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URA vs Calvary Prediction

Premier League 12.05.2026 · 14:00 Hamz Stadium
URA emblem
URA
D
D
D
D
D
vs
– : –
12 May · 14:00
Calvary emblem
Calvary
D
D
W
L
W
Our Prediction
X
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
4.70

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
URA
35%
Draw
30%
Calvary

Form Comparison

■ URA ■ Calvary
URA
Calvary
33%
Form
67%
71%
Att
29%
25%
Def
75%
83%
Poisson distribution
17%
50%
H2h
50%
0%
Goals
0%
52%
Total
48%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
27.01.2026
Calvary vs URA
0 — 0

Last Matches

URA
Calvary
19.05.2026
URA vs KCCA
0 — 0
12.05.2026
URA vs Calvary
1 — 1
08.05.2026
Vipers vs URA
1 — 1
28.04.2026
URA vs Maroons
2 — 2
24.04.2026
UPDF vs URA
0 — 0
W: 0 · D: 5 · L: 0

On May 12th, URA will host Calvary at Hamz Stadium in what promises to be a compelling Premier League encounter. Both teams are looking to improve their positions in the league, with URA sitting at 11th and Calvary at 16th. Each side will be eager to secure a much-needed victory to boost their standings as the season approaches its final weeks.

URA + Home Ground Resilience

URA has shown commendable resilience when playing at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches at Hamz Stadium. With two wins and three draws, they average 1.2 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.6. However, their overall recent form has been less impressive, with no wins in their last five matches, drawing three and losing two. Despite these challenges, URA has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup as they aim to capitalize on their home advantage against Calvary.

Calvary + Struggles on the Road

Calvary, on the other hand, has struggled to find their footing away from home. Their last five away matches have resulted in four losses and a single draw, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored per game, while conceding 1.8. Despite their away woes, Calvary's defense has been relatively solid overall, conceding only 0.4 goals on average in their last five games, thanks to a string of clean sheets at home. Like URA, they have no players sidelined through injury or suspension, which should provide some stability as they seek an elusive away victory.

Prediction + Likely Low-Scoring Draw

Given both teams' current form and statistical trends, this match is shaping up to be a low-scoring affair. URA's home defensive record is strong, but their scoring has been inconsistent. Calvary's poor away performance compounds the likelihood of a tight game. Hence, a draw seems the most probable outcome, with neither side in prolific form offensively. The prediction is for a low-scoring draw, with a confidence score of 7 out of 10. Both teams have struggled to score consistently, making a low-scoring draw a realistic and valuable betting event.

For those considering additional betting options, the likelihood of low goal tallies favors Total:Under: 2.0, given both teams' scoring records. Another plausible outcome is All: Both Teams to Score: No, as Calvary's away form suggests they might struggle to find the net. Additionally, Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 and Total Team 2 Under: 0.5 are likely outcomes considering each team's recent scoring trends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X

URA's strong home defense and Calvary's poor away performance point to a low-scoring draw.

4.70
Odds
Total:Under: 2.0
65%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

URA vs Calvary
Pin-UP
W11.30
X4.20
W28.60
William Hill
W11.33
X4.50
W27.00
Bet365
W11.33
X4.50
W27.50
Marathonbet
W11.28
X5.05
W27.50
Betfair
W11.29
X4.60
W210.00
BetVictor
W11.25
X3.75
W27.00
Pinnacle
W11.33
X5.11
W25.52
1xBet
W11.29
X5.05
W27.80
Betano
W11.34
X4.30
W27.80
Dafabet
W11.33
X4.50
W28.00

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vipers logoVipers
30 19 10 1 67
2
KCCA logoKCCA
30 19 5 6 62
3
SC Villa logoSC Villa
30 18 7 5 61
4
Kitara logoKitara
30 16 8 6 56
5
Entebbe UPPC logoEntebbe UPPC
30 14 9 7 51
6
NEC logoNEC
30 13 12 5 51
7
Police logoPolice
30 13 8 9 47
8
Maroons logoMaroons
30 9 11 10 38
9
BUL logoBUL
30 9 10 11 37
10
Express logoExpress
30 9 10 11 37
11
URA logoURA ★
30 5 16 9 31
12
Mbarara City logoMbarara City
30 6 9 15 27
13
Lugazi logoLugazi
30 5 10 15 25
14
UPDF logoUPDF
30 5 7 18 22
15
Calvary logoCalvary ★
30 4 9 17 21
16
Buhimba Saints logoBuhimba Saints
30 4 3 23 15
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