Express logoExpress
30 9 10 11 37
11
URA logoURA
30 5 16 9 31
12
Mbarara City logoMbarara City
30 6 9 15 27
13
Lugazi logoLugazi
30 5 10 15 25
14
UPDF logoUPDF ★
30 5 7 18 22
15
Calvary logoCalvary
30 4 9 17 21
16
Buhimba Saints logoBuhimba Saints
30 4 3 23 15
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